Burnley vs Derby — preview, stats, live

EFL Cup · 📍 Turf Moor

авг 26, 2025 at 21:45

Burnley

2:1

Derby

1.29

0.81

EFL Cup: Burnley vs Derby on 26 Aug 2025 finished 2:1.

Burnley are out of form: 0-3-7 in their last 10, 0.6 scored and 1.9 conceded per game.

Derby are in good form: 5-0-5 in their last 10, 1.3 scored and 1.2 conceded per game. They are scoring in 10 straight.

Over 2.5 lands in 40% of Burnley's games and 50% of Derby's; both teams score in 50% and 50%.

Chance quality: xG 1.3 vs 0.8.

Head-to-head (5): Burnley 2, Derby 0, 3 draws.

Predicted: 0:1 (13%) · also likely 1:1 (12%)

Match statistics

1.29

0.81

Detailed statistics

	Goals Threshold: 2,5			Yellow cards Threshold: 4,5			Corners Threshold: 10
Metric	BU		Total	BU		Total	BU		Total
Matches played	7	10	—	20	20	—	20	20	—
Total less	4 57%	4 40%	—	13 65%	18 90%	—	13 65%	14 70%	—
Total more	3 43%	6 60%	—	7 35%	2 10%	—	5 25%	3 15%	—
Matches home / away	2	7	—	20	20	—	20	20	—
Total less (home / away)	2 100%	2 29%	—	16 80%	19 95%	—	10 50%	12 60%	—
Total more (home / away)	0 0%	5 71%	—	4 20%	1 5%	—	7 35%	4 20%	—
Individual total (home / away)	1,00	1,86	2,86	1,10	1,90	3,00	6,70	3,70	10,40
Individual total (overall)	1,14	1,90	3,04	1,45	1,95	3,40	4,90	3,50	8,40
Avg total	2,57	3,70	3,14	3,40	3,05	3,23	8,50	8,30	8,40
Avg total (home / away)	1,50	3,57	2,54	2,95	2,90	2,93	9,90	8,70	9,30
Avg opponents' total	1,43	1,80	3,23	2,05	1,10	3,15	3,53	4,80	8,33
Avg opponents' total (home / away)	0,50	1,71	2,21	1,85	1,00	2,85	3,20	5,00	8,20
Predicted total	—	—	2,84	—	—	3,16	—	—	8,85

Referee

Andrew Kitchen

Last 2 months: 2 games · 7 YC total · 3.5 YC/game

17.08	Hull — Oxford	1-1	2
08.08	Birmingham — Ipswich	2-3	5

Last 10 matches

Burnley10 matches

Both teams to score50%

Clean sheets1 / 10

Scored5 / 10

Derby10 matches

Both teams to score50%

Clean sheets4 / 10

Scored9 / 10

scored 10 straight

Head-to-head

Date	League	Home	Away			xG		%		On		Off		DA
08.04.25	Championship	Derby	Burnley	0	0	0.92	0.79	30%	70%	0	2	9	7	42	39	8	4	2	0
10.12.24	Championship	Burnley	Derby	0	0	0.81	0.58	67%	33%	3	1	12	5	67	17	6	2	1	2
25.01.16	Championship	Burnley	Derby	4	1	—	—	44%	56%	6	5	3	6	31	39	3	11	0	2
21.09.15	Championship	Derby	Burnley	0	0	—	—	51%	49%	6	2	6	3	36	30	7	5	0	0

Against common opponents (2 months)

Burnley

Date	League	Home	Away			%		On		Off		DA
02.08.25	Elite Club Friendlies	Stoke	Burnley	1	0	50%	50%	4	2	5	7	29	30	2	5	3	3	0	1

Derby

Date	League	Home	Away			xG		%		On		Off		DA
09.08.25	Championship	Stoke	Derby	3	1	1.09	0.42	68%	32%	7	2	5	1	37	30	7	3	1	2

Against similar-strength opponents

Matches with the same favourite/underdog setup by the bookmaker line.

Burnley (as favourite) odds 1.12–1.55

Record 4-1-0 (W-D-L), 1.8 scored / 0.6 conceded avg.

