Group C: Brazil, Morocco, Haiti, Scotland. Brazil headline, but this is no free pass: Morocco reached the 2022 semi-finals and Scotland are a stubborn, set-piece-savvy European side. Haiti are the romantics.
Key stats of each team
Below are numbers from each team's recent matches, computed from the ScanGoal database. Each card ends with auto-insights — what stands out in the data.
Brazil last 12 months · 12 matches| Goals for/game | 2.4 |
| Goals against/game | 1.0 |
| xG for/game | 1.8 |
| xG against/game | 0.8 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 67% |
| Both teams score | 58% |
| Corners/game | 4.2 |
| Yellow cards/game | 1.3 |
| Shots on target/game | 5.9 |
- a high-scoring side: over 2.5 goals in 67% of games
- a strong attack — 2.4 goals per game
- goals at both ends — BTTS in 58% of games
- creates real chances: 1.8 xG per game
- out-finishing their xG
Morocco last 12 months · 26 matches| Goals for/game | 1.8 |
| Goals against/game | 0.3 |
| xG for/game | 1.7 |
| xG against/game | 0.6 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 35% |
| Both teams score | 27% |
| Corners/game | 6.6 |
| Yellow cards/game | 1.2 |
| Shots on target/game | 5.3 |
- tilts under: under 2.5 goals in 65% of games
- a tight defence — just 0.3 conceded per game
- often one-sided for goals: both teams score in just 27%
- works the flanks — 6.6 corners per game
Haiti last 12 months · 13 matches| Goals for/game | 1.2 |
| Goals against/game | 1.2 |
| xG for/game | 0.8 |
| xG against/game | 1.2 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 54% |
| Both teams score | 31% |
| Corners/game | 4.2 |
| Yellow cards/game | 1.7 |
| Shots on target/game | 3.4 |
- often one-sided for goals: both teams score in just 31%
- toothless: just 0.8 xG per game
- out-finishing their xG
Scotland last 12 months · 12 matches| Goals for/game | 1.8 |
| Goals against/game | 0.9 |
| xG for/game | 1.5 |
| xG against/game | 1.2 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% |
| Both teams score | 42% |
| Corners/game | 4.7 |
| Yellow cards/game | 1.6 |
| Shots on target/game | 4.8 |
- out-finishing their xG
Form going in
Brazil — recent form LWWWDW| 20.06.26 | Brazil3:0xG 1.5 : 0.3Haiti | World Cup 2026 |
| 14.06.26 | Brazil1:1xG 1.3 : 1.5Morocco | World Cup 2026 |
| 07.06.26 | Brazil2:1xG 1.8 : 0.4Egypt | Friendlies |
| 01.06.26 | Brazil6:2Panama | Friendlies |
| 01.04.26 | Brazil3:1xG 2.2 : 1.0Croatia | International Match |
| 26.03.26 | Brazil1:2France | Friendlies |
Morocco — recent form WWWDDW| 20.06.26 | Scotland0:1xG 0.5 : 0.9Morocco | World Cup 2026 |
| 14.06.26 | Brazil1:1xG 1.3 : 1.5Morocco | World Cup 2026 |
| 07.06.26 | Morocco1:1xG 1.1 : 0.8Norway | Friendlies |
| 02.06.26 | Morocco4:0xG 3.8 : 0.0Madagascar | International Match |
| 26.05.26 | Morocco5:0Burundi | International Friendly |
| 31.03.26 | Morocco2:1xG 1.1 : 0.8Paraguay | International Friendly |
Who goes through
Brazil should win the group on talent alone. The fascinating duel is for second between Morocco — battle-tested at the very top — and Scotland, who rarely beat themselves. Morocco's tournament know-how edges it.
Dark horse & possible upset
Morocco are more than a dark horse — they are a genuine threat to top the group if Brazil are sluggish early. Their defensive solidity (check the goals-against card) travels better than Brazil's flair on a bad day.
Squads: call-ups & shocks
Brazil's big story under Carlo Ancelotti is the recall of Neymar at 34 for what is likely his last World Cup — a pick one ex-international branded “absurd”, and complicated by a grade-2 calf strain that has kept him out since 17 May; Ancelotti insists he won't replace him. There was no room for João Pedro, Richarlison, Gabriel Jesus, Savinho or 113-cap veteran Thiago Silva, while Brentford's Igor Thiago and teenage forward Rayan made the plane. Sources: ESPN, Goal.
Betting angles
Brazil's BTTS and overs numbers stand out; Scotland and Morocco drag games low. Match-by-match, lean overs for Brazil fixtures and unders when Morocco or Scotland play each other.
Remember: totals, corners and cards are markets where our national-team data is most useful. Cross-check live odds and our Value Picks of the day; the handicap mechanics are covered in our Asian handicap guide.
Analysis only. Betting is 18+, please gamble responsibly.