Leicester vs Derby — preview, stats, live

Championship

дек 29, 2025 at 22:45

Leicester

2:1

Derby

0.87

0.43

Championship: Leicester vs Derby on 29 Dec 2025 finished 2:1.

Leicester are out of form: 2-5-3 in their last 10, 1.0 scored and 1.1 conceded per game.

Derby are in good form: 5-0-5 in their last 10, 1.3 scored and 1.2 conceded per game. They are scoring in 13 straight.

Over 2.5 lands in 30% of Leicester's games and 50% of Derby's; both teams score in 50% and 50%.

Chance quality: xG 0.9 vs 0.4.

Head-to-head (5): Leicester 4, Derby 0, 1 draw.

Predicted: 1:1 (11%) · also likely 2:1 (9%)

Match statistics

0.87

0.43

Detailed statistics

	Goals Threshold: 2,3			Yellow cards Threshold: 4,5			Corners Threshold: 10,0
Metric	LE		Total	LE		Total	LE		Total
Matches played	11	11	—	20	20	—	20	20	—
Total less	2 18%	3 27%	—	14 70%	13 65%	—	9 45%	9 45%	—
Total more	9 82%	8 73%	—	6 30%	7 35%	—	10 50%	10 50%	—
Matches home / away	6	6	—	20	20	—	20	20	—
Total less (home / away)	2 33%	1 17%	—	17 85%	15 75%	—	5 25%	12 60%	—
Total more (home / away)	4 67%	5 83%	—	3 15%	5 25%	—	11 55%	6 30%	—
Individual total (home / away)	1,50	2,00	3,50	1,90	1,90	3,80	5,95	3,35	9,30
Individual total (overall)	1,55	1,73	3,27	2,10	2,05	4,15	5,15	5,00	10,15
Avg total	3,45	3,09	3,27	3,65	3,65	3,65	10,70	11,00	10,85
Avg total (home / away)	3,17	3,00	3,08	3,10	3,25	3,18	10,95	9,25	10,10
Avg opponents' total	1,91	1,36	3,27	1,55	1,60	3,15	5,55	6,00	11,55
Avg opponents' total (home / away)	1,67	1,00	2,67	1,20	1,35	2,55	5,00	5,90	10,90
Predicted total	—	—	3,18	—	—	3,66	—	—	10,13

Referee

Gavin Ward

Last 2 months: 5 games · 11 YC total · 2.2 YC/game · 2 RC

13.12	Millwall — Hull	01-3	31
06.12	QPR — West Brom	1-1	2
25.11	Southampton — Leicester	1-11	21
22.11	Derby — Watford	2-2	4
04.11	Birmingham — Millwall	0-0	0

Last 10 matches

Leicester10 matches

Both teams to score50%

Clean sheets3 / 10

Scored7 / 10

scored 6 straight

Derby10 matches

Both teams to score50%

Clean sheets4 / 10

Scored9 / 10

unbeaten 4scored 13 straight

Head-to-head

Date	League	Home	Away			xG		%		On		Off		DA
06.12.25	Championship	Derby	Leicester	1	3	1.36	1.19	61%	39%	5	4	13	0	54	38	6	3	3	2
23.07.22	Elite Club Friendlies	Derby	Leicester	1	3	—	—	48%	52%	2	7	2	7	22	36	3	6	0	0
08.02.17	FA Cup	Leicester	Derby	3	1	—	—	51%	49%	5	4	4	5	57	62	9	7	2	1
27.01.17	FA Cup	Derby	Leicester	2	2	—	—	43%	57%	3	6	2	3	28	38	3	11	1	0

Against common opponents (2 months)

Leicester

Date	League	Home	Away			xG		%		On		Off		DA
26.12.25	Championship	Leicester	Watford	1	2	0.61	1.34	50%	50%	1	4	8	9	53	37	5	6	3	2	0
29.11.25	Championship	Leicester	Sheff United	2	3	1.04	0.91	70%	30%	2	3	13	11	62	32	4	9	2	1	0
04.11.25	Championship	Leicester	Middlesbrough	1	1	1.40	1.27	37%	63%	2	4	4	13	28	63	3	6	6	1	1
01.11.25	Championship	Leicester	Blackburn	0	2	1.19	1.77	62%	38%	1	5	11	4	47	62	7	4	0	1	0

Derby

Date	League	Home	Away			xG		%		On		Off		DA
29.11.25	Championship	Middlesbrough	Derby	2	1	1.50	0.92	75%	25%	5	1	17	5	61	33	9	8	0	2
22.11.25	Championship	Derby	Watford	2	3	0.64	1.47	37%	63%	5	7	2	6	51	45	9	3	2	2
08.11.25	Championship	Blackburn	Derby	1	2	1.09	0.48	65%	35%	3	4	5	2	64	22	13	3	1	3
01.11.25	Championship	Sheff United	Derby	1	3	2.13	1.79	62%	38%	8	4	7	8	74	43	9	4	2	1

Against similar-strength opponents

Matches with the same favourite/underdog setup by the bookmaker line.

Leicester (as favourite) odds 1.80–2.30

Record 1-1-3 (W-D-L), 1.4 scored / 1.8 conceded avg.

