Toluca vs Tigres UANL — preview, stats, live

Clausura

дек 15, 2025 at 04:00

Toluca

2:1

Tigres UANL

2.69

0.44

Clausura: Toluca vs Tigres UANL on 15 Dec 2025 finished 2:1.

Toluca are out of form: 3-2-5 in their last 10, 1.8 scored and 1.4 conceded per game.

Tigres UANL are in good form: 5-3-2 in their last 10, 1.7 scored and 1.0 conceded per game.

Over 2.5 lands in 60% of Toluca's games and 40% of Tigres UANL's; both teams score in 60% and 60%.

Chance quality: xG 2.7 vs 0.4.

Head-to-head (5): Toluca 1, Tigres UANL 2, 2 draws.

Predicted: 1:1 (12%) · also likely 1:0 (11%)

Match statistics

2.69

0.44

Detailed statistics

	Goals Threshold: 2,5			Yellow cards Threshold: 4,5			Corners Threshold: 9,5
Metric			Total			Total			Total
Matches played	10	10	—	20	20	—	20	20	—
Total less	6 60%	5 50%	—	13 65%	10 50%	—	12 60%	11 55%	—
Total more	4 40%	5 50%	—	7 35%	10 50%	—	8 40%	9 45%	—
Matches home / away	5	4	—	20	20	—	20	20	—
Total less (home / away)	2 40%	2 50%	—	12 60%	7 35%	—	16 80%	9 45%	—
Total more (home / away)	3 60%	2 50%	—	8 40%	13 65%	—	4 20%	11 55%	—
Individual total (home / away)	2,20	1,00	3,20	2,20	2,60	4,80	4,45	5,05	9,50
Individual total (overall)	1,30	2,10	3,40	1,75	2,35	4,10	5,10	5,45	10,55
Avg total	2,00	3,20	2,60	4,05	4,80	4,43	9,40	8,85	9,13
Avg total (home / away)	3,00	2,50	2,75	4,30	4,90	4,60	8,00	9,50	8,75
Avg opponents' total	0,70	1,10	1,80	2,30	2,45	4,75	4,30	3,40	7,70
Avg opponents' total (home / away)	0,80	1,50	2,30	2,10	2,30	4,40	3,55	4,45	8,00
Predicted total	—	—	2,68	—	—	4,35	—	—	9,65

Referee

Marco Antonio Ortiz Nava

Last 2 months: 6 games · 30 YC total · 5 YC/game · 2 RC

12.12	Tigres UANL — Toluca	2-21	41
30.11	Tigres UANL — Tijuana	4-5	9
21.11	Tijuana — Juarez	2-61	81
10.11	Santos Laguna — Pachuca	3-1	4
26.10	Chivas Guadalajara — Atlas	0-2	2
18.10	Puebla — Tijuana	1-2	3

Last 10 matches

Toluca10 matches

Both teams to score60%

Clean sheets2 / 10

Scored8 / 10

Tigres UANL10 matches

Both teams to score60%

Clean sheets3 / 10

Scored8 / 10

unbeaten 4scored 4 straight

Head-to-head

Date	League	Home	Away			xG		%		On		Off		DA
12.12.25	Clausura	Tigres UANL	Toluca	1	0	1.00	0.47	51%	49%	2	1	8	5	41	31	8	0	2	2	1
27.07.25	Clausura	Toluca	Tigres UANL	3	4	1.21	1.42	54%	46%	8	6	11	5	46	26	7	0	5	3	0
18.05.25	Clausura	Toluca	Tigres UANL	3	0	1.80	0.18	—	—	6	2	2	4	23	18	2	5	3	2	0
15.05.25	MEXICO LIGA MX	Tigres UANL	Toluca	1	1	0.70	1.78	53%	47%	1	1	0	0	4	0	5	8	2	1	0
02.02.25	Clausura	Toluca	Tigres UANL	1	0	2.06	0.34	66%	34%	6	0	19	6	56	37	3	7	3	3	0
07.11.24	Clausura	Tigres UANL	Toluca	2	1	1.51	1.65	44%	56%	7	7	7	4	45	46	6	2	0	1	0
03.03.24	Clausura	Toluca	Tigres UANL	2	1	2.71	0.48	61%	39%	6	1	17	4	65	20	6	1	3	3	1
05.10.23	Clausura	Tigres UANL	Toluca	2	2	0.58	1.09	57%	43%	8	6	7	3	88	28	8	0	4	4	1

Against common opponents (2 months)

Toluca

Date	League	Home	Away			xG		%		On		Off		DA
07.12.25	Clausura	Toluca	Monterrey	3	2	2.35	1.71	46%	54%	7	2	4	7	24	34	4	2	1	0	0
04.12.25	Clausura	Monterrey	Toluca	1	0	0.33	0.96	48%	52%	3	4	3	7	32	47	3	7	1	3	0
27.10.25	Clausura	Toluca	Pachuca	2	2	2.00	1.40	58%	42%	4	6	16	10	0	0	6	3	3	4	1
23.10.25	Clausura	Tijuana	Toluca	0	0	0.30	0.34	39%	61%	0	2	4	7	30	48	3	5	2	1	0

