FA Cup: Derby vs Leeds on 11 Jan 2026 finished 1:3.
Derby are in good form: 5-0-5 in their last 10, 1.3 scored and 1.2 conceded per game. They are scoring in 16 straight.
Leeds are in good form: 4-4-2 in their last 10, 1.4 scored and 1.1 conceded per game.
Over 2.5 lands in 50% of Derby's games and 60% of Leeds's; both teams score in 50% and 50%.
Chance quality: xG 0.4 vs 2.0.
Head-to-head (5): Derby 0, Leeds 4, 1 draw.
Predicted: 0:1 (14%) · also likely 0:2 (12%)
| Goals Threshold: 2,5 | Yellow cards Threshold: 4,5 | Corners Threshold: 10,0 | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | LE | Total | LE | Total | LE | Total | |||
| Matches played | 11 | 10 | — | 20 | 20 | — | 20 | 20 | — |
| Total less | 4 36% | 4 40% | — | 13 65% | 14 70% | — | 8 40% | 11 55% | — |
| Total more | 7 64% | 6 60% | — | 7 35% | 6 30% | — | 11 55% | 6 30% | — |
| Matches home / away | 6 | 5 | — | 20 | 20 | — | 20 | 20 | — |
| Total less (home / away) | 3 50% | 3 60% | — | 16 80% | 16 80% | — | 10 50% | 14 70% | — |
| Total more (home / away) | 3 50% | 2 40% | — | 4 20% | 4 20% | — | 9 45% | 5 25% | — |
| Individual total (home / away) | 1,17 | 1,40 | 2,57 | 2,00 | 1,15 | 3,15 | 5,65 | 4,50 | 10,15 |
| Individual total (overall) | 1,36 | 1,90 | 3,26 | 2,05 | 1,45 | 3,50 | 5,70 | 4,65 | 10,35 |
| Avg total | 2,82 | 3,60 | 3,21 | 3,70 | 3,15 | 3,43 | 11,40 | 8,55 | 9,98 |
| Avg total (home / away) | 2,83 | 3,20 | 3,02 | 3,50 | 2,65 | 3,08 | 10,50 | 7,95 | 9,23 |
| Avg opponents' total | 1,45 | 1,70 | 3,15 | 1,65 | 1,70 | 3,35 | 5,70 | 3,90 | 9,60 |
| Avg opponents' total (home / away) | 1,67 | 1,80 | 3,47 | 1,50 | 1,50 | 3,00 | 4,85 | 3,45 | 8,30 |
| Predicted total | — | — | 3,11 | — | — | 3,29 | — | — | 9,79 |
| 08.01 | Arsenal — Liverpool | 2-2 | 4 |
| 04.01 | Everton — Brentford | 0-2 | 2 |
| 26.12 | Manchester United — Newcastle United | 2-1 | 3 |
| 22.12 | Fulham — Nottingham Forest | 5-4 | 9 |
| 18.12 | Shakhtar Donetsk — Rijeka | 1-3 | 4 |
| 14.12 | West Ham — Aston Villa | 1-2 | 3 |
| Date | League | Home | Away | xG | % | On | Off | DA | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29.12.24 | Championship | Derby | Leeds | 0 | 1 | 0.18 | 2.15 | 39% | 61% | 1 | 6 | 3 | 11 | 33 | 41 | 2 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 07.12.24 | Championship | Leeds | Derby | 2 | 0 | 1.03 | 0.07 | 63% | 37% | 6 | 1 | 12 | 2 | 67 | 19 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 19.07.20 | Championship | Derby | Leeds | 1 | 3 | — | — | 45% | 55% | 2 | 8 | 6 | 13 | 28 | 55 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 21.09.19 | Championship | Leeds | Derby | 1 | 1 | — | — | 65% | 35% | 5 | 1 | 10 | 3 | 70 | 18 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 |
| 15.05.19 | Championship | Leeds | Derby | 2 | 4 | — | — | 50% | 50% | 8 | 5 | 14 | 9 | 50 | 43 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 1 |
| 11.05.19 | Championship | Derby | Leeds | 0 | 1 | — | — | 49% | 51% | 0 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 28 | 51 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
| 11.01.19 | Championship | Leeds | Derby | 2 | 0 | — | — | 61% | 39% | 4 | 2 | 10 | 6 | 65 | 33 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
| 11.08.18 | Championship | Derby | Leeds | 1 | 4 | — | — | 50% | 50% | — | — | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| 21.02.18 | Championship | Derby | Leeds | 2 | 2 | — | — | 52% | 48% | 2 | 0 | 13 | 3 | 45 | 21 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 01.11.17 | Championship | Leeds | Derby | 1 | 2 | — | — | 48% | 52% | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 47 | 51 | 5 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
Matches with the same favourite/underdog setup by the bookmaker line.
