Watford vs Derby — preview, stats, live

Championship

фев 21, 2026 at 18:00

Watford

2:0

Derby

1.55

0.65

Championship: Watford vs Derby on 21 Feb 2026 finished 2:0.

Watford are out of form: 1-2-7 in their last 10, 0.7 scored and 2.3 conceded per game.

Derby are in good form: 5-0-5 in their last 10, 1.3 scored and 1.2 conceded per game. They are scoring in 23 straight.

Over 2.5 lands in 60% of Watford's games and 50% of Derby's; both teams score in 50% and 50%.

Chance quality: xG 1.6 vs 0.7.

Head-to-head (5): Watford 5, Derby 0, 0 draws.

Predicted: 1:0 (14%) · also likely 1:1 (13%)

Match statistics

48%

57%

Possession

1.55

0.65

Shots on target

Shots off target

Corners

Dangerous attacks

Yellow cards

By half (1H / 2H)

	1H		2H		FT
Metric	H	A	H	A	H	A
Shots on	3	0	5	2	8	2
Corners	0	2	2	0	2	2
Dangerous	11	14	28	21	39	35
Fouls	—	—	—	—	—	—
Yellow	0	1	2	1	2	2

Detailed statistics

	Goals Threshold: 2,3			Yellow cards Threshold: 4,5			Corners Threshold: 10,0
Metric	WA		Total	WA		Total	WA		Total
Matches played	11	11	—	20	20	—	20	20	—
Total less	7 64%	5 45%	—	13 65%	13 65%	—	6 30%	8 40%	—
Total more	4 36%	6 55%	—	7 35%	7 35%	—	13 65%	9 45%	—
Matches home / away	4	5	—	20	20	—	20	20	—
Total less (home / away)	3 75%	2 40%	—	14 70%	15 75%	—	7 35%	11 55%	—
Total more (home / away)	1 25%	3 60%	—	6 30%	5 25%	—	9 45%	7 35%	—
Individual total (home / away)	1,00	2,00	3,00	1,55	1,95	3,50	5,60	3,50	9,10
Individual total (overall)	1,00	1,55	2,55	1,95	2,00	3,95	5,50	5,15	10,65
Avg total	2,36	2,64	2,50	4,05	3,70	3,88	10,90	10,60	10,75
Avg total (home / away)	2,25	2,80	2,53	3,65	3,15	3,40	10,10	9,30	9,70
Avg opponents' total	1,36	1,09	2,45	2,10	1,70	3,80	5,40	5,45	10,85
Avg opponents' total (home / away)	1,25	0,80	2,05	2,10	1,20	3,30	4,50	5,80	10,30
Predicted total	—	—	2,51	—	—	3,68	—	—	10,18

Referee

David Webb

Last 2 months: 5 games · 12 YC total · 2.4 YC/game

Pinnacle cards line: 4 — referee avg below

07.02	West Brom — Stoke	1-1	2
31.01	Sheff Wed — Wrexham	0-0	0
27.01	Notts County — Swindon	0-0	0
04.01	Blackburn — Charlton	1-4	5
29.12	Millwall — Bristol City	4-1	5

Last 10 matches

Watford10 matches

Both teams to score50%

Clean sheets1 / 10

Scored5 / 10

Derby10 matches

Both teams to score50%

Clean sheets4 / 10

Scored9 / 10

scored 23 straight

Line trends

Statistical team streaks on goals, corners and cards over recent matches — where the signal holds steadiest. How to read the codes →

Watford

↓Goals (match) under 4.590%

↓Goals (match) under 5.590%

↑Corners (match) over 7.590%

↑Corners (team) over 3.590%

Combined

↓Goals (match) under 5.595%

↓Goals (match) under 4.590%

Derby

↓Goals (match) under 5.5100%

↑Goals (team) over 0.5100%

↓Goals (match) under 4.590%

OverUnder

Head-to-head

Date	League	Home	Away			xG		%		On		Off		DA
22.11.25	Championship	Derby	Watford	2	3	0.64	1.47	37%	63%	5	7	2	6	51	45	9	3	2	2
18.01.25	Championship	Derby	Watford	0	2	1.25	2.24	56%	44%	4	7	11	10	66	45	4	8	1	3
24.08.24	Championship	Watford	Derby	2	1	0.96	0.92	65%	35%	3	2	9	7	59	37	4	2	2	3
19.02.21	Championship	Watford	Derby	2	1	—	—	52%	48%	4	1	3	3	37	44	3	9	2	2
16.10.20	Championship	Derby	Watford	0	1	—	—	46%	49%	0	1	3	7	13	46	2	3	0	1
03.04.15	Championship	Derby	Watford	2	2	—	—	—	—	4	5	8	3	39	33	9	2	0	0

