Sao Paulo vs Atletico Mineiro — preview, stats, live

BRAZIL SERIE A · 📍 Morumbí

авг 25, 2025 at 02:30

Sao Paulo

2:0

Atletico Mineiro

1.72

0.09

BRAZIL SERIE A: Sao Paulo vs Atletico Mineiro on 25 Aug 2025 finished 2:0.

Sao Paulo are out of form: 1-5-4 in their last 10, 1.0 scored and 1.3 conceded per game.

Atletico Mineiro are in good form: 5-2-3 in their last 10, 1.4 scored and 0.9 conceded per game.

Over 2.5 lands in 40% of Sao Paulo's games and 40% of Atletico Mineiro's; both teams score in 60% and 50%.

Chance quality: xG 1.7 vs 0.1.

Head-to-head (5): Sao Paulo 1, Atletico Mineiro 1, 3 draws.

Predicted: 1:0 (13%) · also likely 1:1 (12%)

Match statistics

1.72

0.09

Detailed statistics

	Goals Threshold: 2,0			Yellow cards Threshold: 4,5			Corners Threshold: 9,5
Metric	SP		Total	SP		Total	SP		Total
Matches played	12	12	—	20	20	—	20	20	—
Total less	3 25%	6 50%	—	12 60%	12 60%	—	10 50%	12 60%	—
Total more	5 42%	5 42%	—	8 40%	8 40%	—	10 50%	8 40%	—
Matches home / away	5	7	—	20	20	—	20	20	—
Total less (home / away)	0 0%	4 57%	—	10 50%	11 55%	—	10 50%	11 55%	—
Total more (home / away)	2 40%	2 29%	—	10 50%	9 45%	—	10 50%	9 45%	—
Individual total (home / away)	2,00	1,00	3,00	2,45	2,30	4,75	5,70	5,70	11,40
Individual total (overall)	1,42	1,00	2,42	2,35	2,40	4,75	4,20	5,60	9,80
Avg total	2,33	2,17	2,25	4,55	4,55	4,55	9,40	9,45	9,43
Avg total (home / away)	2,60	2,00	2,30	4,85	4,75	4,80	9,35	10,20	9,78
Avg opponents' total	0,92	1,17	2,08	2,20	2,39	4,59	5,20	4,28	9,48
Avg opponents' total (home / away)	0,60	1,00	1,60	2,53	2,58	5,11	3,84	4,74	8,58
Predicted total	—	—	2,28	—	—	4,78	—	—	9,79

Referee

Lucas Casagrande

Last 2 months: 7 games · 34 YC total · 4.86 YC/game · 2 RC

19.08	Volta Redonda — Crb Al	11-4	51
12.08	EC Juventude — Corinthians	5-41	91
24.07	Ceara — Mirassol	2-3	5
20.07	Cruzeiro — EC Juventude	1-2	3
17.07	Botafogo — Vitoria BA	0-5	5
12.07	Novorizontino SP — America MG	1-3	4

Last 10 matches

Sao Paulo10 matches

Both teams to score60%

Clean sheets3 / 10

Scored7 / 10

unbeaten 4

Atletico Mineiro10 matches

Both teams to score50%

Clean sheets3 / 10

Scored8 / 10

scored 4 straight

Head-to-head

Date	League	Home	Away			xG		%		On		Off		DA
06.04.25	BRAZIL SERIE A	Atletico Mineiro	Sao Paulo	0	0	1.45	0.34	59%	41%	6	4	19	3	58	29	12	4	1	3	1	1
24.11.24	BRAZIL SERIE A	Sao Paulo	Atletico Mineiro	2	2	0.92	1.02	52%	48%	4	3	9	0	57	12	7	1	3	3	0	0
13.09.24	Copa do Brasil	Atletico Mineiro	Sao Paulo	0	0	1.27	0.84	40%	60%	5	3	7	10	29	54	1	5	4	4	0	0
29.08.24	Copa do Brasil	Sao Paulo	Atletico Mineiro	0	1	0.76	0.20	56%	44%	5	2	9	3	38	28	7	2	2	4	0	0
12.07.24	BRAZIL SERIE A	Atletico Mineiro	Sao Paulo	2	1	0.61	1.16	61%	39%	5	4	9	7	45	35	2	6	2	1	0	1
03.12.23	BRAZIL SERIE A	Atletico Mineiro	Sao Paulo	2	1	0.92	1.28	48%	52%	2	5	5	11	36	32	3	5	3	1	0	0
06.08.23	BRAZIL SERIE A	Sao Paulo	Atletico Mineiro	0	2	—	—	68%	32%	4	2	15	6	79	23	9	3	6	5	0	0
02.11.22	BRAZIL SERIE A	Sao Paulo	Atletico Mineiro	2	2	—	—	57%	50%	4	3	4	7	18	42	5	6	3	5	0	0
11.07.22	BRAZIL SERIE A	Atletico Mineiro	Sao Paulo	0	0	—	—	58%	42%	1	1	3	2	27	25	1	3	0	0	0	0
26.09.21	BRAZIL SERIE A	Sao Paulo	Atletico Mineiro	0	0	—	—	41%	59%	0	2	1	1	9	14	0	2	0	0	0	0

Against common opponents (2 months)

Sao Paulo

Date	League	Home	Away			xG		%		On		Off		DA
17.08.25	BRAZIL SERIE A	Sport Recife	Sao Paulo	2	2	0.79	1.35	33%	67%	5	8	3	10	42	48	4	10	4	1
17.07.25	BRAZIL SERIE A	Bragantino	Sao Paulo	2	2	0.86	1.33	48%	52%	3	5	14	9	52	52	6	4	3	0
12.07.25	BRAZIL SERIE A	Flamengo	Sao Paulo	2	0	1.07	0.21	60%	40%	6	0	11	5	78	30	7	1	2	2

