Millwall vs Watford — preview, stats, live

Championship

сен 22, 2025 at 22:00

Millwall

1:0

Watford

0.68

0.73

Championship: Millwall vs Watford on 22 Sep 2025 finished 1:0.

Millwall are in good form: 4-4-2 in their last 10, 1.2 scored and 0.8 conceded per game.

Watford are out of form: 1-2-7 in their last 10, 0.7 scored and 2.3 conceded per game.

Over 2.5 lands in 30% of Millwall's games and 60% of Watford's; both teams score in 50% and 50%.

Chance quality: xG 0.7 vs 0.7.

Head-to-head (5): Millwall 4, Watford 1, 0 draws.

Predicted: 1:0 (18%) · also likely 0:0 (16%)

Match statistics

0.68

0.73

Detailed statistics

	Goals Threshold: 2,3			Yellow cards Threshold: 4,5			Corners Threshold: 10,0
Metric		WA	Total		WA	Total		WA	Total
Matches played	11	8	—	20	20	—	20	20	—
Total less	5 45%	5 63%	—	17 85%	14 70%	—	8 40%	11 55%	—
Total more	6 55%	3 38%	—	3 15%	6 30%	—	11 55%	5 25%	—
Matches home / away	4	3	—	20	20	—	20	20	—
Total less (home / away)	1 25%	3 100%	—	19 95%	12 60%	—	8 40%	11 55%	—
Total more (home / away)	3 75%	0 0%	—	1 5%	8 40%	—	9 45%	4 20%	—
Individual total (home / away)	1,25	0,67	1,92	0,85	2,10	2,95	5,00	4,25	9,25
Individual total (overall)	1,73	1,00	2,73	1,20	1,65	2,85	5,35	5,25	10,60
Avg total	2,82	2,13	2,47	2,25	3,40	2,83	10,50	9,55	10,03
Avg total (home / away)	2,75	1,67	2,21	2,45	4,30	3,38	9,85	9,30	9,58
Avg opponents' total	1,09	1,13	2,22	1,05	1,75	2,80	5,15	4,30	9,45
Avg opponents' total (home / away)	1,50	1,00	2,50	1,60	2,26	3,86	4,85	5,16	10,01
Predicted total	—	—	2,34	—	—	3,11	—	—	10,09

Referee

Josh Smith

Last 2 months: 4 games · 14 YC total · 3.5 YC/game · 1 RC

29.08	Leicester — Birmingham	3-3	6
23.08	Southampton — Stoke	1-41	51
12.08	Wrexham — Hull	0-3	3
09.08	Sheff United — Bristol City	0-0	0

Last 10 matches

Millwall10 matches

Both teams to score50%

Clean sheets4 / 10

Scored7 / 10

Watford10 matches

Both teams to score50%

Clean sheets1 / 10

Scored5 / 10

Head-to-head

Date	League	Home	Away			xG		%		On		Off		DA
08.03.25	Championship	Watford	Millwall	1	2	1.49	0.56	60%	40%	4	4	11	5	49	24	11	4	0	1	0
10.08.24	Championship	Millwall	Watford	2	3	1.67	0.96	54%	46%	3	4	13	4	49	24	5	5	2	3	0
02.03.24	Championship	Millwall	Watford	1	0	0.59	0.70	33%	67%	1	3	5	9	33	75	4	3	3	1	0
28.10.23	Championship	Watford	Millwall	2	2	2.26	0.83	65%	35%	6	3	11	8	58	32	7	2	3	3	0
26.12.22	Championship	Watford	Millwall	0	2	—	—	41%	55%	1	9	2	15	8	66	1	9	1	3	1
19.10.22	Championship	Millwall	Watford	3	0	—	—	32%	68%	4	1	6	3	26	10	2	1	0	0	0
24.04.21	Championship	Watford	Millwall	1	0	—	—	65%	35%	2	3	3	2	21	17	3	2	0	0	0
26.01.21	Championship	Millwall	Watford	0	0	—	—	48%	52%	4	2	0	2	17	24	1	2	2	2	0
29.01.17	FA Cup	Millwall	Watford	1	0	—	—	49%	51%	5	1	2	1	44	40	9	2	0	3	0

Against common opponents (2 months)

Millwall

Date	League	Home	Away			xG		%		On		Off		DA
13.09.25	Championship	Charlton	Millwall	1	1	—	—	36%	64%	3	3	11	12	44	54	3	4	2	1	1	0
09.08.25	Championship	Norwich	Millwall	1	2	1.02	1.52	58%	42%	3	3	11	13	37	64	6	5	1	4	0	0

Watford

Date	League	Home	Away			xG		%		On		Off		DA
12.08.25	EFL Cup	Watford	Norwich	1	2	0.45	0.54	45%	55%	2	5	8	8	32	43	8	3	1	1
09.08.25	Championship	Charlton	Watford	1	0	1.23	0.63	42%	58%	5	1	7	9	50	44	3	2	1	2

Against similar-strength opponents

Matches with the same favourite/underdog setup by the bookmaker line.