Record 2-1-2 (W-D-L), 1.2 scored / 1.2 conceded avg.
| Date | League | Home | Away | xG | % | On | Off | DA | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01.01.26 | Championship | Derby | Middlesbrough | 1 | 0 | 0.99 | 1.21 | 32% | 68% | 3 | 5 | 4 | 15 | 24 | 56 | 4 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| 29.12.25 | Championship | Leicester | Derby | 2 | 1 | 0.87 | 0.43 | 45% | 55% | 2 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 44 | 38 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| 26.12.25 | Championship | Birmingham | Derby | 1 | 1 | 3.15 | 0.78 | 73% | 27% | 9 | 1 | 16 | 4 | 103 | 23 | 12 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 |
| 29.11.25 | Championship | Middlesbrough | Derby | 2 | 1 | 1.50 | 0.92 | 75% | 25% | 5 | 1 | 17 | 5 | 61 | 33 | 9 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| 25.11.25 | Championship | Swansea | Derby | 1 | 2 | 0.63 | 1.04 | 67% | 33% | 4 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 71 | 47 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
Record 2-2-0 (W-D-L), 1.5 scored / 1.0 conceded avg.
| Date | League | Home | Away | xG | % | On | Off | DA | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24.10.25 | Premier League | Leeds | West Ham | 2 | 1 | 1.57 | 0.63 | 41% | 59% | 5 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 25 | 49 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
| 08.04.25 | Championship | Middlesbrough | Leeds | 0 | 1 | 1.18 | 1.00 | 53% | 47% | 2 | 3 | 15 | 2 | 51 | 25 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 05.04.25 | Championship | Luton | Leeds | 1 | 1 | 0.81 | 0.63 | 34% | 66% | 3 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 53 | 48 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| 15.03.25 | Championship | QPR | Leeds | 2 | 2 | 0.75 | 1.40 | 34% | 66% | 4 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 43 | 77 | 1 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
| Date | League | Home | Away | xG | % | On | Off | DA | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04.01.26 | Championship | Derby | Wrexham | 1 | 2 | 1.09 | 1.46 | — | — | 6 | 3 | 9 | 9 | 69 | 35 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| 01.01.26 | Championship | Derby | Middlesbrough | 1 | 0 | 0.99 | 1.21 | 32% | 68% | 3 | 5 | 4 | 15 | 24 | 56 | 4 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| 29.12.25 | Championship | Leicester | Derby | 2 | 1 | 0.87 | 0.43 | 45% | 55% | 2 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 44 | 38 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| 26.12.25 | Championship | Birmingham | Derby | 1 | 1 | 3.15 | 0.78 | 73% | 27% | 9 | 1 | 16 | 4 | 103 | 23 | 12 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 |
| 20.12.25 | Championship | Derby | Portsmouth | 1 | 1 | 0.67 | 0.14 | 52% | 48% | 7 | 1 | 7 | 2 | 60 | 37 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 15.12.25 | Championship | Sheff Wed | Derby | 0 | 3 | 0.18 | 1.63 | 60% | 40% | 1 | 7 | 2 | 8 | 39 | 41 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 10.12.25 | Championship | Derby | Millwall | 1 | 1 | 1.15 | 1.01 | 55% | 45% | 3 | 2 | 9 | 10 | 52 | 37 | 11 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
| 06.12.25 | Championship | Derby | Leicester | 1 | 3 | 1.36 | 1.19 | 61% | 39% | 5 | 4 | 13 | 0 | 54 | 38 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| 29.11.25 | Championship | Middlesbrough | Derby | 2 | 1 | 1.50 | 0.92 | 75% | 25% | 5 | 1 | 17 | 5 | 61 | 33 | 9 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| 25.11.25 | Championship | Swansea | Derby | 1 | 2 | 0.63 | 1.04 | 67% | 33% | 4 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 71 | 47 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| Date | League | Home | Away | xG | % | On | Off | DA | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07.01.26 | Premier League | Newcastle United | Leeds | 4 | 3 | 2.71 | 2.26 | 62% | 38% | 8 | 6 | 10 | 8 | 68 | 47 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 2 |
| 04.01.26 | Premier League | Leeds | Manchester United | 1 | 1 | 0.92 | 1.45 | 45% | 55% | 3 | 2 | 7 | 13 | 51 | 27 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 1 |
| 01.01.26 | Premier League | Liverpool | Leeds | 0 | 0 | 1.95 | 0.67 | 69% | 31% | 4 | 2 | 15 | 2 | 75 | 31 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 2 |
| 28.12.25 | Premier League | Sunderland | Leeds | 1 | 1 | 0.64 | 2.03 | 43% | 57% | 3 | 6 | 5 | 11 | 47 | 64 | 3 | 9 | 1 | 0 |
| 20.12.25 | Premier League | Leeds | Crystal Palace | 4 | 1 | 2.91 | 1.57 | 53% | 47% | 8 | 3 | 12 | 6 | 51 | 35 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 |
| 14.12.25 | Premier League | Brentford | Leeds | 1 | 1 | 0.71 | 1.39 | 57% | 43% | 2 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 39 | 49 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
| 06.12.25 | Premier League | Leeds | Liverpool | 3 | 3 | 1.50 | 1.92 | 45% | 55% | 5 | 7 | 7 | 9 | 35 | 64 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 3 |
| 03.12.25 | Premier League | Leeds | Chelsea | 3 | 1 | 2.82 | 1.10 | 29% | 71% | 5 | 2 | 12 | 12 | 33 | 53 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 |
| 29.11.25 | Premier League | Manchester City | Leeds | 3 | 2 | 2.72 | 1.52 | 62% | 38% | 9 | 4 | 9 | 5 | 70 | 41 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 1 |