Unam Pumas vs Toluca — preview, stats, live

Clausura

мар 4, 2026 at 06:00

Unam Pumas

2:3

Toluca

2.47

2.61

Clausura: Unam Pumas vs Toluca on 04 Mar 2026 finished 2:3.

Unam Pumas are in good form: 5-3-2 in their last 10, 1.9 scored and 1.2 conceded per game. They are unbeaten in 8 and scoring in 8 straight.

Toluca are out of form: 3-2-5 in their last 10, 1.8 scored and 1.4 conceded per game. They are unbeaten in 9.

Over 2.5 lands in 50% of Unam Pumas's games and 60% of Toluca's; both teams score in 50% and 60%.

Chance quality: xG 2.5 vs 2.6.

Head-to-head (1): Unam Pumas 0, Toluca 1, 0 draws.

Predicted: 0:1 (16%) · also likely 1:1 (13%)

Match statistics

2.47

2.61

Detailed statistics

	Goals Threshold: 2,8			Yellow cards Threshold: 4,5			Corners Threshold: 9,0
Metric	UP		Total	UP		Total	UP		Total
Matches played	8	8	—	8	20	—	8	20	—
Total less	5 63%	6 75%	—	6 75%	10 50%	—	4 50%	10 50%	—
Total more	3 38%	2 25%	—	2 25%	10 50%	—	3 38%	7 35%	—
Matches home / away	4	4	—	4	20	—	4	20	—
Total less (home / away)	3 75%	3 75%	—	3 75%	8 40%	—	1 25%	8 40%	—
Total more (home / away)	1 25%	1 25%	—	1 25%	12 60%	—	2 50%	11 55%	—
Individual total (home / away)	2,00	1,00	3,00	1,50	2,50	4,00	4,00	5,50	9,50
Individual total (overall)	1,88	1,38	3,25	2,00	2,30	4,30	3,13	5,45	8,58
Avg total	2,75	1,63	2,19	3,25	4,70	3,98	9,50	9,00	9,25
Avg total (home / away)	2,50	1,00	1,75	2,50	5,20	3,85	9,75	9,70	9,73
Avg opponents' total	0,88	0,25	1,13	1,25	2,40	3,65	6,38	3,55	9,93
Avg opponents' total (home / away)	0,50	0,00	0,50	1,00	2,70	3,70	5,75	4,20	9,95
Predicted total	—	—	1,97	—	—	4,08	—	—	9,15

Referee

Marco Antonio Ortiz Nava

Last 2 months: 6 games · 26 YC total · 4.33 YC/game · 2 RC

26.02	Vancouver — Cartagines	3-3	6
21.02	Tigres UANL — Pachuca	21-0	21
18.02	Real Espana — Los Angeles	0-0	0
08.02	Queretaro — Leon	4-41	81
19.01	Santos Laguna — Juarez	4-4	8
11.01	Chivas Guadalajara — Pachuca	0-2	2

Last 10 matches

Unam Pumas10 matches

Both teams to score50%

Clean sheets4 / 10

Scored8 / 10

unbeaten 8scored 8 straight

Toluca10 matches

Both teams to score60%

Clean sheets2 / 10

Scored8 / 10

unbeaten 9scored 4 straight

Head-to-head

No head-to-head matches.

Against common opponents (2 months)

Unam Pumas

Date	League	Home	Away			xG		%		On		Off		DA
28.02.26	Clausura	Tijuana	Unam Pumas	1	1	0.43	1.66	30%	70%	3	3	6	12	39	57	3	4	1	2	0
23.02.26	Clausura	Unam Pumas	Monterrey	2	0	1.54	1.32	36%	64%	6	10	6	14	45	92	4	8	0	0	0
14.02.26	LIGA MX	Puebla	Unam Pumas	2	3	0.94	1.99	39%	61%	4	5	13	12	34	40	4	2	1	1	0
31.01.26	LIGA MX	Unam Pumas	Santos Laguna	4	0	0.27	0.90	53%	47%	5	4	3	6	28	32	0	7	2	3	0
15.01.26	LIGA MX	Tigres UANL	Unam Pumas	0	1	2.18	0.68	—	—	5	4	24	2	43	21	18	2	3	5	1

Toluca

Date	League	Home	Away			xG		%		On		Off		DA
14.02.26	Clausura	Toluca	Tijuana	1	0	1.82	0.28	60%	40%	3	3	8	2	54	27	4	4	3	2	0
31.01.26	Clausura	Puebla	Toluca	0	0	0.52	2.08	30%	70%	1	5	3	22	18	82	0	12	2	3	1
18.01.26	Clausura	Tigres UANL	Toluca	0	0	0.26	0.45	50%	50%	2	4	5	7	31	42	3	3	3	4	1
15.01.26	Clausura	Toluca	Santos Laguna	3	1	2.26	0.19	74%	26%	9	2	13	1	0	0	5	1	2	6	0
11.01.26	Clausura	Monterrey	Toluca	0	1	1.51	1.02	65%	35%	5	2	11	12	41	40	2	4	0	5	0

Against similar-strength opponents

Matches with the same favourite/underdog setup by the bookmaker line.

