Nacional vs Porto — preview, stats, live

Primeira Liga

фев 15, 2026 at 18:30

Nacional

0:1

Porto

0.65

0.45

Primeira Liga: Nacional vs Porto on 15 Feb 2026 finished 0:1.

Nacional are in good form: 4-1-5 in their last 10, 0.9 scored and 0.9 conceded per game.

Porto are in good form: 5-3-2 in their last 10, 1.3 scored and 0.9 conceded per game. They are scoring in 22 straight.

Over 2.5 lands in 10% of Nacional's games and 40% of Porto's; both teams score in 20% and 50%.

Chance quality: xG 0.7 vs 0.5.

Head-to-head (1): Nacional 0, Porto 1, 0 draws.

Predicted: 0:2 (12%) · also likely 0:1 (12%)

Match statistics

0.65

0.45

Detailed statistics

	Goals Threshold: 2,8			Yellow cards Threshold: 4,5			Corners Threshold: 9,5
Metric		PO	Total		PO	Total		PO	Total
Matches played	8	12	—	18	20	—	18	20	—
Total less	1 13%	6 50%	—	10 56%	10 50%	—	7 39%	14 70%	—
Total more	7 88%	6 50%	—	8 44%	10 50%	—	11 61%	6 30%	—
Matches home / away	4	5	—	8	20	—	8	20	—
Total less (home / away)	1 25%	3 60%	—	3 38%	12 60%	—	2 25%	14 70%	—
Total more (home / away)	3 75%	2 40%	—	5 63%	8 40%	—	6 75%	6 30%	—
Individual total (home / away)	2,50	1,40	3,90	2,88	1,85	4,73	4,00	5,80	9,80
Individual total (overall)	1,88	2,00	3,88	2,72	2,05	4,77	3,72	6,25	9,97
Avg total	3,38	2,58	2,98	4,72	4,85	4,79	9,78	8,90	9,34
Avg total (home / away)	3,50	2,00	2,75	6,00	4,35	5,18	10,75	8,55	9,65
Avg opponents' total	1,50	0,58	2,08	2,00	2,80	4,80	6,06	2,65	8,71
Avg opponents' total (home / away)	1,00	0,60	1,60	3,13	2,50	5,63	6,75	2,75	9,50
Predicted total	—	—	2,87	—	—	4,97	—	—	9,81

Referee

Jose Bessa

Last 2 months: 5 games · 27 YC total · 5.4 YC/game · 2 RC

31.01	Alverca — Estrela Amadora	1-2	3
17.01	Penafiel — Portimonense	32-2	52
11.01	Porto B — Sporting B	1-4	5
28.12	Arouca — Gil Vicente	5-2	7
17.12	AC Vila Mea — Leiria	2-5	7

Last 10 matches

Nacional10 matches

Both teams to score20%

Clean sheets4 / 10

Scored6 / 10

Porto10 matches

Both teams to score50%

Clean sheets4 / 10

Scored8 / 10

scored 22 straight

Line trends

Statistical team streaks on goals, corners and cards over recent matches — where the signal holds steadiest. How to read the codes →

Nacional

↑Goals (match) over 0.588%

↑Corners (match) over 7.588%

↓Corners (team) under 5.588%

↑Cards (team) over 1.588%

Combined

↑Goals (match) over 0.593%

↓Goals (match) under 4.586%

Porto

↑Goals (match) over 0.5100%

↓Goals (match) under 3.5100%

↓Goals (match) under 4.5100%

↓Corners (match) under 11.5100%

↑Goals (team) over 0.590%

↓Corners (match) under 10.590%

OverUnder

Goals

BK line2.75

94%

0.5

17 of 18

72%

28%

1.5

13 of 18

50%

2.5

9 of 18

22%

78%

3.5

14 of 18

89%

4.5

16 of 18

Corners

BK line9.5

72%

28%

7.5

13 of 18

67%

33%

8.5

12 of 18

44%

56%

9.5

10 of 18

28%

72%

10.5

13 of 18

22%

78%

11.5

14 of 18

Head-to-head

Date	League	Home	Away			%		On		Off		DA

Against common opponents (2 months)

