Wrexham vs Derby — preview, stats, live

Championship

сен 27, 2025 at 14:30

Wrexham

1:1

Derby

0.74

0.37

Championship: Wrexham vs Derby on 27 Sep 2025 finished 1:1.

Wrexham are in good form: 4-2-4 in their last 10, 1.4 scored and 1.8 conceded per game. They are scoring in 9 straight.

Derby are in good form: 5-0-5 in their last 10, 1.3 scored and 1.2 conceded per game.

Over 2.5 lands in 60% of Wrexham's games and 50% of Derby's; both teams score in 60% and 50%.

Chance quality: xG 0.7 vs 0.4.

Head-to-head (2): Wrexham 1, Derby 0, 1 draw.

Predicted: 1:1 (12%) · also likely 1:0 (10%)

Match statistics

0.74

0.37

Detailed statistics

	Goals Threshold: 2,3			Yellow cards Threshold: 4,5			Corners Threshold: 9,5
Metric	WR		Total	WR		Total	WR		Total
Matches played	9	10	—	20	20	—	20	20	—
Total less	2 22%	5 50%	—	19 95%	19 95%	—	8 40%	14 70%	—
Total more	7 78%	5 50%	—	1 5%	1 5%	—	12 60%	6 30%	—
Matches home / away	5	6	—	20	20	—	20	20	—
Total less (home / away)	1 20%	2 33%	—	15 75%	19 95%	—	10 50%	12 60%	—
Total more (home / away)	4 80%	4 67%	—	5 25%	1 5%	—	10 50%	8 40%	—
Individual total (home / away)	2,00	1,67	3,67	1,25	1,90	3,15	4,55	3,65	8,20
Individual total (overall)	2,11	1,60	3,71	1,25	1,85	3,10	4,75	3,35	8,10
Avg total	4,00	3,30	3,65	2,20	2,90	2,55	9,45	8,30	8,88
Avg total (home / away)	4,20	3,33	3,77	3,00	2,95	2,98	9,70	8,65	9,18
Avg opponents' total	1,89	1,70	3,59	0,95	1,05	2,00	4,70	4,95	9,65
Avg opponents' total (home / away)	2,20	1,67	3,87	1,75	1,05	2,80	5,15	5,00	10,15
Predicted total	—	—	3,71	—	—	3,04	—	—	8,64

Referee

Tom Nield

Last 2 months: 4 games · 16 YC total · 4 YC/game

30.08	Blackpool — Bolton	1-2	3
26.08	Norwich — Southampton	0-1	1
23.08	Hull — Blackburn	2-2	4
16.08	Millwall — Middlesbrough	4-4	8

Last 10 matches

Wrexham10 matches

Both teams to score60%

Clean sheets3 / 10

Scored9 / 10

scored 9 straight

Derby10 matches

Both teams to score50%

Clean sheets4 / 10

Scored9 / 10

Head-to-head

No head-to-head matches.

Against common opponents (2 months)

Wrexham

Date	League	Home	Away			xG		%		On		Off		DA
26.08.25	EFL Cup	Preston	Wrexham	2	3	1.04	1.20	53%	47%	6	3	7	8	40	29	5	6	1	1
16.08.25	Championship	Wrexham	West Brom	2	3	1.82	2.39	51%	49%	3	5	12	12	40	42	5	5	2	0

Derby

Date	League	Home	Away			xG		%		On		Off		DA
20.09.25	Championship	Derby	Preston	0	1	0.30	0.79	48%	52%	3	6	5	4	39	33	3	4	2	2
13.09.25	Championship	West Brom	Derby	0	1	—	—	67%	33%	3	1	16	3	89	18	11	0	1	2
12.08.25	EFL Cup	West Brom	Derby	1	1	1.42	0.18	54%	46%	5	1	17	3	68	32	8	2	1	3

Against similar-strength opponents

Matches with the same favourite/underdog setup by the bookmaker line.

Wrexham (as favourite) odds 1.80–2.30

Record 2-2-1 (W-D-L), 1.6 scored / 1.0 conceded avg.

