Middlesbrough vs Derby — preview, stats, live

Championship

ноя 29, 2025 at 18:00

Middlesbrough

2:1

Derby

1.50

0.92

Championship: Middlesbrough vs Derby on 29 Nov 2025 finished 2:1.

Middlesbrough are out of form: 2-5-3 in their last 10, 1.4 scored and 1.2 conceded per game.

Derby are in good form: 5-0-5 in their last 10, 1.3 scored and 1.2 conceded per game.

Over 2.5 lands in 50% of Middlesbrough's games and 50% of Derby's; both teams score in 60% and 50%.

Chance quality: xG 1.5 vs 0.9.

Head-to-head (5): Middlesbrough 3, Derby 2, 0 draws.

Predicted: 1:0 (15%) · also likely 1:1 (12%)

Match statistics

1.50

0.92

Detailed statistics

	Goals Threshold: 2,25			Yellow cards Threshold: 4,5			Corners Threshold: 9,5
Metric	MI		Total	MI		Total	MI		Total
Matches played	10	10	—	20	20	—	20	20	—
Total less	6 60%	5 50%	—	15 75%	17 85%	—	14 70%	11 55%	—
Total more	4 40%	5 50%	—	5 25%	3 15%	—	6 30%	9 45%	—
Matches home / away	5	4	—	20	20	—	20	20	—
Total less (home / away)	2 40%	1 25%	—	16 80%	17 85%	—	12 60%	13 65%	—
Total more (home / away)	3 60%	3 75%	—	4 20%	3 15%	—	8 40%	7 35%	—
Individual total (home / away)	1,40	1,75	3,15	1,05	2,00	3,05	5,75	3,10	8,85
Individual total (overall)	1,00	1,50	2,50	1,45	2,05	3,50	5,35	4,10	9,45
Avg total	2,30	2,50	2,40	3,30	3,20	3,25	9,10	9,70	9,40
Avg total (home / away)	2,80	2,75	2,78	2,70	3,05	2,88	9,65	8,60	9,13
Avg opponents' total	1,30	1,00	2,30	1,85	1,15	3,00	3,75	5,60	9,35
Avg opponents' total (home / away)	1,40	1,00	2,40	1,65	1,05	2,70	3,90	5,50	9,40
Predicted total	—	—	2,59	—	—	3,19	—	—	9,29

Referee

James Linington

Last 2 months: 5 games · 14 YC total · 2.8 YC/game

22.11	QPR — Hull	0-1	1
04.11	Coventry — Sheff United	3-2	5
25.10	Bristol City — Birmingham	2-1	3
21.10	Millwall — Stoke	2-1	3
04.10	Preston — Charlton	0-2	2

Last 10 matches

Middlesbrough10 matches

Both teams to score60%

Clean sheets2 / 10

Scored7 / 10

scored 4 straight

Derby10 matches

Both teams to score50%

Clean sheets4 / 10

Scored9 / 10

scored 7 straight

Head-to-head

Date	League	Home	Away			xG		%		On		Off		DA
01.03.25	Championship	Middlesbrough	Derby	1	0	0.97	0.17	65%	35%	7	1	10	4	66	29	5	3	1	2	0
17.08.24	Championship	Derby	Middlesbrough	1	0	1.03	1.73	30%	70%	2	4	1	16	38	72	3	8	3	1	0
12.02.22	Championship	Middlesbrough	Derby	4	1	—	—	45%	50%	8	1	6	2	43	15	6	2	3	1	0
21.08.21	Championship	Derby	Middlesbrough	0	0	—	—	63%	37%	3	1	3	2	31	14	4	0	0	0	0
13.02.21	Championship	Derby	Middlesbrough	2	1	—	—	42%	58%	5	2	4	5	28	48	3	1	1	1	0
25.11.20	Championship	Middlesbrough	Derby	3	0	—	—	42%	58%	6	1	5	9	43	49	4	5	0	4	0
11.01.20	Championship	Middlesbrough	Derby	2	2	—	—	48%	52%	5	3	10	4	50	44	5	2	1	2	0
02.11.19	Championship	Derby	Middlesbrough	2	0	—	—	—	—	10	0	8	11	59	39	7	2	0	1	1
01.01.19	Championship	Derby	Middlesbrough	1	1	—	—	55%	41%	1	2	2	9	13	37	0	5	0	2	0
27.10.18	Championship	Middlesbrough	Derby	1	1	—	—	47%	53%	1	7	8	9	45	32	9	4	1	1	0

Against common opponents (2 months)

Middlesbrough

Date	League	Home	Away			xG		%		On		Off		DA
22.11.25	Championship	Oxford	Middlesbrough	1	1	0.48	0.77	30%	70%	2	5	6	9	26	70	1	8	3	2
01.11.25	Championship	Watford	Middlesbrough	3	0	0.85	0.83	46%	54%	4	4	5	11	24	75	1	7	2	1

Derby

Date	League	Home	Away			xG		%		On		Off		DA
22.11.25	Championship	Derby	Watford	2	3	0.64	1.47	37%	63%	5	7	2	6	51	45	9	3	2	2
18.10.25	Championship	Oxford	Derby	1	0	1.82	0.23	50%	50%	7	1	12	5	36	47	4	12	4	1

Against similar-strength opponents

Matches with the same favourite/underdog setup by the bookmaker line.

