Luton vs Northampton — preview, stats, live

EFL Trophy

мар 4, 2026 at 22:30

Luton

2:1

Northampton

2.16

0.18

EFL Trophy: Luton vs Northampton on 04 Mar 2026 finished 2:1.

Luton are in excellent form: 8-2-0 in their last 10, 2.3 scored and 1.1 conceded per game.

Northampton are out of form: 0-0-10 in their last 10, 0.8 scored and 2.6 conceded per game.

Goals look likely: over 2.5 in 80% of Luton's games and 70% of Northampton's.

Chance quality: xG 2.2 vs 0.2.

Head-to-head (5): Luton 5, Northampton 0, 0 draws.

Predicted: 2:1 (9%) · also likely 1:1 (9%)

Match statistics

50%

Possession

2.16

0.18

Shots on target

Shots off target

Corners

Dangerous attacks

Yellow cards

By half (1H / 2H)

	1H		2H		FT
Metric	H	A	H	A	H	A
Shots on	3	1	5	1	8	2
Corners	2	1	5	1	7	2
Dangerous	29	18	42	18	71	36
Fouls	—	—	—	—	—	—
Yellow	1	0	2	0	3	0

Detailed statistics

	Goals Threshold: 2,75			Yellow cards Threshold: 4,5			Corners Threshold: 10
Metric			Total			Total			Total
Matches played	12	13	—	20	20	—	20	20	—
Total less	6 50%	5 38%	—	13 65%	16 80%	—	7 35%	6 30%	—
Total more	6 50%	8 62%	—	7 35%	4 20%	—	9 45%	11 55%	—
Matches home / away	7	6	—	20	20	—	20	20	—
Total less (home / away)	2 29%	2 33%	—	15 75%	18 90%	—	8 40%	8 40%	—
Total more (home / away)	5 71%	4 67%	—	5 25%	2 10%	—	9 45%	11 55%	—
Individual total (home / away)	1,57	0,83	2,40	1,25	1,25	2,50	6,95	4,10	11,05
Individual total (overall)	1,08	1,15	2,24	1,50	1,30	2,80	5,45	5,20	10,65
Avg total	2,33	2,85	2,59	3,90	2,95	3,43	10,25	10,25	10,25
Avg total (home / away)	2,71	2,67	2,69	3,20	2,55	2,88	11,25	10,20	10,73
Avg opponents' total	1,25	1,69	2,94	2,40	1,65	4,05	4,80	5,05	9,85
Avg opponents' total (home / away)	1,14	1,83	2,98	1,95	1,30	3,25	4,30	6,10	10,40
Predicted total	—	—	2,64	—	—	2,84	—	—	10,69

Last 10 matches

Luton10 matches

Both teams to score80%

Clean sheets2 / 10

Scored10 / 10

Northampton10 matches

Both teams to score70%

Clean sheets0 / 10

Scored7 / 10

Line trends

Statistical team streaks on goals, corners and cards over recent matches — where the signal holds steadiest. How to read the codes →