Against common opponents (2 months)

Watford

Date	League	Home	Away			xG		%		On		Off		DA
14.02.26	Championship	Preston	Watford	2	2	0.64	0.86	51%	49%	3	5	4	16	48	44	9	7	1	1	0
31.01.26	Championship	Watford	Swansea	0	2	0.90	2.69	57%	43%	5	6	12	9	44	35	5	8	1	2	1
10.01.26	FA Cup	Bristol City	Watford	5	1	3.22	0.70	53%	47%	7	1	6	7	45	28	3	4	1	1	0
01.01.26	Championship	Watford	Birmingham	3	0	1.54	0.40	45%	55%	5	2	6	4	32	60	4	4	1	2	0
26.12.25	Championship	Leicester	Watford	1	2	0.61	1.34	50%	50%	1	4	8	9	53	37	5	6	3	2	0

Derby

Date	League	Home	Away			xG		%		On		Off		DA
14.02.26	Championship	Derby	Swansea	2	0	0.80	1.00	28%	72%	6	2	5	12	19	38	6	2	2	2	0	0
30.01.26	Championship	Bristol City	Derby	0	5	0.22	1.92	60%	40%	1	7	6	10	33	46	5	1	1	1	0	0
17.01.26	Championship	Preston	Derby	0	1	0.73	1.75	51%	49%	1	4	10	14	35	58	5	10	2	5	0	0
29.12.25	Championship	Leicester	Derby	2	1	0.87	0.43	45%	55%	2	2	6	7	44	38	3	4	1	2	0	0
26.12.25	Championship	Birmingham	Derby	1	1	3.15	0.78	73%	27%	9	1	16	4	103	23	12	1	3	2	1	1

Against similar-strength opponents

Matches with the same favourite/underdog setup by the bookmaker line.

Watford (as favourite) odds 1.45–2.05

Record 1-3-1 (W-D-L), 1.2 scored / 1.4 conceded avg.

Date	League	Home	Away			xG		%		On		Off		DA
31.01.26	Championship	Watford	Swansea	0	2	0.90	2.69	57%	43%	5	6	12	9	44	35	5	8	1	2	1
21.01.26	Championship	Watford	Portsmouth	1	1	0.77	0.60	55%	45%	5	2	9	4	47	45	8	7	1	1	0
09.12.25	Championship	Watford	Sheff Wed	1	1	2.78	0.47	68%	32%	9	1	14	3	77	28	7	4	1	2	0
06.12.25	Championship	Watford	Norwich	3	2	0.97	1.91	54%	46%	6	4	6	11	47	42	6	5	1	2	0
25.11.25	Championship	Watford	Preston	1	1	1.72	0.97	56%	44%	4	1	11	5	54	34	6	2	2	4	0

Derby (vs a strong favourite) odds 1.01–2.30

Record 3-0-2 (W-D-L), 1.8 scored / 1.0 conceded avg.

Date	League	Home	Away			xG		%		On		Off		DA
07.02.26	Championship	Derby	Ipswich	1	2	1.03	1.27	54%	46%	1	5	8	8	56	47	3	7	2	4	1
30.01.26	Championship	Bristol City	Derby	0	5	0.22	1.92	60%	40%	1	7	6	10	33	46	5	1	1	1	0
17.01.26	Championship	Preston	Derby	0	1	0.73	1.75	51%	49%	1	4	10	14	35	58	5	10	2	5	0
11.01.26	FA Cup	Derby	Leeds	1	3	0.41	2.01	34%	66%	2	11	5	11	27	56	5	5	1	1	0
01.01.26	Championship	Derby	Middlesbrough	1	0	0.99	1.21	32%	68%	3	5	4	15	24	56	4	9	2	2	0