Atletico Mineiro

Date	League	Home	Away			xG		%		On		Off		DA
07.08.25	Copa do Brasil	Atletico Mineiro	Flamengo	0	1	1.07	2.25	47%	53%	6	3	12	14	43	46	3	5	2	1	0
04.08.25	BRAZIL SERIE A	Atletico Mineiro	Bragantino	2	1	2.70	0.72	58%	42%	9	3	21	1	54	30	9	0	1	3	1
01.08.25	Copa do Brasil	Flamengo	Atletico Mineiro	0	1	1.11	0.67	62%	38%	4	4	15	10	43	23	4	3	1	1	0
28.07.25	BRAZIL SERIE A	Flamengo	Atletico Mineiro	1	0	0.81	1.11	61%	39%	6	5	10	8	34	33	5	7	4	4	0

Against similar-strength opponents

Matches with the same favourite/underdog setup by the bookmaker line.

Sao Paulo (as favourite) odds 1.45–2.05

Record 2-0-1 (W-D-L), 1.3 scored / 1.0 conceded avg.

Date	League	Home	Away			xG		%		On		Off		DA
10.08.25	BRAZIL SERIE A	Sao Paulo	Vitoria BA	2	0	2.15	0.23	57%	43%	3	1	20	4	34	32	4	3	3	3
25.07.25	BRAZIL SERIE A	EC Juventude	Sao Paulo	0	1	0.29	0.99	37%	63%	0	3	8	13	24	53	4	8	3	2
13.06.25	BRAZIL SERIE A	Sao Paulo	Vasco da Gama (Bra)	1	3	0.38	1.80	51%	49%	3	9	8	5	37	28	4	3	4	2

Atletico Mineiro (vs a strong favourite) odds 1.01–2.30

Record 0-0-3 (W-D-L), 1.0 scored / 2.0 conceded avg.

Date	League	Home	Away			xG		%		On		Off		DA
28.07.25	BRAZIL SERIE A	Flamengo	Atletico Mineiro	1	0	0.81	1.11	61%	39%	6	5	10	8	34	33	5	7	4	4
20.07.25	BRAZIL SERIE A	Palmeiras	Atletico Mineiro	3	2	1.88	0.28	58%	42%	7	3	11	3	44	8	9	0	2	3
13.07.25	BRAZIL SERIE A	Bahia	Atletico Mineiro	2	1	0.67	0.30	47%	53%	5	2	13	8	66	43	4	7	2	2

Last matches (2 months)

Sao Paulo D—DD—WL—WW

Date	League	Home	Away			xG		%		On		Off		DA
20.08.25	Copa Libertadores	Sao Paulo	Atletico Nacional Medellin	1	1	1.52	1.65	54%	46%	7	4	12	6	37	41	4	5	3	4	1
17.08.25	BRAZIL SERIE A	Sport Recife	Sao Paulo	2	2	0.79	1.35	33%	67%	5	8	3	10	42	48	4	10	4	1	0
13.08.25	Copa Libertadores	Atletico Nacional Medellin	Sao Paulo	0	0	2.40	0.21	55%	45%	1	0	18	5	35	18	8	3	2	2	0
10.08.25	BRAZIL SERIE A	Sao Paulo	Vitoria BA	2	0	2.15	0.23	57%	43%	3	1	20	4	34	32	4	3	3	3	0
07.08.25	Copa do Brasil	Atletico Paranaense	Sao Paulo	1	0	0.98	0.24	70%	30%	3	2	14	2	68	21	6	2	3	3	1
04.08.25	BRAZIL SERIE A	Internacional	Sao Paulo	1	2	1.44	0.46	52%	48%	4	4	7	5	32	39	4	5	2	2	0
01.08.25	Copa do Brasil	Sao Paulo	Atletico Paranaense	2	1	0.96	0.65	67%	33%	5	2	9	3	46	24	3	0	3	1	0

Atletico Mineiro W—LW—DL—WW

Date	League	Home	Away			xG		%		On		Off		DA
22.08.25	Copa Sudamericana	Godoy Cruz	Atletico Mineiro	0	1	0.63	0.38	56%	44%	3	1	9	6	65	28	8	1	1	4	1	0
17.08.25	BRAZIL SERIE A	Atletico Mineiro	Gremio	1	3	0.22	1.05	63%	37%	3	4	7	4	67	22	4	4	2	2	2	2
15.08.25	Copa Sudamericana	Atletico Mineiro	Godoy Cruz	2	1	0.70	0.36	65%	35%	4	2	5	6	51	33	3	3	4	2	0	0
10.08.25	BRAZIL SERIE A	Vasco da Gama (Bra)	Atletico Mineiro	1	1	1.78	1.24	55%	45%	4	4	11	13	32	50	6	10	3	1	0	0
07.08.25	Copa do Brasil	Atletico Mineiro	Flamengo	0	1	1.07	2.25	47%	53%	6	3	12	14	43	46	3	5	2	1	0	0
04.08.25	BRAZIL SERIE A	Atletico Mineiro	Bragantino	2	1	2.70	0.72	58%	42%	9	3	21	1	54	30	9	0	1	3	0	1
01.08.25	Copa do Brasil	Flamengo	Atletico Mineiro	0	1	1.11	0.67	62%	38%	4	4	15	10	43	23	4	3	1	1	0	0

Bookmaker lines

1X211,70X3,4025,50

Total 2,00O1,88U1,98

AH -0,7512,0321,83

See full live table on ScanGoal →

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