Date	League	Home	Away			xG		%		On		Off		DA
03.05.25	Championship	Burnley	Millwall	3	1	2.05	1.50	72%	28%	9	3	12	9	62	29	7	4	1	0	0
11.04.25	Championship	Burnley	Norwich	2	1	0.93	1.39	45%	55%	2	2	6	10	45	31	5	5	2	2	0
04.02.25	Championship	Burnley	Oxford	1	0	1.51	0.25	61%	39%	7	1	9	6	52	29	12	3	2	2	0
11.01.25	FA Cup	Reading	Burnley	1	3	—	—	40%	60%	4	6	11	14	45	56	1	8	0	1	0
01.01.25	Championship	Burnley	Stoke	0	0	1.38	0.72	67%	33%	0	3	17	11	73	32	6	2	1	4	1

Derby (vs a strong favourite) odds 1.01–2.30

Record 1-1-2 (W-D-L), 2.0 scored / 2.5 conceded avg.

Date	League	Home	Away			xG		%		On		Off		DA
16.08.25	Championship	Derby	Coventry	3	5	1.26	3.27	47%	53%	4	9	8	8	39	43	6	5	2	5
12.08.25	EFL Cup	West Brom	Derby	1	1	1.42	0.18	54%	46%	5	1	17	3	68	32	8	2	1	3
09.08.25	Championship	Stoke	Derby	3	1	1.09	0.42	68%	32%	7	2	5	1	37	30	7	3	1	2
21.04.25	Championship	West Brom	Derby	1	3	0.95	0.87	72%	28%	1	4	12	0	51	35	4	3	1	2

Last matches (2 months)

Burnley WLLLLDW

Date	League	Home	Away			xG		%		On		Off		DA
23.08.25	Premier League	Burnley	Sunderland	2	0	0.95	0.61	42%	58%	2	1	5	8	41	59	4	3	0	1	0
16.08.25	Premier League	Tottenham	Burnley	3	0	2.32	1.09	68%	32%	6	4	10	10	51	34	6	5	0	0	0
09.08.25	Friendlies	Burnley	Lazio	0	1	—	—	50%	50%	4	5	4	4	36	30	9	2	1	4	0
02.08.25	Elite Club Friendlies	Stoke	Burnley	1	0	—	—	50%	50%	4	2	5	7	29	30	2	5	3	3	1
29.07.25	Friendlies	Warrington Rylands	Burnley	3	2	—	—	—	—	—	—	0	0	53	45	3	2	2	1	0
26.07.25	Elite Club Friendlies	Shrewsbury	Burnley	2	2	—	—	39%	61%	4	6	5	6	33	46	5	4	0	0	0
26.07.25	Elite Club Friendlies	Huddersfield	Burnley	0	2	—	—	41%	59%	1	10	2	6	24	68	1	6	0	0	0

Derby DLDLW—WLWW

Date	League	Home	Away			xG		%		On		Off		DA
22.08.25	Championship	Derby	Bristol City	1	1	0.46	0.75	52%	48%	2	3	3	8	36	39	4	5	3	0
16.08.25	Championship	Derby	Coventry	3	5	1.26	3.27	47%	53%	4	9	8	8	39	43	6	5	2	5
12.08.25	EFL Cup	West Brom	Derby	1	1	1.42	0.18	54%	46%	5	1	17	3	68	32	8	2	1	3
09.08.25	Championship	Stoke	Derby	3	1	1.09	0.42	68%	32%	7	2	5	1	37	30	7	3	1	2
02.08.25	Friendlies	Derby	Atromitos	2	0	—	—	50%	50%	2	4	5	5	65	56	2	6	1	2
29.07.25	Friendlies	Solihull	Derby	2	4	—	—	50%	50%	2	4	2	7	53	76	1	4	0	0
26.07.25	Friendlies	Burton	Derby	2	1	—	—	49%	51%	4	2	2	8	27	34	1	4	0	2
22.07.25	Friendlies	Walsall	Derby	2	3	—	—	50%	50%	2	4	3	0	42	31	4	1	0	0
18.07.25	Friendlies	Salzburg	Derby	1	2	1.46	0.25	69%	31%	5	4	6	1	57	21	6	0	1	1

Bookmaker lines

1X211,42X4,5027,50

Total 2,50O1,88U1,98

AH -1,2512,0521,80

See full live table on ScanGoal →

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