Middlesbrough (as favourite) odds 1.45–2.05

Record 2-2-1 (W-D-L), 0.6 scored / 1.0 conceded avg.

Date	League	Home	Away			xG		%		On		Off		DA
25.10.25	Championship	Middlesbrough	Wrexham	1	1	0.73	0.77	69%	31%	4	2	9	4	65	25	4	4	0	5
22.10.25	Championship	Sheff Wed	Middlesbrough	0	1	0.66	1.68	52%	48%	3	7	8	12	46	39	6	5	3	1
30.09.25	Championship	Middlesbrough	Stoke	0	0	0.61	0.91	55%	45%	4	11	8	7	37	37	5	8	2	0
12.08.25	EFL Cup	Middlesbrough	Doncaster	0	4	0.88	1.89	63%	37%	5	5	14	9	68	41	7	2	1	3
09.08.25	Championship	Middlesbrough	Swansea	1	0	0.33	0.08	54%	46%	2	1	4	2	42	40	7	2	2	5

Derby (vs a strong favourite) odds 1.01–2.30

Record 3-2-0 (W-D-L), 1.8 scored / 1.0 conceded avg.

Date	League	Home	Away			xG		%		On		Off		DA
25.11.25	Championship	Swansea	Derby	1	2	0.63	1.04	67%	33%	4	5	5	6	71	47	4	2	0	2
08.11.25	Championship	Blackburn	Derby	1	2	1.09	0.48	65%	35%	3	4	5	2	64	22	13	3	1	3
01.11.25	Championship	Sheff United	Derby	1	3	2.13	1.79	62%	38%	8	4	7	8	74	43	9	4	2	1
04.10.25	Championship	Derby	Southampton	1	1	1.21	1.43	37%	63%	6	7	4	8	47	55	3	5	4	2
27.09.25	Championship	Wrexham	Derby	1	1	0.74	0.37	54%	46%	4	3	6	2	57	47	4	3	1	5

Last matches (2 months)

Middlesbrough LDWDLDWWLD

Date	League	Home	Away			xG		%		On		Off		DA
25.11.25	Championship	Middlesbrough	Coventry	2	4	1.05	1.39	63%	37%	5	7	9	11	99	75	8	3	0	0	0
22.11.25	Championship	Oxford	Middlesbrough	1	1	0.48	0.77	30%	70%	2	5	6	9	26	70	1	8	3	2	0
08.11.25	Championship	Middlesbrough	Birmingham	2	1	0.68	1.11	43%	57%	4	3	4	13	40	57	3	5	1	1	0
04.11.25	Championship	Leicester	Middlesbrough	1	1	1.40	1.27	37%	63%	2	4	4	13	28	63	3	6	6	1	1
01.11.25	Championship	Watford	Middlesbrough	3	0	0.85	0.83	46%	54%	4	4	5	11	24	75	1	7	2	1	0
25.10.25	Championship	Middlesbrough	Wrexham	1	1	0.73	0.77	69%	31%	4	2	9	4	65	25	4	4	0	5	0
22.10.25	Championship	Sheff Wed	Middlesbrough	0	1	0.66	1.68	52%	48%	3	7	8	12	46	39	6	5	3	1	0
17.10.25	Championship	Middlesbrough	Ipswich	2	1	1.85	1.96	48%	52%	5	5	10	12	42	44	5	9	3	1	0
04.10.25	Championship	Portsmouth	Middlesbrough	1	0	0.48	0.84	38%	62%	1	1	7	11	32	52	2	8	2	1	0
30.09.25	Championship	Middlesbrough	Stoke	0	0	0.61	0.91	55%	45%	4	11	8	7	37	37	5	8	2	0	0

Derby WLWWWWWLDD

Date	League	Home	Away			xG		%		On		Off		DA
25.11.25	Championship	Swansea	Derby	1	2	0.63	1.04	67%	33%	4	5	5	6	71	47	4	2	0	2
22.11.25	Championship	Derby	Watford	2	3	0.64	1.47	37%	63%	5	7	2	6	51	45	9	3	2	2
08.11.25	Championship	Blackburn	Derby	1	2	1.09	0.48	65%	35%	3	4	5	2	64	22	13	3	1	3
04.11.25	Championship	Derby	Hull	2	1	0.74	1.28	44%	56%	3	2	5	7	43	35	6	5	1	0
01.11.25	Championship	Sheff United	Derby	1	3	2.13	1.79	62%	38%	8	4	7	8	74	43	9	4	2	1
25.10.25	Championship	Derby	QPR	1	0	1.86	0.53	39%	61%	2	1	8	4	43	36	5	2	2	2
21.10.25	Championship	Derby	Norwich	1	0	0.89	0.95	34%	66%	3	3	5	14	48	61	5	13	2	1
18.10.25	Championship	Oxford	Derby	1	0	1.82	0.23	50%	50%	7	1	12	5	36	47	4	12	4	1
04.10.25	Championship	Derby	Southampton	1	1	1.21	1.43	37%	63%	6	7	4	8	47	55	3	5	4	2
30.09.25	Championship	Derby	Charlton	1	1	1.83	0.58	58%	42%	3	3	15	7	58	35	5	2	2	0

Bookmaker lines

1X211,68X3,6525,02

Total 2,25O1,84U1,97

AH -0,7511,9121,91

See full live table on ScanGoal →

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