Middlesbrough vs Watford — preview, stats, live

Championship

апр 25, 2026 at 14:30

Middlesbrough

5:1

Watford

2.33

0.76

Championship: Middlesbrough vs Watford on 25 Apr 2026 finished 5:1.

Middlesbrough are out of form: 2-5-3 in their last 10, 1.4 scored and 1.2 conceded per game.

Watford are out of form: 1-2-7 in their last 10, 0.7 scored and 2.3 conceded per game.

Over 2.5 lands in 50% of Middlesbrough's games and 60% of Watford's; both teams score in 60% and 50%.

Chance quality: xG 2.3 vs 0.8.

Head-to-head (5): Middlesbrough 2, Watford 3, 0 draws.

Predicted: 2:0 (14%) · also likely 1:0 (14%)

Lineups

Middlesbrough

31Brynn GKLeyton Orient

12AylingLeeds

29MalandaCharlotte

6FryMiddlesbroug…

2BrittainBlackburn

18MorrisUSA

11WhittakerPlymouth

3TargettNewcastle

16BrowneSunderland

9ConwayScotland

13StrelecSlovakia

Watford

1Selvik GKNorway

29PetrisCharleroi

6PollockWatford U21

3GoglichidzeGeorgia

25AbankwahIreland U21

66IrankundaAustralia

23MendySenegal

10LouzaLorient

8ChakvetadzeGeorgia

9KjerrumgaardDenmark U21

39KayembeD.R. Congo

Match statistics

62%

46%

Possession

2.33

0.76

Shots on target

Shots off target

Blocked shots

Corners

Dangerous attacks

Yellow cards

Goalkeeper saves

By half (1H / 2H)

	1H		2H		FT
Metric	H	A	H	A	H	A
Shots on	3	2	7	1	10	3
Corners	4	1	2	2	6	3
Dangerous	32	18	14	12	46	30
Fouls	—	—	—	—	—	—
Yellow	0	0	1	2	1	2

Detailed statistics

	Goals Threshold: 3			Yellow cards Threshold: 4,5			Corners Threshold: 10,5
Metric	MI	WA	Total	MI	WA	Total	MI	WA	Total
Matches played	10	10	—	20	20	—	20	20	—
Total less	5 50%	5 50%	—	14 70%	10 50%	—	8 40%	9 45%	—
Total more	4 40%	2 20%	—	6 30%	10 50%	—	12 60%	11 55%	—
Matches home / away	5	6	—	20	20	—	20	20	—
Total less (home / away)	4 80%	2 33%	—	17 85%	9 45%	—	6 30%	9 45%	—
Total more (home / away)	0 0%	1 17%	—	3 15%	11 55%	—	14 70%	11 55%	—
Individual total (home / away)	0,60	0,83	1,43	1,10	2,40	3,50	7,90	4,75	12,65
Individual total (overall)	1,40	0,90	2,30	1,55	2,20	3,75	7,50	5,80	13,30
Avg total	2,40	2,50	2,45	3,60	4,75	4,18	11,55	10,80	11,18
Avg total (home / away)	1,60	2,83	2,22	2,95	4,70	3,83	12,30	10,25	11,28
Avg opponents' total	1,00	1,60	2,60	2,05	2,55	4,60	4,05	5,00	9,05
Avg opponents' total (home / away)	1,00	2,00	3,00	1,85	2,30	4,15	4,40	5,50	9,90
Predicted total	—	—	2,33	—	—	3,79	—	—	12,29

Referee

Adam Herczeg

Last 2 months: 5 games · 11 YC total · 2.2 YC/game

Pinnacle cards line: 3.5 — referee avg below

18.04	Wrexham — Stoke	0-1	1
06.04	Ipswich — Birmingham	1-1	2
17.03	Watford — Wrexham	2-0	2
11.03	Middlesbrough — Charlton	0-2	2
28.02	Leicester — Norwich	2-2	4

Last 10 matches

Middlesbrough10 matches

Both teams to score60%

Clean sheets2 / 10

Scored7 / 10

Watford10 matches

Both teams to score50%

Clean sheets1 / 10

Scored5 / 10

Line trends

Statistical team streaks on goals, corners and cards over recent matches — where the signal holds steadiest. How to read the codes →

