Germany vs Ecuador 
— a Group E clash at the 2026 World Cup. Germany's attacking machine against one of qualifying's meanest defences in Ecuador — the clash that defines Group E.
Head-to-head
These sides have barely met — there are no recent head-to-head matches in our database, so the form and style below tell the story.
Form & key stats
Germany last 12 months · 12 matches| Goals for/game | 3.1 |
| Goals against/game | 0.8 |
| xG for/game | 2.7 |
| xG against/game | 0.5 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 75% |
| Both teams score | 50% |
| Corners/game | 6.8 |
| Yellow cards/game | 0.9 |
| Shots on target/game | 7.0 |
What the numbers say
- a high-scoring side: over 2.5 goals in 75% of games
- a tight defence — just 0.8 conceded per game
- a strong attack — 3.1 goals per game
- works the flanks — 6.8 corners per game
- disciplined — only 0.9 yellows per game
- creates real chances: 2.7 xG per game
- out-finishing their xG
Source: ScanGoal database (national-team matches, last 12 months)
Ecuador last 12 months · 12 matches| Goals for/game | 1.0 |
| Goals against/game | 0.5 |
| xG for/game | 1.9 |
| xG against/game | 0.6 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 17% |
| Both teams score | 42% |
| Corners/game | 4.6 |
| Yellow cards/game | 1.9 |
| Shots on target/game | 4.1 |
What the numbers say
- tilts under: under 2.5 goals in 83% of games
- a tight defence — just 0.5 conceded per game
- blunt in attack — only 1.0 goals per game
- creates real chances: 1.9 xG per game
- under-finishing their xG
Source: ScanGoal database (national-team matches, last 12 months)
Verdict & betting angle
Germany will dominate the ball and shots; Ecuador's deep block is built to frustrate exactly this kind of opponent. Lean Germany to win, but the under and Ecuador's resilience are the smart hedges.
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