Luton

↑Goals (match) over 0.5100%

↓Goals (match) under 4.5100%

↑Goals (team) over 0.5100%

↓Goals (match) under 5.5100%

↑Goals (match) over 1.590%

↓Cards (team) under 2.590%

Combined

↓Goals (match) under 4.5100%

↓Goals (match) under 5.5100%

↓Cards (team) under 2.590%

Northampton

↓Goals (match) under 4.5100%

↓Cards (match) under 5.5100%

↓Goals (match) under 5.5100%

↑Corners (match) over 7.590%

↑Corners (match) over 8.590%

↓Cards (match) under 3.590%

↓Cards (team) under 2.590%

OverUnder

Goals

BK line2.75

90%

0.5

18 of 20

85%

15%

1.5

17 of 20

70%

30%

2.5

14 of 20

30%

70%

3.5

14 of 20

95%

4.5

19 of 20

Corners

BK line10

85%

15%

7.5

17 of 20

80%

20%

8.5

16 of 20

75%

25%

9.5

15 of 20

55%

45%

10.5

11 of 20

40%

60%

11.5

12 of 20

Head-to-head

Date	League	Home	Away			xG		%		On		Off		DA
25.10.25	League 1	Northampton	Luton	0	1	0.88	1.97	45%	55%	5	4	7	10	39	54	6	10	2	2
16.07.22	Friendlies	Northampton	Luton	1	2	—	—	—	—	5	8	3	7	21	65	0	8	0	0
29.08.20	Friendlies	Northampton	Luton	0	3	—	—	38%	61%	1	3	1	6	19	36	1	10	0	0
30.04.16	League 2	Northampton	Luton	2	0	—	—	56%	44%	4	1	4	4	44	31	7	0	1	1
12.12.15	League 2	Luton	Northampton	3	4	—	—	47%	53%	5	7	3	2	29	27	1	6	0	0
28.03.15	League 2	Northampton	Luton	2	1	—	—	—	—	15	3	5	1	46	28	4	7	0	0

Against common opponents (2 months)

Luton

Date	League	Home	Away			xG		%		On		Off		DA
28.02.26	League 1	Port Vale	Luton	1	1	0.72	1.62	39%	61%	5	5	7	7	39	42	6	6	3	3
31.01.26	League 1	Luton	Blackpool	1	0	1.15	0.30	51%	49%	6	0	6	5	65	28	5	3	1	0
17.01.26	League 1	Luton	Lincoln	2	2	1.85	0.95	56%	44%	6	3	13	8	45	50	8	7	1	5
10.01.26	League 1	Luton	Stevenage	2	1	2.52	1.25	57%	43%	6	3	8	12	46	53	3	7	1	2

Northampton

Date	League	Home	Away			xG		%		On		Off		DA
24.02.26	League 1	Northampton	Port Vale	0	1	0.46	0.75	59%	41%	0	2	7	5	59	32	6	0	1	0	0
17.02.26	League 1	Lincoln	Northampton	4	0	2.29	0.41	55%	45%	11	0	10	4	65	22	9	1	1	1	1
07.02.26	League 1	Northampton	Stevenage	3	1	1.74	1.45	36%	64%	4	4	6	10	39	35	7	3	4	3	0
24.01.26	League 1	Blackpool	Northampton	2	0	2.62	0.51	54%	46%	5	3	14	7	40	55	4	3	1	1	0

Against similar-strength opponents

Matches with the same favourite/underdog setup by the bookmaker line.

Luton (as favourite) odds 1.45–2.05

Record 3-1-1 (W-D-L), 1.4 scored / 1.0 conceded avg.

Date	League	Home	Away			xG		%		On		Off		DA
21.02.26	League 1	Luton	Burton	1	1	0.47	0.72	55%	45%	2	1	3	6	40	77	0	6	3	3
07.02.26	League 1	Luton	Bradford City	2	1	1.00	0.97	50%	50%	7	3	10	7	46	63	5	5	2	2
31.01.26	League 1	Luton	Blackpool	1	0	1.15	0.30	51%	49%	6	0	6	5	65	28	5	3	1	0
13.01.26	EFL Trophy	Luton	Swindon	1	2	1.82	1.13	—	—	4	3	11	5	56	33	13	3	2	2
10.01.26	League 1	Luton	Stevenage	2	1	2.52	1.25	57%	43%	6	3	8	12	46	53	3	7	1	2

Northampton (vs a strong favourite) odds 1.01–2.30

Record 1-2-2 (W-D-L), 0.8 scored / 1.8 conceded avg.

Date	League	Home	Away			xG		%		On		Off		DA
17.02.26	League 1	Lincoln	Northampton	4	0	2.29	0.41	55%	45%	11	0	10	4	65	22	9	1	1	1	1
14.02.26	League 1	Exeter	Northampton	0	0	0.95	0.08	68%	32%	3	0	12	1	57	24	11	1	0	1	0
10.02.26	EFL Trophy	Wimbledon	Northampton	1	2	1.69	2.19	55%	45%	5	6	11	5	56	41	5	3	0	2	0
03.02.26	League 1	Barnsley	Northampton	2	2	2.61	2.09	64%	36%	5	3	15	9	61	44	6	7	2	1	0
31.01.26	League 1	Northampton	Reading	0	2	1.60	1.33	43%	57%	6	5	8	5	54	35	9	3	2	3	0