Tigres UANL

Date	League	Home	Away			xG		%		On		Off		DA
30.11.25	Clausura	Tigres UANL	Tijuana	5	0	4.19	0.21	57%	43%	14	1	12	5	47	23	8	2	4	5	0	0
27.11.25	Mexico Liga MX	Tijuana	Tigres UANL	3	0	—	—	34%	66%	3	3	5	12	18	29	3	7	1	2	0	0
02.11.25	Clausura	Monterrey	Tigres UANL	1	1	1.36	1.23	52%	48%	5	6	8	6	41	32	3	2	1	4	1	1
26.10.25	Clausura	Tigres UANL	Tijuana	2	0	1.58	1.35	62%	38%	4	2	15	9	61	19	3	3	2	2	0	1
23.10.25	Clausura	Pachuca	Tigres UANL	1	2	1.21	0.93	54%	46%	5	8	15	3	50	26	9	3	2	7	2	1

Against similar-strength opponents

Matches with the same favourite/underdog setup by the bookmaker line.

Toluca (as favourite) odds 1.80–2.30

Record 3-1-0 (W-D-L), 2.5 scored / 0.8 conceded avg.

Date	League	Home	Away			xG		%		On		Off		DA
27.11.25	Clausura	Juarez	Toluca	1	2	—	—	43%	57%	1	8	5	15	33	50	4	9	4	1
09.11.25	Clausura	Toluca	Club America	2	0	1.37	0.51	44%	56%	4	4	11	7	47	34	4	6	1	2
23.10.25	Clausura	Tijuana	Toluca	0	0	0.30	0.34	39%	61%	0	2	4	7	30	48	3	5	2	1
25.09.25	Clausura	Toluca	Monterrey	6	2	3.38	2.55	47%	53%	13	7	11	9	0	0	6	2	1	1

Tigres UANL (vs a strong favourite) odds 1.01–2.50

Record 1-3-0 (W-D-L), 1.0 scored / 0.8 conceded avg.

Date	League	Home	Away			xG		%		On		Off		DA
04.12.25	Clausura	Cruz Azul	Tigres UANL	1	1	1.47	0.84	69%	31%	5	2	14	6	35	17	6	1	3	3	0	0
02.11.25	Clausura	Monterrey	Tigres UANL	1	1	1.36	1.23	52%	48%	5	6	8	6	41	32	3	2	1	4	1	1
23.10.25	Clausura	Pachuca	Tigres UANL	1	2	1.21	0.93	54%	46%	5	8	15	3	50	26	9	3	2	7	2	1
18.09.25	Clausura	Chivas Guadalajara	Tigres UANL	0	0	1.35	0.62	40%	60%	4	5	12	6	50	41	2	9	2	3	0	0

Last matches (2 months)

Toluca LWL—D—WWDD

Date	League	Home	Away			xG		%		On		Off		DA
12.12.25	Clausura	Tigres UANL	Toluca	1	0	1.00	0.47	51%	49%	2	1	8	5	41	31	8	0	2	2	1
07.12.25	Clausura	Toluca	Monterrey	3	2	2.35	1.71	46%	54%	7	2	4	7	24	34	4	2	1	0	0
04.12.25	Clausura	Monterrey	Toluca	1	0	0.33	0.96	48%	52%	3	4	3	7	32	47	3	7	1	3	0
30.11.25	Clausura	Toluca	Juarez	0	0	1.27	0.20	59%	41%	4	0	19	6	25	12	7	2	1	3	0
27.11.25	Clausura	Juarez	Toluca	1	2	—	—	43%	57%	1	8	5	15	33	50	4	9	4	1	0
09.11.25	Clausura	Toluca	Club America	2	0	1.37	0.51	44%	56%	4	4	11	7	47	34	4	6	1	2	0
02.11.25	Clausura	Atlas	Toluca	0	0	0.92	1.39	34%	66%	1	5	10	8	40	45	6	8	2	2	0
27.10.25	Clausura	Toluca	Pachuca	2	2	2.00	1.40	58%	42%	4	6	16	10	0	0	6	3	3	4	1

Tigres UANL WDD—WL——WD

Date	League	Home	Away			xG		%		On		Off		DA
12.12.25	Clausura	Tigres UANL	Toluca	1	0	1.00	0.47	51%	49%	2	1	8	5	41	31	8	0	2	2	0	1
07.12.25	Clausura	Tigres UANL	Cruz Azul	1	1	1.17	1.67	45%	55%	1	7	8	9	49	54	7	6	0	1	0	0
04.12.25	Clausura	Cruz Azul	Tigres UANL	1	1	1.47	0.84	69%	31%	5	2	14	6	35	17	6	1	3	3	0	0
30.11.25	Clausura	Tigres UANL	Tijuana	5	0	4.19	0.21	57%	43%	14	1	12	5	47	23	8	2	4	5	0	0
27.11.25	Mexico Liga MX	Tijuana	Tigres UANL	3	0	—	—	34%	66%	3	3	5	12	18	29	3	7	1	2	0	0
09.11.25	Clausura	Tigres UANL	Atletico San Luis	3	1	2.34	0.88	69%	31%	6	4	15	3	60	21	5	1	1	2	0	1
02.11.25	Clausura	Monterrey	Tigres UANL	1	1	1.36	1.23	52%	48%	5	6	8	6	41	32	3	2	1	4	1	1

Bookmaker lines

1X212,04X3,4623,70

Total 2,50O1,82U2,03

AH -0,5012,0521,82

See full live table on ScanGoal →

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