Date	League	Home	Away			xG		%		On		Off		DA
26.12.25	Championship	Leicester	Watford	1	2	0.61	1.34	50%	50%	1	4	8	9	53	37	5	6	3	2	0
29.11.25	Championship	Leicester	Sheff United	2	3	1.04	0.91	70%	30%	2	3	13	11	62	32	4	9	2	1	0
22.11.25	Championship	Leicester	Stoke	2	1	0.98	1.23	44%	56%	3	7	3	7	29	51	0	10	6	2	0
04.11.25	Championship	Leicester	Middlesbrough	1	1	1.40	1.27	37%	63%	2	4	4	13	28	63	3	6	6	1	1
21.10.25	Championship	Hull	Leicester	2	1	1.52	1.30	36%	64%	5	3	5	15	25	71	1	7	1	1	0

Derby (vs a strong favourite) odds 1.01–2.50

Record 3-1-1 (W-D-L), 1.8 scored / 1.2 conceded avg.

Date	League	Home	Away			xG		%		On		Off		DA
26.12.25	Championship	Birmingham	Derby	1	1	3.15	0.78	73%	27%	9	1	16	4	103	23	12	1	3	2	1	1
29.11.25	Championship	Middlesbrough	Derby	2	1	1.50	0.92	75%	25%	5	1	17	5	61	33	9	8	0	2	0	0
25.11.25	Championship	Swansea	Derby	1	2	0.63	1.04	67%	33%	4	5	5	6	71	47	4	2	0	2	0	0
08.11.25	Championship	Blackburn	Derby	1	2	1.09	0.48	65%	35%	3	4	5	2	64	22	13	3	1	3	0	0
01.11.25	Championship	Sheff United	Derby	1	3	2.13	1.79	62%	38%	8	4	7	8	74	43	9	4	2	1	0	0

Last matches (2 months)

Leicester LLWDWLLWWD

Date	League	Home	Away			xG		%		On		Off		DA
26.12.25	Championship	Leicester	Watford	1	2	0.61	1.34	50%	50%	1	4	8	9	53	37	5	6	3	2	0
20.12.25	Championship	QPR	Leicester	4	1	2.04	1.11	46%	54%	5	2	6	6	44	33	2	3	0	2	0
13.12.25	Championship	Leicester	Ipswich	3	1	0.98	1.25	42%	58%	4	3	7	9	34	55	6	5	1	2	0
10.12.25	Championship	Bristol City	Leicester	2	2	2.44	1.66	65%	35%	13	6	8	5	59	21	10	3	2	3	0
06.12.25	Championship	Derby	Leicester	1	3	1.36	1.19	61%	39%	5	4	13	0	54	38	6	3	3	2	0
29.11.25	Championship	Leicester	Sheff United	2	3	1.04	0.91	70%	30%	2	3	13	11	62	32	4	9	2	1	0
25.11.25	Championship	Southampton	Leicester	3	0	2.40	0.44	59%	41%	8	2	10	5	72	20	11	3	1	1	1
22.11.25	Championship	Leicester	Stoke	2	1	0.98	1.23	44%	56%	3	7	3	7	29	51	0	10	6	2	0
08.11.25	Championship	Norwich	Leicester	1	2	0.28	1.58	44%	56%	4	8	5	6	43	35	6	3	1	1	0
04.11.25	Championship	Leicester	Middlesbrough	1	1	1.40	1.27	37%	63%	2	4	4	13	28	63	3	6	6	1	1

Derby DDWDLLWLWW

Date	League	Home	Away			xG		%		On		Off		DA
26.12.25	Championship	Birmingham	Derby	1	1	3.15	0.78	73%	27%	9	1	16	4	103	23	12	1	3	2	1	1
20.12.25	Championship	Derby	Portsmouth	1	1	0.67	0.14	52%	48%	7	1	7	2	60	37	6	4	1	1	0	0
15.12.25	Championship	Sheff Wed	Derby	0	3	0.18	1.63	60%	40%	1	7	2	8	39	41	1	5	4	1	0	0
10.12.25	Championship	Derby	Millwall	1	1	1.15	1.01	55%	45%	3	2	9	10	52	37	11	7	2	3	0	0
06.12.25	Championship	Derby	Leicester	1	3	1.36	1.19	61%	39%	5	4	13	0	54	38	6	3	3	2	0	0
29.11.25	Championship	Middlesbrough	Derby	2	1	1.50	0.92	75%	25%	5	1	17	5	61	33	9	8	0	2	0	0
25.11.25	Championship	Swansea	Derby	1	2	0.63	1.04	67%	33%	4	5	5	6	71	47	4	2	0	2	0	0
22.11.25	Championship	Derby	Watford	2	3	0.64	1.47	37%	63%	5	7	2	6	51	45	9	3	2	2	0	0
08.11.25	Championship	Blackburn	Derby	1	2	1.09	0.48	65%	35%	3	4	5	2	64	22	13	3	1	3	0	0
04.11.25	Championship	Derby	Hull	2	1	0.74	1.28	44%	56%	3	2	5	7	43	35	6	5	1	0	0	0

Bookmaker lines

1X212,05X3,3023,50

Total 2,25O1,98U1,88

AH -0,2511,8322,03

See full live table on ScanGoal →

Other matches that day

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