Poland vs Finland — preview, stats, live

Nations League

сен 7, 2025 at 21:45

Poland

3:1

Finland

1.83

0.28

Nations League: Poland vs Finland on 07 Sep 2025 finished 3:1.

Poland are in good form: 5-3-2 in their last 10, 1.7 scored and 1.3 conceded per game. They are scoring in 9 straight.

Finland are out of form: 3-1-6 in their last 10, 1.1 scored and 1.7 conceded per game.

Over 2.5 lands in 50% of Poland's games and 60% of Finland's; both teams score in 70% and 40%.

Chance quality: xG 1.8 vs 0.3.

Head-to-head (4): Poland 3, Finland 1, 0 draws.

Predicted: 1:0 (12%) · also likely 2:0 (12%)

Match statistics

1.83

0.28

Detailed statistics

	Goals Threshold: 2,8			Yellow cards Threshold: 4,5			Corners Threshold: 9,0
Metric	PO		Total	PO		Total	PO		Total
Matches played	1	1	—	20	20	—	20	20	—
Total less	1 100%	1 100%	—	14 70%	14 70%	—	7 35%	11 55%	—
Total more	0 0%	0 0%	—	6 30%	6 30%	—	9 45%	5 25%	—
Matches home / away	0	1	—	20	20	—	20	20	—
Total less (home / away)	0 0%	1 100%	—	13 65%	15 75%	—	6 30%	8 40%	—
Total more (home / away)	0 0%	0 0%	—	7 35%	5 25%	—	9 45%	7 35%	—
Individual total (home / away)	0,00	0,00	0,00	1,50	1,30	2,80	5,80	3,65	9,45
Individual total (overall)	1,00	0,00	1,00	1,55	1,20	2,75	5,35	3,35	8,70
Avg total	2,00	1,00	1,50	3,50	2,90	3,20	9,85	8,30	9,08
Avg total (home / away)	0,00	1,00	0,50	3,60	3,10	3,35	9,80	9,00	9,40
Avg opponents' total	1,00	1,00	2,00	1,95	1,70	3,65	4,50	4,95	9,45
Avg opponents' total (home / away)	0,00	1,00	1,00	2,10	1,80	3,90	4,00	5,35	9,35
Predicted total	—	—	1,00	—	—	3,05	—	—	9,05

Referee

Rade Obrenovic

Last 2 months: 4 games · 28 YC total · 7 YC/game

28.08	Young Boys — Slovan Bratislava	2-0	2
23.08	Koper — NS Mura	3-3	6
30.07	Salzburg — Brann	5-6	11
20.07	NK Maribor — NK Celje	4-5	9

Last 10 matches

Poland10 matches

Both teams to score70%

Clean sheets2 / 10

Scored9 / 10

scored 9 straight

Finland10 matches

Both teams to score40%

Clean sheets2 / 10

Scored6 / 10

Head-to-head

Date	League	Home	Away			xG		%		On		Off		DA
10.06.25	Nations League	Finland	Poland	2	1	2.46	1.78	48%	52%	4	6	8	17	38	63	4	4	1	2
07.10.20	Friendlies	Poland	Finland	5	1	—	—	52%	48%	11	5	6	1	66	56	3	8	0	0
26.03.16	Friendlies	Poland	Finland	5	0	—	—	60%	40%	7	2	4	2	56	23	3	6	1	1

Against similar-strength opponents

Matches with the same favourite/underdog setup by the bookmaker line.

Poland (as favourite) odds 1.12–1.55

Record 5-0-0 (W-D-L), 2.4 scored / 0.2 conceded avg.

Date	League	Home	Away			xG		%		On		Off		DA
06.06.25	Friendlies	Poland	Moldova	2	0	—	—	50%	50%	5	2	10	1	82	45	7	2	0	2	0
24.03.25	Europe - World Cup Qualifying	Poland	Malta	2	0	2.85	0.14	57%	43%	12	5	15	4	74	24	5	3	2	3	1
21.03.25	Europe - World Cup Qualifying	Poland	Lithuania	1	0	1.38	0.65	61%	39%	6	2	17	6	59	25	11	1	1	1	0
21.03.24	Euro 2024 Qualifying	Poland	Estonia	5	1	2.64	0.12	85%	15%	10	1	18	0	105	6	17	1	1	1	1
21.11.23	International Match	Poland	Latvia	2	0	—	—	63%	37%	9	3	5	3	90	70	8	4	2	3	0

Finland (vs a strong favourite) odds 1.01–2.30

Record 0-0-5 (W-D-L), 0.2 scored / 1.8 conceded avg.

Date	League	Home	Away			xG		%		On		Off		DA
04.09.25	Friendlies	Norway	Finland	1	0	1.77	0.18	57%	43%	3	1	12	2	77	24	9	0	1	1
07.06.25	Nations League	Finland	Netherlands	0	2	0.13	2.06	40%	60%	2	6	2	11	23	66	1	6	1	2
17.11.24	Nations League	Finland	Greece	0	2	0.42	1.29	42%	58%	0	5	7	11	41	57	4	7	3	0
14.11.24	Nations League	Rep of Ireland	Finland	1	0	0.94	1.97	46%	54%	4	3	9	12	39	55	7	5	2	0
13.10.24	Nations League	Finland	England	1	3	1.24	1.62	31%	69%	3	6	10	9	36	55	4	5	0	0

Last matches (2 months)

Poland D—

Date	League	Home	Away			%		On		Off		DA
04.09.25	Nations League	Netherlands	Poland	1	1	74%	26%	5	2	9	4	74	22	7	4	0	0

Finland L

Date	League	Home	Away			xG		%		On		Off		DA
04.09.25	Friendlies	Norway	Finland	1	0	1.77	0.18	57%	43%	3	1	12	2	77	24	9	0	1	1

Bookmaker lines

1X211,45X4,4027,00

Total 2,75O2,00U1,80

AH -1,2512,0321,77

See full live table on ScanGoal →

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