Date	League	Home	Away			xG		%		On		Off		DA
13.09.25	Championship	Wrexham	QPR	1	3	—	—	61%	39%	8	7	15	8	58	44	12	9	1	0
26.04.25	League 1	Wrexham	Charlton	3	0	0.79	0.98	—	—	4	3	3	6	31	59	2	5	2	1
12.04.25	League 1	Wigan	Wrexham	0	0	0.56	0.31	30%	70%	3	0	4	3	37	37	5	5	1	0
01.04.25	League 1	Cambridge	Wrexham	2	2	1.69	0.78	44%	56%	4	8	7	4	44	55	5	6	2	2
29.03.25	League 1	Exeter	Wrexham	0	2	0.23	1.58	51%	49%	1	6	7	2	48	51	6	4	1	0

Derby (vs a strong favourite) odds 1.01–2.50

Record 1-2-2 (W-D-L), 1.6 scored / 2.0 conceded avg.

Date	League	Home	Away			xG		%		On		Off		DA
13.09.25	Championship	West Brom	Derby	0	1	—	—	67%	33%	3	1	16	3	89	18	11	0	1	2
30.08.25	Championship	Ipswich	Derby	2	2	1.70	1.47	69%	31%	5	2	13	8	69	30	6	3	2	7
26.08.25	EFL Cup	Burnley	Derby	2	1	1.29	0.81	55%	45%	4	2	8	6	59	28	5	3	1	1
22.08.25	Championship	Derby	Bristol City	1	1	0.46	0.75	52%	48%	2	3	3	8	36	39	4	5	3	0
16.08.25	Championship	Derby	Coventry	3	5	1.26	3.27	47%	53%	4	9	8	8	39	43	6	5	2	5

Last matches (2 months)

Wrexham WWLWWDLDL

Date	League	Home	Away			xG		%		On		Off		DA
23.09.25	EFL Cup	Wrexham	Reading	2	0	1.70	0.55	46%	54%	6	5	9	5	49	51	3	4	1	0
20.09.25	Championship	Norwich	Wrexham	2	3	1.94	1.04	62%	38%	4	8	9	2	47	42	2	3	1	3
13.09.25	Championship	Wrexham	QPR	1	3	—	—	61%	39%	8	7	15	8	58	44	12	9	1	0
30.08.25	Championship	Millwall	Wrexham	0	2	1.45	0.55	60%	40%	2	3	20	3	62	27	5	2	1	4
26.08.25	EFL Cup	Preston	Wrexham	2	3	1.04	1.20	53%	47%	6	3	7	8	40	29	5	6	1	1
23.08.25	Championship	Wrexham	Sheff Wed	2	2	1.39	1.65	48%	52%	4	6	7	13	38	61	3	9	0	0
16.08.25	Championship	Wrexham	West Brom	2	3	1.82	2.39	51%	49%	3	5	12	12	40	42	5	5	2	0
12.08.25	EFL Cup	Wrexham	Hull	3	3	1.20	2.04	—	—	5	6	10	8	43	53	6	4	0	3
09.08.25	Championship	Southampton	Wrexham	2	1	3.42	1.63	75%	25%	10	2	16	7	78	26	7	3	1	3

Derby LWDLDLDLW—

Date	League	Home	Away			xG		%		On		Off		DA
20.09.25	Championship	Derby	Preston	0	1	0.30	0.79	48%	52%	3	6	5	4	39	33	3	4	2	2
13.09.25	Championship	West Brom	Derby	0	1	—	—	67%	33%	3	1	16	3	89	18	11	0	1	2
30.08.25	Championship	Ipswich	Derby	2	2	1.70	1.47	69%	31%	5	2	13	8	69	30	6	3	2	7
26.08.25	EFL Cup	Burnley	Derby	2	1	1.29	0.81	55%	45%	4	2	8	6	59	28	5	3	1	1
22.08.25	Championship	Derby	Bristol City	1	1	0.46	0.75	52%	48%	2	3	3	8	36	39	4	5	3	0
16.08.25	Championship	Derby	Coventry	3	5	1.26	3.27	47%	53%	4	9	8	8	39	43	6	5	2	5
12.08.25	EFL Cup	West Brom	Derby	1	1	1.42	0.18	54%	46%	5	1	17	3	68	32	8	2	1	3
09.08.25	Championship	Stoke	Derby	3	1	1.09	0.42	68%	32%	7	2	5	1	37	30	7	3	1	2
02.08.25	Friendlies	Derby	Atromitos	2	0	—	—	50%	50%	2	4	5	5	65	56	2	6	1	2

Bookmaker lines

1X212,10X3,4023,40

Total 2,25O2,03U1,83

AH -0,2511,8022,05

See full live table on ScanGoal →

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