Moldova vs Italy — preview, stats, live

Nations League

ноя 13, 2025 at 22:45

Moldova

0:2

Italy

0.40

2.58

Nations League: Moldova vs Italy on 13 Nov 2025 finished 0:2.

Moldova are out of form: 0-3-7 in their last 10, 0.9 scored and 3.2 conceded per game.

Italy are in excellent form: 8-1-1 in their last 10, 2.4 scored and 1.0 conceded per game. They are winning 5 straight.

Over 2.5 lands in 60% of Moldova's games and 50% of Italy's; both teams score in 70% and 40%.

Chance quality: xG 0.4 vs 2.6.

Head-to-head (3): Moldova 0, Italy 3, 0 draws.

Predicted: 0:2 (20%) · also likely 0:3 (19%)

Match statistics

0.40

2.58

Detailed statistics

	Goals Threshold: 3,5			Yellow cards Threshold: 4,5			Corners Threshold: 9
Metric			Total			Total			Total
Matches played	2	2	—	20	20	—	20	20	—
Total less	2 100%	1 50%	—	10 50%	15 75%	—	15 75%	10 50%	—
Total more	0 0%	1 50%	—	10 50%	5 25%	—	4 20%	9 45%	—
Matches home / away	0	1	—	20	20	—	20	20	—
Total less (home / away)	0 0%	0 0%	—	14 70%	13 65%	—	12 60%	10 50%	—
Total more (home / away)	0 0%	1 100%	—	6 30%	7 35%	—	6 30%	8 40%	—
Individual total (home / away)	0,00	3,00	3,00	1,70	1,85	3,55	4,45	5,00	9,45
Individual total (overall)	1,00	3,00	4,00	2,45	1,60	4,05	3,90	5,35	9,25
Avg total	2,50	3,50	3,00	4,35	3,40	3,88	7,80	9,70	8,75
Avg total (home / away)	0,00	4,00	2,00	3,90	3,80	3,85	8,55	9,50	9,03
Avg opponents' total	1,50	0,50	2,00	1,90	1,80	3,70	3,90	4,35	8,25
Avg opponents' total (home / away)	0,00	1,00	1,00	2,20	1,95	4,15	4,10	4,50	8,60
Predicted total	—	—	2,50	—	—	3,95	—	—	9,14

Referee

Mikola Balakin

Last 2 months: 1 games · 3 YC total · 3 YC/game

09.11

Dynamo Kiev — Lnz Lebedyn

3-—

Last 10 matches

Moldova10 matches

Both teams to score70%

Clean sheets0 / 10

Scored7 / 10

Italy10 matches

Both teams to score40%

Clean sheets6 / 10

Scored10 / 10

won 5 straightscored 5 straight

Head-to-head

Date	League	Home	Away			xG		%		On		Off		DA
09.06.25	Nations League	Italy	Moldova	2	0	2.51	1.27	66%	34%	8	6	20	11	74	20	7	6	1	1
07.10.20	Friendlies	Italy	Moldova	6	0	—	—	69%	31%	10	1	9	4	50	12	9	1	0	0

Against common opponents (2 months)

Moldova

Date	League	Home	Away			xG		%		On		Off		DA
14.10.25	Nations League	Estonia	Moldova	1	1	0.88	0.65	61%	39%	3	4	13	9	48	36	3	4	2	3

Italy

Date	League	Home	Away			xG		%		On		Off		DA
11.10.25	Nations League	Estonia	Italy	1	3	0.97	2.29	36%	64%	1	9	1	15	14	47	0	8	4	3

Against similar-strength opponents

Matches with the same favourite/underdog setup by the bookmaker line.

Moldova (vs a strong favourite) odds 1.01–2.30

Record 0-1-4 (W-D-L), 0.6 scored / 4.0 conceded avg.

Date	League	Home	Away			xG		%		On		Off		DA
14.10.25	Nations League	Estonia	Moldova	1	1	0.88	0.65	61%	39%	3	4	13	9	48	36	3	4	2	3
09.10.25	Friendlies	Romania	Moldova	2	1	—	—	37%	63%	3	1	6	4	71	33	7	3	0	1
09.09.25	Nations League	Norway	Moldova	11	1	7.07	0.15	71%	29%	16	1	16	2	88	23	4	1	0	1
05.09.25	Nations League	Moldova	Israel	0	4	0.61	3.30	43%	57%	3	9	6	8	40	40	3	5	0	2
09.06.25	Nations League	Italy	Moldova	2	0	2.51	1.27	66%	34%	8	6	20	11	74	20	7	6	1	1

Italy (as favourite) odds 1.01–1.18

Record 4-0-0 (W-D-L), 3.8 scored / 0.8 conceded avg.

Date	League	Home	Away			xG		%		On		Off		DA
11.10.25	Nations League	Estonia	Italy	1	3	0.97	2.29	36%	64%	1	9	1	15	14	47	0	8	4	3
05.09.25	Nations League	Italy	Estonia	5	0	4.36	0.40	70%	30%	13	2	27	2	91	23	12	3	1	3
09.06.25	Nations League	Italy	Moldova	2	0	2.51	1.27	66%	34%	8	6	20	11	74	20	7	6	1	1
17.11.23	Euro 2024 Qualifying	Italy	Macedonia	5	2	2.96	0.65	65%	35%	11	2	11	2	50	13	7	2	2	4

Last matches (2 months)

Moldova DL

Date	League	Home	Away			xG		%		On		Off		DA
14.10.25	Nations League	Estonia	Moldova	1	1	0.88	0.65	61%	39%	3	4	13	9	48	36	3	4	2	3
09.10.25	Friendlies	Romania	Moldova	2	1	—	—	37%	63%	3	1	6	4	71	33	7	3	0	1

Italy WW

Date	League	Home	Away			xG		%		On		Off		DA
14.10.25	Nations League	Italy	Israel	3	0	2.24	0.73	52%	48%	6	2	10	6	46	32	4	3	2	1
11.10.25	Nations League	Estonia	Italy	1	3	0.97	2.29	36%	64%	1	9	1	15	14	47	0	8	4	3

Bookmaker lines

1X2129,00X15,0021,05

Total 3,50O1,90U1,90

AH +3,0011,8321,98

See full live table on ScanGoal →

Other matches that day

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