Watford vs Stoke — preview, stats, live

Championship

дек 20, 2025 at 18:00

Watford

1:0

Stoke

1.05

0.21

Championship: Watford vs Stoke on 20 Dec 2025 finished 1:0.

Watford are out of form: 1-2-7 in their last 10, 0.7 scored and 2.3 conceded per game. They are scoring in 11 straight.

Stoke are out of form: 1-3-6 in their last 10, 1.3 scored and 2.3 conceded per game.

Over 2.5 lands in 60% of Watford's games and 60% of Stoke's; both teams score in 50% and 70%.

Chance quality: xG 1.1 vs 0.2.

Head-to-head (5): Watford 2, Stoke 1, 2 draws.

Predicted: 1:1 (12%) · also likely 1:0 (10%)

Match statistics

1.05

0.21

Detailed statistics

	Goals Threshold: 2,5			Yellow cards Threshold: 4,5			Corners Threshold: 9,5
Metric	WA	ST	Total	WA	ST	Total	WA	ST	Total
Matches played	11	11	—	20	20	—	20	20	—
Total less	4 36%	4 36%	—	12 60%	14 70%	—	8 40%	7 35%	—
Total more	7 64%	7 64%	—	8 40%	6 30%	—	12 60%	13 65%	—
Matches home / away	6	6	—	20	20	—	20	20	—
Total less (home / away)	3 50%	3 50%	—	15 75%	13 65%	—	6 30%	10 50%	—
Total more (home / away)	3 50%	3 50%	—	5 25%	7 35%	—	14 70%	10 50%	—
Individual total (home / away)	1,83	0,83	2,67	1,30	2,05	3,35	6,05	4,80	10,85
Individual total (overall)	1,73	1,45	3,18	2,00	1,90	3,90	4,65	5,55	10,20
Avg total	3,18	2,73	2,95	4,15	4,00	4,08	9,70	10,80	10,25
Avg total (home / away)	2,83	2,33	2,58	3,20	3,90	3,55	10,55	9,35	9,95
Avg opponents' total	1,45	1,27	2,73	2,15	2,10	4,25	5,05	5,25	10,30
Avg opponents' total (home / away)	1,00	1,50	2,50	1,90	1,89	3,79	4,50	4,63	9,13
Predicted total	—	—	2,77	—	—	3,73	—	—	10,08

Referee

Ben Toner

Last 2 months: 6 games · 17 YC total · 2.83 YC/game · 1 RC

09.12	Preston — Coventry	11-0	11
29.11	Millwall — Southampton	1-2	3
22.11	Oxford — Middlesbrough	3-2	5
01.11	West Brom — Sheff Wed	1-1	2
25.10	Bolton — Cardiff City	2-1	3
21.10	Derby — Norwich	2-1	3

Last 10 matches

Watford10 matches

Both teams to score50%

Clean sheets1 / 10

Scored5 / 10

scored 11 straight

Stoke10 matches

Both teams to score70%

Clean sheets0 / 10

Scored7 / 10

Head-to-head

Date	League	Home	Away			xG		%		On		Off		DA
01.03.25	Championship	Stoke	Watford	0	0	0.40	0.45	37%	63%	2	1	6	6	39	46	4	5	1	2	0
17.08.24	Championship	Watford	Stoke	3	0	2.03	0.81	55%	45%	7	4	16	4	42	46	2	4	2	2	0
29.12.23	Championship	Watford	Stoke	1	1	1.36	0.82	46%	54%	4	4	8	9	32	81	5	4	4	1	1
19.08.23	Championship	Stoke	Watford	1	0	0.91	0.65	41%	59%	2	3	12	7	63	43	7	2	4	1	0
02.10.22	Championship	Stoke	Watford	0	4	—	—	53%	51%	0	7	5	8	38	43	3	6	1	5	0
21.09.21	EFL Cup	Watford	Stoke	1	3	—	—	52%	48%	6	6	16	5	72	21	8	1	0	1	0
22.01.21	Championship	Stoke	Watford	1	2	—	—	58%	42%	2	4	13	2	75	18	8	4	1	2	0
04.11.20	Championship	Watford	Stoke	3	2	—	—	63%	37%	3	3	9	2	54	36	4	1	2	2	0
01.02.18	Premier League	Stoke	Watford	0	0	—	—	46%	54%	6	5	3	3	38	37	2	6	4	2	0

Against common opponents (2 months)

Watford

Date	League	Home	Away			xG		%		On		Off		DA
07.11.25	Championship	Watford	Bristol City	1	1	1.38	0.69	64%	36%	10	4	6	6	53	33	6	4	2	1	0
04.11.25	Championship	Ipswich	Watford	1	1	1.40	0.34	59%	41%	4	2	12	3	63	24	2	5	1	2	0
25.10.25	Championship	Coventry	Watford	3	1	1.30	2.76	55%	45%	4	7	9	6	60	32	5	6	3	2	1

Stoke

Date	League	Home	Away			xG		%		On		Off		DA
10.12.25	Championship	Ipswich	Stoke	1	0	1.22	0.31	43%	57%	6	1	11	3	29	33	3	4	1	1
08.11.25	Championship	Stoke	Coventry	0	1	0.96	0.86	51%	49%	0	3	10	13	24	57	3	6	3	5
01.11.25	Championship	Stoke	Bristol City	5	1	2.11	0.78	57%	43%	8	7	7	10	52	48	4	10	3	0

Against similar-strength opponents

Matches with the same favourite/underdog setup by the bookmaker line.