Last matches (2 months)

Luton D—WDLLWWLL

Date	League	Home	Away			xG		%		On		Off		DA
28.02.26	League 1	Port Vale	Luton	1	1	0.72	1.62	39%	61%	5	5	7	7	39	42	6	6	3	3	0
24.02.26	EFL Trophy	Luton	Plymouth	2	1	1.91	0.91	60%	40%	7	3	12	6	46	56	5	5	0	3	0
21.02.26	League 1	Luton	Burton	1	1	0.47	0.72	55%	45%	2	1	3	6	40	77	0	6	3	3	0
18.02.26	League 1	Wigan	Luton	1	0	1.30	0.35	45%	55%	5	1	4	11	45	38	7	4	4	2	0
14.02.26	League 1	Cardiff City	Luton	3	1	0.88	0.81	59%	41%	6	1	11	2	46	33	7	3	3	2	0
07.02.26	League 1	Luton	Bradford City	2	1	1.00	0.97	50%	50%	7	3	10	7	46	63	5	5	2	2	0
31.01.26	League 1	Luton	Blackpool	1	0	1.15	0.30	51%	49%	6	0	6	5	65	28	5	3	1	0	0
27.01.26	League 1	Huddersfield	Luton	1	0	0.41	0.51	35%	65%	1	1	8	11	34	61	6	9	1	2	1
24.01.26	League 1	Plymouth	Luton	1	0	1.84	1.05	33%	67%	4	1	12	11	62	49	6	5	4	1	0

Northampton DLLLDWWDLL

Date	League	Home	Away			xG		%		On		Off		DA
28.02.26	League 1	Northampton	Peterborough	1	1	0.59	0.71	42%	58%	6	4	5	8	53	32	5	2	1	2	0
24.02.26	League 1	Northampton	Port Vale	0	1	0.46	0.75	59%	41%	0	2	7	5	59	32	6	0	1	0	0
21.02.26	League 1	Northampton	Leyton Orient	1	2	1.00	0.83	58%	42%	3	5	11	4	77	23	7	4	1	2	0
17.02.26	League 1	Lincoln	Northampton	4	0	2.29	0.41	55%	45%	11	0	10	4	65	22	9	1	1	1	1
14.02.26	League 1	Exeter	Northampton	0	0	0.95	0.08	68%	32%	3	0	12	1	57	24	11	1	0	1	0
10.02.26	EFL Trophy	Wimbledon	Northampton	1	2	1.69	2.19	55%	45%	5	6	11	5	56	41	5	3	0	2	0
07.02.26	League 1	Northampton	Stevenage	3	1	1.74	1.45	36%	64%	4	4	6	10	39	35	7	3	4	3	0
03.02.26	League 1	Barnsley	Northampton	2	2	2.61	2.09	64%	36%	5	3	15	9	61	44	6	7	2	1	0
31.01.26	League 1	Northampton	Reading	0	2	1.60	1.33	43%	57%	6	5	8	5	54	35	9	3	2	3	0
27.01.26	League 1	Rotherham	Northampton	2	1	1.78	0.84	60%	40%	5	4	13	6	53	40	13	4	3	0	0

Bookmaker lines

1X211,65X3,5025,00

Total 2,75O1,98U1,83

AH -0,7511,8821,93

All Pinnacle markets

Goals

Goals total
Line	O	U
2	1.33	3.23
2.25	1.53	2.46
2.5	1.74	2.10
2.75	1.94	1.89
3	2.24	1.65
3.25	2.51	1.51
3.5	2.80	1.42

Team goals
Team	Line	O	U
Luton	1.5	1.63	2.29
Northampton	0.5	1.57	2.41

Corners

Corners total
Line	O	U
9	1.53	2.34
9.5	1.73	2.00
10	1.94	1.79
10.5	2.18	1.61
11	2.56	1.44

See full live table on ScanGoal →

Other matches that day

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