EFL Trophy: Luton vs Brighton U21 on 28 Oct 2025 finished 3:1.
Luton are in excellent form: 8-2-0 in their last 10, 2.3 scored and 1.1 conceded per game.
Brighton U21 are in excellent form: 7-2-1 in their last 10, 2.4 scored and 1.0 conceded per game.
Goals look likely: over 2.5 in 80% of Luton's games and 70% of Brighton U21's.
Chance quality: xG 2.6 vs 0.1.
Head-to-head (2): Luton 2, Brighton U21 0, 0 draws.
Predicted: 2:0 (12%) · also likely 3:0 (10%)
| Goals Threshold: 3,3 | Yellow cards Threshold: 4,5 | Corners Threshold: 9,5 | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | BU | Total | BU | Total | BU | Total | |||
| Matches played | 10 | 8 | — | 20 | 20 | — | 20 | 20 | — |
| Total less | 5 50% | 5 63% | — | 17 85% | 10 50% | — | 9 45% | 6 30% | — |
| Total more | 5 50% | 3 38% | — | 3 15% | 10 50% | — | 11 55% | 14 70% | — |
| Matches home / away | 4 | 6 | — | 20 | 20 | — | 20 | 20 | — |
| Total less (home / away) | 2 50% | 4 67% | — | 13 65% | 9 45% | — | 9 45% | 7 35% | — |
| Total more (home / away) | 2 50% | 2 33% | — | 7 35% | 11 55% | — | 11 55% | 13 65% | — |
| Individual total (home / away) | 1,75 | 1,17 | 2,92 | 1,15 | 2,35 | 3,50 | 7,10 | 4,95 | 12,05 |
| Individual total (overall) | 1,50 | 1,38 | 2,88 | 1,35 | 2,40 | 3,75 | 7,20 | 4,40 | 11,60 |
| Avg total | 3,10 | 3,13 | 3,11 | 2,80 | 4,60 | 3,70 | 10,95 | 9,90 | 10,43 |
| Avg total (home / away) | 3,25 | 3,17 | 3,21 | 3,40 | 4,80 | 4,10 | 10,70 | 9,75 | 10,23 |
| Avg opponents' total | 1,60 | 1,75 | 3,35 | 1,45 | 2,20 | 3,65 | 3,75 | 5,50 | 9,25 |
| Avg opponents' total (home / away) | 1,50 | 2,00 | 3,50 | 2,25 | 2,45 | 4,70 | 3,60 | 4,80 | 8,40 |
| Predicted total | — | — | 3,16 | — | — | 3,93 | — | — | 10,91 |
| Date | League | Home | Away | % | On | Off | DA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04.09.18 | EFL Trophy | Luton | Brighton U21 | 2 | 1 | 50% | 50% | 4 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 28 | 9 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| Date | League | Home | Away | xG | % | On | Off | DA | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30.09.25 | EFL Trophy | Barnet | Brighton U21 | 1 | 1 | 1.55 | 0.56 | 56% | 44% | 10 | 10 | 9 | 4 | 59 | 35 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 4 |
Matches with the same favourite/underdog setup by the bookmaker line.
| Date | League | Home | Away | % | On | Off | DA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Record 0-2-3 (W-D-L), 1.4 scored / 2.4 conceded avg.
| Date | League | Home | Away | xG | % | On | Off | DA | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30.09.25 | EFL Trophy | Barnet | Brighton U21 | 1 | 1 | 1.55 | 0.56 | 56% | 44% | 10 | 10 | 9 | 4 | 59 | 35 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 |
| 26.09.25 | Premier League 2 | West Ham U21 | Brighton U21 | 3 | 3 | — | — | 50% | 50% | 6 | 5 | 1 | 7 | 28 | 53 | 2 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
| 28.04.25 | Premier League 2 | Crystal Palace U21 | Brighton U21 | 3 | 1 | — | — | — | — | 5 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 42 | 34 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 |
| 14.03.25 | Premier League 2 | Brighton U21 | Fulham U21 | 1 | 3 | — | — | 50% | 50% | 3 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 28 | 31 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 13.01.25 | Premier League 2 | Manchester City U21 | Brighton U21 | 2 | 1 | — | — | 50% | 50% | 2 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 43 | 50 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| Date | League | Home | Away | xG | % | On | Off | DA | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25.10.25 | League 1 | Northampton | Luton | 0 | 1 | 0.88 | 1.97 | 45% | 55% | 5 | 4 | 7 | 10 | 39 | 54 | 6 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| 18.10.25 | League 1 | Luton | Mansfield | 0 | 2 | 2.15 | 1.82 | 66% | 34% | 4 | 3 | 9 | 3 | 54 | 27 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 07.10.25 | EFL Trophy | Cambridge | Luton | 3 | 1 | 2.03 | 1.31 | 42% | 58% | 6 | 7 | 8 | 7 | 44 | 63 | 5 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 04.10.25 | League 1 | Stevenage | Luton | 2 | 0 | 0.44 | 0.65 | 44% | 56% | 4 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 42 | 54 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 30.09.25 | League 1 | Blackpool | Luton | 2 | 2 | 0.63 | 1.47 | 38% | 62% | 3 | 3 | 8 | 11 | 40 | 84 | 3 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 27.09.25 | League 1 | Luton | Doncaster | 1 | 0 | 1.28 | 0.69 | 50% | 50% | 2 | 1 | 6 | 9 | 53 | 44 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 20.09.25 | League 1 | Lincoln | Luton | 3 | 1 | 1.40 | 0.39 | 44% | 56% | 6 | 2 | 9 | 10 | 41 | 59 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 |
| 13.09.25 | League 1 | Luton | Plymouth | 2 | 3 | — | — | 66% | 34% | 10 | 3 | 14 | 3 | 97 | 29 | 16 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 |
| 02.09.25 | EFL Trophy | Luton | Barnet | 4 | 1 | 1.86 | 0.48 | 47% | 53% | 8 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 58 | 33 | 9 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| Date | League | Home | Away | xG | % | On | Off | DA | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24.10.25 | Premier League 2 | Ipswich U21 | Brighton U21 | 3 | 1 | — | — | 60% | 40% | 6 | 1 | 12 | 6 | 62 | 23 | 14 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
| 21.10.25 | England National League Cup | Truro | Brighton U21 | 3 | 0 | — | — | 47% | 53% | 5 | 0 | 9 | 2 | 84 | 30 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 |
| 04.10.25 | Premier League 2 | Brighton U21 | Middlesbrough U21 | 1 | 1 | — | — | 50% | 50% | 2 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 44 | 34 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 1 |
| 30.09.25 | EFL Trophy | Barnet | Brighton U21 | 1 | 1 | 1.55 | 0.56 | 56% | 44% | 10 | 10 | 9 | 4 | 59 | 35 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 |
| 26.09.25 | Premier League 2 | West Ham U21 | Brighton U21 | 3 | 3 | — | — | 50% | 50% | 6 | 5 | 1 | 7 | 28 | 53 | 2 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
| 19.09.25 | Premier League 2 | Brighton U21 | Derby U21 | 3 | 1 | — | — | 50% | 50% | 4 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 27 | 46 | 3 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| 16.09.25 | England National League Cup | Sutton | Brighton U21 | 1 | 2 | — | — | 38% | 62% | 5 | 4 | 10 | 3 | 58 | 40 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| 29.08.25 | Premier League 2 | Arsenal U21 | Brighton U21 | 1 | 0 | — | — | 50% | 50% | 2 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 36 | 53 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 |