Nacional

Date	League	Home	Away			xG		%		On		Off		DA
08.02.26	Primeira Liga	Nacional	Casa Pia	0	0	0.97	0.64	68%	32%	5	4	16	5	38	33	12	1	2	3	0
01.02.26	Primeira Liga	Sporting Lisbon	Nacional	2	1	1.70	1.32	62%	38%	7	2	9	2	70	24	11	0	0	3	0
17.01.26	Primeira Liga	Gil Vicente	Nacional	2	1	1.42	1.61	54%	46%	4	4	11	10	59	33	7	5	0	2	0
11.01.26	Primeira Liga	Nacional	Santa Clara	3	3	1.98	2.39	46%	54%	4	6	7	14	54	54	2	8	4	4	0
02.01.26	Primeira Liga	Vitoria Guimaraes	Nacional	2	1	0.87	1.49	57%	43%	5	9	5	7	53	27	2	3	0	2	0
21.12.25	Primeira Liga	AVS	Nacional	2	2	1.21	1.15	36%	64%	3	6	15	12	45	54	9	2	1	0	1

Porto

Date	League	Home	Away			xG		%		On		Off		DA
09.02.26	Primeira Liga	Porto	Sporting Lisbon	1	1	0.77	0.59	45%	55%	1	3	7	10	28	45	1	8	1	5	0	0
02.02.26	Primeira Liga	Casa Pia	Porto	2	1	0.96	2.01	32%	68%	3	6	4	11	22	69	0	10	3	2	0	1
26.01.26	Primeira Liga	Porto	Gil Vicente	3	0	2.29	0.55	58%	42%	8	5	12	6	35	22	11	3	2	2	0	1
18.01.26	Primeira Liga	Vitoria Guimaraes	Porto	0	1	1.46	2.28	50%	50%	3	4	13	8	61	38	6	1	3	2	1	0
04.01.26	Primeira Liga	Santa Clara	Porto	0	1	0.25	1.10	43%	57%	0	5	12	5	31	56	2	7	2	4	0	0
29.12.25	Primeira Liga	Porto	AVS	2	0	2.49	0.29	70%	30%	4	1	15	6	70	27	7	0	1	1	0	0

Against similar-strength opponents

Matches with the same favourite/underdog setup by the bookmaker line.

Nacional (vs a strong favourite) odds 1.01–2.30

Record 0-0-5 (W-D-L), 0.8 scored / 1.8 conceded avg.

Date	League	Home	Away			xG		%		On		Off		DA
01.02.26	Primeira Liga	Sporting Lisbon	Nacional	2	1	1.70	1.32	62%	38%	7	2	9	2	70	24	11	0	0	3
17.01.26	Primeira Liga	Gil Vicente	Nacional	2	1	1.42	1.61	54%	46%	4	4	11	10	59	33	7	5	0	2
02.01.26	Primeira Liga	Vitoria Guimaraes	Nacional	2	1	0.87	1.49	57%	43%	5	9	5	7	53	27	2	3	0	2
07.12.25	Primeira Liga	Alverca	Nacional	1	0	2.06	0.91	50%	50%	4	3	6	11	35	57	2	2	1	2
29.11.25	Primeira Liga	Nacional	Benfica	1	2	0.49	2.61	30%	70%	2	10	4	19	25	108	2	11	3	2

Porto (as favourite) odds 1.12–1.55

Record 4-0-1 (W-D-L), 1.8 scored / 0.6 conceded avg.

Date	League	Home	Away			xG		%		On		Off		DA
02.02.26	Primeira Liga	Casa Pia	Porto	2	1	0.96	2.01	32%	68%	3	6	4	11	22	69	0	10	3	2	0	1
29.01.26	Europa League	Porto	Rangers	3	1	1.72	0.42	41%	59%	3	2	11	3	35	43	4	3	0	1	0	0
26.01.26	Primeira Liga	Porto	Gil Vicente	3	0	2.29	0.55	58%	42%	8	5	12	6	35	22	11	3	2	2	0	1
18.01.26	Primeira Liga	Vitoria Guimaraes	Porto	0	1	1.46	2.28	50%	50%	3	4	13	8	61	38	6	1	3	2	1	0
04.01.26	Primeira Liga	Santa Clara	Porto	0	1	0.25	1.10	43%	57%	0	5	12	5	31	56	2	7	2	4	0	0

Last matches (2 months)