Last matches (2 months)

Watford DLDLDDLL—W

Date	League	Home	Away			xG		%		On		Off		DA
14.02.26	Championship	Preston	Watford	2	2	0.64	0.86	51%	49%	3	5	4	16	48	44	9	7	1	1	0
07.02.26	Championship	Southampton	Watford	1	0	0.80	0.68	47%	53%	1	2	5	10	50	51	3	9	3	1	0
03.02.26	Championship	Hull	Watford	0	0	0.30	0.92	40%	60%	2	2	3	9	36	48	6	5	4	3	0
31.01.26	Championship	Watford	Swansea	0	2	0.90	2.69	57%	43%	5	6	12	9	44	35	5	8	1	2	1
24.01.26	Championship	Blackburn	Watford	1	1	0.96	1.12	56%	44%	4	4	4	10	50	43	7	8	0	2	0
21.01.26	Championship	Watford	Portsmouth	1	1	0.77	0.60	55%	45%	5	2	9	4	47	45	8	7	1	1	0
17.01.26	Championship	Watford	Millwall	0	2	0.54	1.48	56%	44%	3	5	6	7	45	44	4	4	4	4	0
10.01.26	FA Cup	Bristol City	Watford	5	1	3.22	0.70	53%	47%	7	1	6	7	45	28	3	4	1	1	0
01.01.26	Championship	Watford	Birmingham	3	0	1.54	0.40	45%	55%	5	2	6	4	32	60	4	4	1	2	0

Derby WLWDWWLLWL

Date	League	Home	Away			xG		%		On		Off		DA
14.02.26	Championship	Derby	Swansea	2	0	0.80	1.00	28%	72%	6	2	5	12	19	38	6	2	2	2	0	0
07.02.26	Championship	Derby	Ipswich	1	2	1.03	1.27	54%	46%	1	5	8	8	56	47	3	7	2	4	1	0
30.01.26	Championship	Bristol City	Derby	0	5	0.22	1.92	60%	40%	1	7	6	10	33	46	5	1	1	1	0	0
23.01.26	Championship	Derby	West Brom	1	1	0.29	0.96	58%	42%	1	4	4	9	39	42	1	6	2	3	0	0
20.01.26	Championship	Charlton	Derby	1	2	0.87	1.71	61%	39%	3	6	6	10	47	31	4	0	0	3	0	1
17.01.26	Championship	Preston	Derby	0	1	0.73	1.75	51%	49%	1	4	10	14	35	58	5	10	2	5	0	0
11.01.26	FA Cup	Derby	Leeds	1	3	0.41	2.01	34%	66%	2	11	5	11	27	56	5	5	1	1	0	0
04.01.26	Championship	Derby	Wrexham	1	2	1.09	1.46	—	—	6	3	9	9	69	35	12	2	1	2	0	0
01.01.26	Championship	Derby	Middlesbrough	1	0	0.99	1.21	32%	68%	3	5	4	15	24	56	4	9	2	2	0	0
29.12.25	Championship	Leicester	Derby	2	1	0.87	0.43	45%	55%	2	2	6	7	44	38	3	4	1	2	0	0

Bookmaker lines

1X211,95X3,4023,80

Total 2,25O1,88U1,98

AH -0,5012,0321,83

All Pinnacle markets

Goals

Goals total
Line	O	U
1.5	1.37	3.22
1.75	1.46	2.84
2	1.61	2.43
2.25	1.89	2.00
2.5	2.16	1.75
2.75	2.51	1.57
3.5	3.94	1.27

Team goals
Team	Line	O	U
Watford	1.5	2.24	1.69
Derby	0.5	1.53	2.61

Corners

Corners total
Line	O	U
5.5	1.24	3.98
6	1.36	3.10
6.5	1.79	2.04
7	2.34	1.60
7.5	2.95	1.39

Team corners
Team	Line	O	U
Watford	3	2.10	1.73
Derby	3.5	1.90	1.92

Cards

Cards total
Line	O	U
4	2.46	1.54

See full live table on ScanGoal →

Other matches that day

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