Millwall (as favourite) odds 1.80–2.30

Record 1-0-2 (W-D-L), 0.3 scored / 1.7 conceded avg.

Date	League	Home	Away			xG		%		On		Off		DA
30.08.25	Championship	Millwall	Wrexham	0	2	1.45	0.55	60%	40%	2	3	20	3	62	27	5	2	1	4
16.08.25	Championship	Millwall	Middlesbrough	0	3	0.53	0.86	45%	55%	0	4	10	9	51	44	5	10	4	4
26.04.25	Championship	Millwall	Swansea	1	0	1.49	0.90	43%	57%	6	4	12	7	48	45	4	7	1	1

Watford (vs a strong favourite) odds 1.01–2.50

Record 0-2-3 (W-D-L), 1.0 scored / 1.6 conceded avg.

Date	League	Home	Away			xG		%		On		Off		DA
30.08.25	Championship	Watford	Southampton	2	2	0.51	1.63	54%	46%	4	8	6	4	42	43	4	5	2	5
23.08.25	Championship	Swansea	Watford	1	1	0.57	0.45	58%	42%	2	4	9	7	49	36	7	2	3	5
12.08.25	EFL Cup	Watford	Norwich	1	2	0.45	0.54	45%	55%	2	5	8	8	32	43	8	3	1	1
09.08.25	Championship	Charlton	Watford	1	0	1.23	0.63	42%	58%	5	1	7	9	50	44	3	2	1	2
26.04.25	Championship	Blackburn	Watford	2	1	0.75	0.34	55%	45%	5	3	6	6	59	33	4	6	5	5

Last matches (2 months)

Millwall DDLWWLWWW—

Date	League	Home	Away			xG		%		On		Off		DA
16.09.25	EFL Cup	Crystal Palace	Millwall	1	1	1.87	1.45	54%	46%	6	3	11	5	38	43	8	2	1	4	0
13.09.25	Championship	Charlton	Millwall	1	1	—	—	36%	64%	3	3	11	12	44	54	3	4	2	1	1
30.08.25	Championship	Millwall	Wrexham	0	2	1.45	0.55	60%	40%	2	3	20	3	62	27	5	2	1	4	0
26.08.25	EFL Cup	Millwall	Coventry	2	1	0.61	1.82	42%	58%	2	4	7	10	37	52	6	8	2	2	0
23.08.25	Championship	Sheff United	Millwall	0	1	1.20	1.30	62%	38%	2	5	10	11	65	43	8	7	4	2	0
16.08.25	Championship	Millwall	Middlesbrough	0	3	0.53	0.86	45%	55%	0	4	10	9	51	44	5	10	4	4	0
12.08.25	EFL Cup	Newport	Millwall	0	1	1.56	1.92	37%	63%	2	6	12	12	21	71	2	7	0	2	0
09.08.25	Championship	Norwich	Millwall	1	2	1.02	1.52	58%	42%	3	3	11	13	37	64	6	5	1	4	0
02.08.25	Friendlies	Millwall	Estoril	3	0	—	—	50%	50%	6	1	6	2	61	32	7	4	0	0	0

Watford LDDWLLW—D

Date	League	Home	Away			xG		%		On		Off		DA
13.09.25	Championship	Watford	Blackburn	0	1	—	—	51%	49%	1	2	16	9	44	60	5	7	0	2	0
30.08.25	Championship	Watford	Southampton	2	2	0.51	1.63	54%	46%	4	8	6	4	42	43	4	5	2	5	0
23.08.25	Championship	Swansea	Watford	1	1	0.57	0.45	58%	42%	2	4	9	7	49	36	7	2	3	5	0
16.08.25	Championship	Watford	QPR	2	1	1.76	0.38	46%	54%	4	2	13	13	36	44	2	4	1	2	1
12.08.25	EFL Cup	Watford	Norwich	1	2	0.45	0.54	45%	55%	2	5	8	8	32	43	8	3	1	1	0
09.08.25	Championship	Charlton	Watford	1	0	1.23	0.63	42%	58%	5	1	7	9	50	44	3	2	1	2	0
30.07.25	Friendlies	Watford	Deportivo La Coruna	1	0	—	—	50%	50%	1	1	4	4	40	63	4	4	0	1	0
26.07.25	Friendlies	Leyton Orient	Watford	1	1	—	—	50%	50%	1	4	11	6	68	43	8	4	0	0	0

Bookmaker lines

1X212,05X3,2023,75

Total 2,25O2,03U1,83

AH -0,2511,8022,05

See full live table on ScanGoal →

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