Nacional DLWLDLDW

Date	League	Home	Away			xG		%		On		Off		DA
08.02.26	Primeira Liga	Nacional	Casa Pia	0	0	0.97	0.64	68%	32%	5	4	16	5	38	33	12	1	2	3	0	0
01.02.26	Primeira Liga	Sporting Lisbon	Nacional	2	1	1.70	1.32	62%	38%	7	2	9	2	70	24	11	0	0	3	0	0
25.01.26	Primeira Liga	Nacional	Rio Ave	4	0	1.52	0.47	47%	53%	5	5	8	9	47	35	5	5	3	0	0	0
17.01.26	Primeira Liga	Gil Vicente	Nacional	2	1	1.42	1.61	54%	46%	4	4	11	10	59	33	7	5	0	2	0	0
11.01.26	Primeira Liga	Nacional	Santa Clara	3	3	1.98	2.39	46%	54%	4	6	7	14	54	54	2	8	4	4	0	0
02.01.26	Primeira Liga	Vitoria Guimaraes	Nacional	2	1	0.87	1.49	57%	43%	5	9	5	7	53	27	2	3	0	2	0	0
21.12.25	Primeira Liga	AVS	Nacional	2	2	1.21	1.15	36%	64%	3	6	15	12	45	54	9	2	1	0	1	0
15.12.25	Primeira Liga	Nacional	Tondela	3	1	2.34	3.27	44%	56%	3	4	3	15	32	52	3	10	5	6	1	1

Porto DLWWDWWWWW

Date	League	Home	Away			xG		%		On		Off		DA
09.02.26	Primeira Liga	Porto	Sporting Lisbon	1	1	0.77	0.59	45%	55%	1	3	7	10	28	45	1	8	1	5	0	0
02.02.26	Primeira Liga	Casa Pia	Porto	2	1	0.96	2.01	32%	68%	3	6	4	11	22	69	0	10	3	2	0	1
29.01.26	Europa League	Porto	Rangers	3	1	1.72	0.42	41%	59%	3	2	11	3	35	43	4	3	0	1	0	0
26.01.26	Primeira Liga	Porto	Gil Vicente	3	0	2.29	0.55	58%	42%	8	5	12	6	35	22	11	3	2	2	0	1
22.01.26	Europa League	Viktoria Plzen	Porto	1	1	0.28	2.06	33%	67%	2	3	7	13	28	84	2	7	2	3	1	0
18.01.26	Primeira Liga	Vitoria Guimaraes	Porto	0	1	1.46	2.28	50%	50%	3	4	13	8	61	38	6	1	3	2	1	0
14.01.26	Cup	Porto	Benfica	1	0	0.82	0.73	46%	54%	5	3	8	12	46	54	7	3	4	5	0	0
04.01.26	Primeira Liga	Santa Clara	Porto	0	1	0.25	1.10	43%	57%	0	5	12	5	31	56	2	7	2	4	0	0
29.12.25	Primeira Liga	Porto	AVS	2	0	2.49	0.29	70%	30%	4	1	15	6	70	27	7	0	1	1	0	0
22.12.25	Primeira Liga	Alverca	Porto	0	3	0.73	1.44	43%	57%	5	7	3	7	36	64	4	1	1	1	0	0

Bookmaker lines

1X217,00X4,7521,42

Total 2,75O2,00U1,85

AH +1,2511,8821,98

All Pinnacle markets

Goals

Goals total
Line	O	U
1.5	1.29	3.79
2	1.43	2.97
2.25	1.65	2.35
2.5	1.86	2.03
2.75	2.10	1.79
3	2.53	1.56
3.5	3.22	1.37
4.5	6.47	1.13

Team goals
Team	Line	O	U
Nacional	0.5	1.88	1.98
Porto	1.5	1.58	2.47

Corners

Corners total
Line	O	U
8.5	1.50	2.48
9	1.63	2.24
9.5	1.84	1.97
10	2.04	1.75
10.5	2.26	1.60
11	2.27	1.64
11.5	2.62	1.49

Team corners
Team	Line	O	U
Nacional	2	1.68	2.16
Nacional	3.5	2.24	1.61
Porto	6.5	2.03	1.75
Porto	8	1.83	1.98

See full live table on ScanGoal →

Other matches that day

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