Middlesbrough

↓Goals (match) under 3.5100%

↓Goals (match) under 4.5100%

↓Goals (team) under 1.5100%

↑Corners (match) over 7.5100%

↓Goals (match) under 5.5100%

↑Corners (match) over 8.590%

↑Goals (match) over 0.588%

Combined

↓Goals (match) under 4.5100%

↓Goals (match) under 5.5100%

↑Goals (match) over 0.588%

Watford

↓Goals (match) under 4.5100%

↓Goals (match) under 5.5100%

↑Cards (team) over 1.5100%

↑Goals (match) over 0.589%

OverUnder

Goals

BK line3

88%

0.5

15 of 17

59%

41%

1.5

10 of 17

35%

65%

2.5

11 of 17

88%

3.5

15 of 17

100%

4.5

17 of 17

Corners

BK line10.5

82%

18%

7.5

14 of 17

76%

24%

8.5

13 of 17

76%

24%

9.5

13 of 17

65%

35%

10.5

11 of 17

59%

41%

11.5

10 of 17

Head-to-head

Date	League	Home	Away			xG		%		On		Off		DA
01.11.25	Championship	Watford	Middlesbrough	3	0	0.85	0.83	46%	54%	4	4	5	11	24	75	1	7	2	1
15.02.25	Championship	Middlesbrough	Watford	0	1	0.86	1.43	58%	42%	5	5	8	9	66	25	8	5	2	2
05.10.24	Championship	Watford	Middlesbrough	2	1	0.93	1.85	38%	62%	5	6	4	7	33	68	7	5	3	1
04.05.24	Championship	Middlesbrough	Watford	3	1	1.87	0.92	54%	46%	6	6	6	8	45	52	3	3	1	1
30.09.23	Championship	Watford	Middlesbrough	2	3	1.37	0.91	54%	46%	4	3	11	6	62	33	9	3	2	0
28.01.23	Championship	Middlesbrough	Watford	2	0	—	—	57%	43%	6	4	8	7	45	27	9	5	1	2
30.08.22	Championship	Watford	Middlesbrough	2	1	—	—	50%	52%	4	1	9	4	35	13	2	4	2	0
05.04.21	Championship	Middlesbrough	Watford	1	1	—	—	40%	60%	3	1	2	8	50	26	5	2	0	1
11.09.20	Championship	Watford	Middlesbrough	1	0	—	—	50%	50%	2	4	7	8	37	77	6	6	1	0
14.01.17	Premier League	Watford	Middlesbrough	0	0	—	—	49%	51%	1	0	1	1	15	16	0	1	0	0

Against common opponents (2 months)

Middlesbrough

Date	League	Home	Away			xG		%		On		Off		DA
22.04.26	Championship	Middlesbrough	Sheff Wed	1	0	1.81	0.50	61%	39%	4	1	8	5	47	30	9	1	2	2
14.03.26	Championship	Middlesbrough	Bristol City	1	1	2.49	0.32	69%	31%	7	1	11	3	87	30	9	4	1	5
11.03.26	Championship	Middlesbrough	Charlton	0	1	1.85	0.72	78%	22%	8	3	25	3	112	8	11	2	0	2
08.03.26	Championship	QPR	Middlesbrough	0	4	0.63	3.67	31%	69%	3	7	6	9	46	50	3	8	0	0

Watford

Date	League	Home	Away			xG		%		On		Off		DA
06.04.26	Championship	Watford	Charlton	1	1	1.12	2.11	62%	38%	10	4	6	8	60	27	17	3	2	2
03.04.26	Championship	QPR	Watford	2	1	2.40	0.34	47%	53%	8	3	7	4	39	49	2	3	6	4
10.03.26	Championship	Sheff Wed	Watford	1	1	1.54	1.95	34%	66%	3	4	7	13	36	49	5	5	3	3
27.02.26	Championship	Bristol City	Watford	1	2	0.89	0.96	65%	35%	4	4	7	6	61	28	3	3	2	3

Against similar-strength opponents

Matches with the same favourite/underdog setup by the bookmaker line.

Middlesbrough (as favourite) odds 1.12–1.55

Record 1-2-2 (W-D-L), 0.6 scored / 0.8 conceded avg.

Date	League	Home	Away			xG		%		On		Off		DA
22.04.26	Championship	Middlesbrough	Sheff Wed	1	0	1.81	0.50	61%	39%	4	1	8	5	47	30	9	1	2	2
11.04.26	Championship	Middlesbrough	Portsmouth	0	1	1.30	0.14	72%	28%	7	1	13	1	52	29	14	2	1	3
14.03.26	Championship	Middlesbrough	Bristol City	1	1	2.49	0.32	69%	31%	7	1	11	3	87	30	9	4	1	5
11.03.26	Championship	Middlesbrough	Charlton	0	1	1.85	0.72	78%	22%	8	3	25	3	112	8	11	2	0	2
24.02.26	Championship	Middlesbrough	Leicester	1	1	1.21	0.81	60%	40%	4	6	13	5	73	44	8	5	1	1

Watford (vs a strong favourite) odds 1.01–2.30

Record 0-1-4 (W-D-L), 0.2 scored / 2.2 conceded avg.

