Finland vs Lithuania — preview, stats, live

Nations League: Finland vs Lithuania on 09 Oct 2025 finished 2:1.

Finland are out of form: 3-1-6 in their last 10, 1.1 scored and 1.7 conceded per game.

Lithuania are out of form: 1-2-7 in their last 10, 0.6 scored and 1.7 conceded per game.

Over 2.5 lands in 60% of Finland's games and 30% of Lithuania's; both teams score in 40% and 30%.

Chance quality: xG 1.3 vs 0.8.

Head-to-head (2): Finland 1, Lithuania 0, 1 draw.

Predicted: 2:1 (10%) · also likely 1:1 (9%)

Match statistics

Detailed statistics

	Goals Threshold: 2,25			Yellow cards Threshold: 4,5			Corners Threshold: 9,5
Metric			Total			Total			Total
Matches played	2	2	—	20	20	—	20	20	—
Total less	1 50%	1 50%	—	15 75%	7 35%	—	14 70%	15 75%	—
Total more	1 50%	1 50%	—	5 25%	13 65%	—	6 30%	5 25%	—
Matches home / away	0	0	—	20	20	—	20	20	—
Total less (home / away)	0 0%	0 0%	—	16 80%	10 50%	—	13 65%	12 60%	—
Total more (home / away)	0 0%	0 0%	—	4 20%	10 50%	—	7 35%	8 40%	—
Individual total (home / away)	0,00	0,00	0,00	1,10	2,35	3,45	4,25	3,15	7,40
Individual total (overall)	0,50	1,50	2,00	1,05	2,15	3,20	3,40	2,95	6,35
Avg total	2,50	3,50	3,00	2,60	4,60	3,60	8,45	8,05	8,25
Avg total (home / away)	0,00	0,00	0,00	2,60	4,20	3,40	8,40	8,95	8,68
Avg opponents' total	2,00	2,00	4,00	1,55	2,45	4,00	5,05	5,10	10,15
Avg opponents' total (home / away)	0,00	0,00	0,00	1,50	1,85	3,35	4,15	5,80	9,95
Predicted total	—	—	1,50	—	—	3,30	—	—	7,51

Referee

Stephanie Frappart

Last 2 months: 3 games · 9 YC total · 3 YC/game

03.10	Le Mans — Troyes	1-3	4
21.09	Monaco — Metz	1-0	1
30.08	Nantes — AJ Auxerre	1-3	4

Last 10 matches

Finland10 matches

Both teams to score40%

Clean sheets2 / 10

Scored6 / 10

Lithuania10 matches

Both teams to score30%

Clean sheets2 / 10

Scored4 / 10

Head-to-head

Date	League	Home	Away		xG	%	On	Off	DA
24.03.25	Europe - World Cup Qualifying	Lithuania	Finland	2	2	0.48	1.99	44%	56%	6	5	6	9	16	50	2	5	3	2

Date

League

Home

Away

Off

24.03.25

Europe - World Cup Qualifying

Lithuania

Finland

0.48

1.99

44%

56%

Against similar-strength opponents

Lithuania (vs a strong favourite) odds 1.01–2.30

Date	League	Home	Away			xG		%		On		Off		DA
07.09.25	Nations League	Lithuania	Netherlands	2	3	0.33	1.10	27%	73%	3	7	1	7	21	99	1	7	2	0	0	0
10.06.25	Friendlies	Denmark	Lithuania	5	0	2.69	0.49	75%	25%	11	1	18	6	88	11	10	1	0	1	0	1
24.03.25	Europe - World Cup Qualifying	Lithuania	Finland	2	2	0.48	1.99	44%	56%	6	5	6	9	16	50	2	5	3	2	0	0
21.03.25	Europe - World Cup Qualifying	Poland	Lithuania	1	0	1.38	0.65	61%	39%	6	2	17	6	59	25	11	1	1	1	0	0
18.11.24	Nations League	Kosovo	Lithuania	1	0	0.51	0.49	43%	57%	4	4	7	8	35	54	4	2	2	1	1	0

Last matches (2 months)

Finland LL

Date	League	Home	Away			xG		%		On		Off		DA
07.09.25	Nations League	Poland	Finland	3	1	1.83	0.28	45%	55%	5	3	10	3	35	57	8	2	1	0
04.09.25	Friendlies	Norway	Finland	1	0	1.77	0.18	57%	43%	3	1	12	2	77	24	9	0	1	1

Lithuania LD

Date	League	Home	Away			xG		%		On		Off		DA
07.09.25	Nations League	Lithuania	Netherlands	2	3	0.33	1.10	27%	73%	3	7	1	7	21	99	1	7	2	0	0	0
04.09.25	Nations League	Lithuania	Malta	1	1	1.67	1.81	56%	44%	4	3	10	11	55	35	4	2	4	6	1	1