Unam Pumas (vs a strong favourite) odds 1.01–2.30

Record 0-1-0 (W-D-L), 1.0 scored / 1.0 conceded avg.

Date	League	Home	Away			xG		%		On		Off		DA
28.02.26	Clausura	Tijuana	Unam Pumas	1	1	0.43	1.66	30%	70%	3	3	6	12	39	57	3	4	1	2

Toluca (as favourite) odds 1.45–2.05

Record 3-2-0 (W-D-L), 1.8 scored / 0.8 conceded avg.

Date	League	Home	Away			xG		%		On		Off		DA
22.02.26	Clausura	Necaxa	Toluca	0	3	0.47	2.11	45%	55%	6	6	6	13	41	41	3	7	4	3	0
08.02.26	Clausura	Toluca	Cruz Azul	1	1	2.20	0.94	56%	44%	6	3	9	5	38	37	6	1	0	2	0
31.01.26	Clausura	Puebla	Toluca	0	0	0.52	2.08	30%	70%	1	5	3	22	18	82	0	12	2	3	1
15.12.25	Clausura	Toluca	Tigres UANL	2	1	2.69	0.44	65%	35%	12	2	18	5	67	44	11	5	4	3	0
07.12.25	Clausura	Toluca	Monterrey	3	2	2.35	1.71	46%	54%	7	2	4	7	24	34	4	2	1	0	0

Last matches (2 months)

Unam Pumas DWWDWDWD

Date	League	Home	Away			xG		%		On		Off		DA
28.02.26	Clausura	Tijuana	Unam Pumas	1	1	0.43	1.66	30%	70%	3	3	6	12	39	57	3	4	1	2	0
23.02.26	Clausura	Unam Pumas	Monterrey	2	0	1.54	1.32	36%	64%	6	10	6	14	45	92	4	8	0	0	0
14.02.26	LIGA MX	Puebla	Unam Pumas	2	3	0.94	1.99	39%	61%	4	5	13	12	34	40	4	2	1	1	0
08.02.26	LIGA MX	Atlas	Unam Pumas	2	2	1.34	1.27	65%	35%	3	3	6	3	63	18	3	1	1	2	0
31.01.26	LIGA MX	Unam Pumas	Santos Laguna	4	0	0.27	0.90	53%	47%	5	4	3	6	28	32	0	7	2	3	0
18.01.26	LIGA MX	Unam Pumas	Leon	1	1	0.79	1.12	56%	44%	2	6	11	11	64	5	5	4	3	1	0
15.01.26	LIGA MX	Tigres UANL	Unam Pumas	0	1	2.18	0.68	—	—	5	4	24	2	43	21	18	2	3	5	1
11.01.26	Mexico Liga MX	Unam Pumas	Queretaro	1	1	1.13	1.20	59%	41%	4	4	12	11	31	22	7	4	1	0	0

Toluca WWWDDDWW

Date	League	Home	Away			xG		%		On		Off		DA
01.03.26	Clausura	Toluca	Chivas Guadalajara	2	1	1.41	0.66	46%	44%	5	0	7	1	28	9	2	1	4	0	0
22.02.26	Clausura	Necaxa	Toluca	0	3	0.47	2.11	45%	55%	6	6	6	13	41	41	3	7	4	3	0
14.02.26	Clausura	Toluca	Tijuana	1	0	1.82	0.28	60%	40%	3	3	8	2	54	27	4	4	3	2	0
08.02.26	Clausura	Toluca	Cruz Azul	1	1	2.20	0.94	56%	44%	6	3	9	5	38	37	6	1	0	2	0
31.01.26	Clausura	Puebla	Toluca	0	0	0.52	2.08	30%	70%	1	5	3	22	18	82	0	12	2	3	1
18.01.26	Clausura	Tigres UANL	Toluca	0	0	0.26	0.45	50%	50%	2	4	5	7	31	42	3	3	3	4	1
15.01.26	Clausura	Toluca	Santos Laguna	3	1	2.26	0.19	74%	26%	9	2	13	1	0	0	5	1	2	6	0
11.01.26	Clausura	Monterrey	Toluca	0	1	1.51	1.02	65%	35%	5	2	11	12	41	40	2	4	0	5	0

Bookmaker lines

1X214,00X3,7021,85

Total 2,75O1,83U1,98

AH +0,5011,9521,85

All Pinnacle markets

Goals

Goals total
Line	O	U
1.5	1.24	4.31
2.25	1.55	2.56
2.5	1.76	2.16
2.75	1.95	1.93
3	2.25	1.69
3.25	2.55	1.55
3.5	2.83	1.45
4.5	5.40	1.17

Team goals
Team	Line	O	U
Unam Pumas	1.5	2.91	1.44
Toluca	1.5	1.89	1.96

Corners

Corners total
Line	O	U
8	1.49	2.49
8.5	1.70	2.10
9	1.93	1.88
9.5	1.47	2.66
10	1.61	2.32
10.5	1.86	1.96
11	2.16	1.70
11.5	2.47	1.54

Team corners
Team	Line	O	U
Unam Pumas	3.5	1.99	1.83
Toluca	4.5	1.68	2.10
Toluca	7	1.93	1.89

See full live table on ScanGoal →

Other matches that day

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