Date	League	Home	Away			xG		%		On		Off		DA
21.04.26	Championship	West Brom	Watford	3	0	1.48	0.50	57%	43%	6	3	6	3	41	36	4	3	4	3
11.04.26	Championship	Oxford	Watford	2	0	1.88	0.95	34%	66%	6	3	8	10	41	41	10	5	1	2
07.02.26	Championship	Southampton	Watford	1	0	0.80	0.68	47%	53%	1	2	5	10	50	51	3	9	3	1
03.02.26	Championship	Hull	Watford	0	0	0.30	0.92	40%	60%	2	2	3	9	36	48	6	5	4	3
10.01.26	FA Cup	Bristol City	Watford	5	1	3.22	0.70	53%	47%	7	1	6	7	45	28	3	4	1	1

Last matches (2 months)

Middlesbrough WDLDLDDLWW

Date	League	Home	Away			xG		%		On		Off		DA
22.04.26	Championship	Middlesbrough	Sheff Wed	1	0	1.81	0.50	61%	39%	4	1	8	5	47	30	9	1	2	2
19.04.26	Championship	Ipswich	Middlesbrough	2	2	2.02	2.68	53%	47%	5	9	9	6	66	43	6	3	2	3
11.04.26	Championship	Middlesbrough	Portsmouth	0	1	1.30	0.14	72%	28%	7	1	13	1	52	29	14	2	1	3
06.04.26	Championship	Swansea	Middlesbrough	2	2	2.16	3.13	35%	65%	3	6	5	7	42	84	2	10	2	3
03.04.26	Championship	Middlesbrough	Millwall	1	2	3.03	0.79	60%	40%	6	5	8	3	67	34	17	6	1	1
21.03.26	Championship	Blackburn	Middlesbrough	0	0	0.32	1.45	29%	71%	1	3	5	9	28	68	3	11	0	2
14.03.26	Championship	Middlesbrough	Bristol City	1	1	2.49	0.32	69%	31%	7	1	11	3	87	30	9	4	1	5
11.03.26	Championship	Middlesbrough	Charlton	0	1	1.85	0.72	78%	22%	8	3	25	3	112	8	11	2	0	2
08.03.26	Championship	QPR	Middlesbrough	0	4	0.63	3.67	31%	69%	3	7	6	9	46	50	3	8	0	0
02.03.26	Championship	Birmingham	Middlesbrough	1	3	0.60	1.07	60%	40%	7	3	4	7	55	54	6	2	2	4

Watford LLLDLDWLD—

Date	League	Home	Away			xG		BC		%		On		Off		DA
21.04.26	Championship	West Brom	Watford	3	0	1.48	0.50			57%	43%	6	3	6	3	41	36	4	3	4	3
18.04.26	Championship	Watford	Sheff United	0	2	0.93	0.75			53%	47%	3	6	10	5	57	39	8	5	1	4
11.04.26	Championship	Oxford	Watford	2	0	1.88	0.95			34%	66%	6	3	8	10	41	41	10	5	1	2
06.04.26	Championship	Watford	Charlton	1	1	1.12	2.11			62%	38%	10	4	6	8	60	27	17	3	2	2
03.04.26	Championship	QPR	Watford	2	1	2.40	0.34			47%	53%	8	3	7	4	39	49	2	3	6	4
21.03.26	Championship	Watford	Leicester	0	0	0.27	1.60			45%	55%	2	3	7	10	53	47	7	4	3	4
17.03.26	Championship	Watford	Wrexham	3	1	2.02	0.32			42%	58%	5	1	6	8	31	70	3	5	2	0
14.03.26	Championship	Stoke	Watford	3	1	1.50	1.81	1	4	45%	55%	11	4	4	7	—	—	6	6	4	2
10.03.26	Championship	Sheff Wed	Watford	1	1	1.54	1.95			34%	66%	3	4	7	13	36	49	5	5	3	3

Bookmaker lines

1X211,55X4,2025,50

Total 3,00O1,88U1,98

AH -1,5012,0321,83

All Pinnacle markets

Goals

Goals total
Line	O	U
1.5	1.22	4.46
2.25	1.53	2.61
2.5	1.74	2.19
2.75	1.93	1.96
3	2.21	1.72
3.25	2.51	1.57
3.5	2.78	1.47
4.5	5.21	1.18

Team goals
Team	Line	O	U
Middlesbrough	1.5	1.62	2.36
Watford	0.5	1.58	2.47

Corners

Corners total
Line	O	U
8	1.38	3.02
8.5	1.60	2.35
9	1.79	2.04
9.5	2.07	1.76
10	2.47	1.54

Team corners
Team	Line	O	U
Middlesbrough	5.5	1.79	2.02
Watford	3.5	2.05	1.77

Cards

Cards total
Line	O	U
3.5	1.98	1.81

See full live table on ScanGoal →

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