Watford (as favourite) odds 1.80–2.30

Record 2-2-1 (W-D-L), 1.4 scored / 1.2 conceded avg.

Date	League	Home	Away			xG		%		On		Off		DA
06.12.25	Championship	Watford	Norwich	3	2	0.97	1.91	54%	46%	6	4	6	11	47	42	6	5	1	2
25.11.25	Championship	Watford	Preston	1	1	1.72	0.97	56%	44%	4	1	11	5	54	34	6	2	2	4
07.11.25	Championship	Watford	Bristol City	1	1	1.38	0.69	64%	36%	10	4	6	6	53	33	6	4	2	1
04.10.25	Championship	Watford	Oxford	2	1	2.69	1.19	58%	42%	9	6	17	9	48	37	9	3	3	4
13.09.25	Championship	Watford	Blackburn	0	1	—	—	51%	49%	1	2	16	9	44	60	5	7	0	2

Stoke (vs a strong favourite) odds 1.01–2.50

Record 0-0-5 (W-D-L), 0.2 scored / 2.0 conceded avg.

Date	League	Home	Away			xG		%		On		Off		DA
10.12.25	Championship	Ipswich	Stoke	1	0	1.22	0.31	43%	57%	6	1	11	3	29	33	3	4	1	1
06.12.25	Championship	Sheff United	Stoke	4	0	2.55	0.26	38%	62%	8	2	12	7	49	38	9	7	1	2
22.11.25	Championship	Leicester	Stoke	2	1	0.98	1.23	44%	56%	3	7	3	7	29	51	0	10	6	2
08.11.25	Championship	Stoke	Coventry	0	1	0.96	0.86	51%	49%	0	3	10	13	24	57	3	6	3	5
21.10.25	Championship	Millwall	Stoke	2	0	1.47	0.46	40%	60%	7	3	8	9	50	38	3	2	2	1

Last matches (2 months)

Watford DDWLDWDDWL

Date	League	Home	Away			xG		%		On		Off		DA
13.12.25	Championship	Wrexham	Watford	2	2	1.17	0.70	51%	49%	3	3	12	7	60	30	7	1	3	6	0
09.12.25	Championship	Watford	Sheff Wed	1	1	2.78	0.47	68%	32%	9	1	14	3	77	28	7	4	1	2	0
06.12.25	Championship	Watford	Norwich	3	2	0.97	1.91	54%	46%	6	4	6	11	47	42	6	5	1	2	0
01.12.25	Championship	Birmingham	Watford	2	1	1.03	1.03	52%	48%	5	4	7	8	50	36	6	6	3	2	0
25.11.25	Championship	Watford	Preston	1	1	1.72	0.97	56%	44%	4	1	11	5	54	34	6	2	2	4	0
22.11.25	Championship	Derby	Watford	2	3	0.64	1.47	37%	63%	5	7	2	6	51	45	9	3	2	2	0
07.11.25	Championship	Watford	Bristol City	1	1	1.38	0.69	64%	36%	10	4	6	6	53	33	6	4	2	1	0
04.11.25	Championship	Ipswich	Watford	1	1	1.40	0.34	59%	41%	4	2	12	3	63	24	2	5	1	2	0
01.11.25	Championship	Watford	Middlesbrough	3	0	0.85	0.83	46%	54%	4	4	5	11	24	75	1	7	2	1	0
25.10.25	Championship	Coventry	Watford	3	1	1.30	2.76	55%	45%	4	7	9	6	60	32	5	6	3	2	1

Stoke WLLLWLLWWW

Date	League	Home	Away			xG		%		On		Off		DA
13.12.25	Championship	Stoke	Swansea	2	1	0.63	1.14	41%	59%	5	4	4	7	37	23	6	7	3	4
10.12.25	Championship	Ipswich	Stoke	1	0	1.22	0.31	43%	57%	6	1	11	3	29	33	3	4	1	1
06.12.25	Championship	Sheff United	Stoke	4	0	2.55	0.26	38%	62%	8	2	12	7	49	38	9	7	1	2
29.11.25	Championship	Stoke	Hull	1	2	0.82	1.17	58%	42%	7	6	5	5	47	29	7	8	1	2
25.11.25	Championship	Stoke	Charlton	3	0	0.71	0.18	66%	34%	5	2	11	2	56	22	5	0	1	1
22.11.25	Championship	Leicester	Stoke	2	1	0.98	1.23	44%	56%	3	7	3	7	29	51	0	10	6	2
08.11.25	Championship	Stoke	Coventry	0	1	0.96	0.86	51%	49%	0	3	10	13	24	57	3	6	3	5
04.11.25	Championship	Oxford	Stoke	0	3	1.65	2.18	48%	52%	2	7	14	5	53	30	10	7	1	3
01.11.25	Championship	Stoke	Bristol City	5	1	2.11	0.78	57%	43%	8	7	7	10	52	48	4	10	3	0
25.10.25	Championship	Portsmouth	Stoke	0	1	2.08	0.91	48%	52%	4	3	10	9	43	31	6	2	2	3

Bookmaker lines

1X212,09X3,4623,53

Total 2,50O1,97U1,88

AH -0,2511,8222,07

See full live table on ScanGoal →

Other matches that day

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