Llantwit Major vs Caerau Ely — preview, stats, live

Championship

мар 28, 2026 at 17:00

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Llantwit Major

1:4

Caerau Ely

Championship: Llantwit Major vs Caerau Ely on 28 Mar 2026 finished 1:4.

Llantwit Major are in good form: 4-1-5 in their last 10, 2.0 scored and 2.2 conceded per game.

Caerau Ely are in good form: 4-3-0 in their last 7, 2.0 scored and 0.1 conceded per game. They are unbeaten in 5.

Over 2.5 lands in 90% of Llantwit Major's games and 43% of Caerau Ely's; both teams score in 80% and 14%.

Head-to-head (5): Llantwit Major 2, Caerau Ely 2, 1 draw.

Predicted: 1:2 (9%) · also likely 1:1 (8%)

Match statistics

52%Possession48%

5Shots on target11

7Shots off target2

6Corners6

37Dangerous attacks55

3Yellow cards1

By half (1H / 2H)

	1H		2H		FT
Metric	H	A	H	A	H	A
Shots on	2	3	3	8	5	11
Corners	4	4	2	2	6	6
Dangerous	15	36	22	19	37	55
Fouls	—	—	—	—	—	—
Yellow	1	0	2	1	3	1

Detailed statistics

	Goals Threshold: 3			Yellow cards Threshold: 4,5			Corners Threshold: 9,5
Metric	LM		Total	LM		Total	LM		Total
Matches played	10	9	—	20	20	—	20	20	—
Total less	2 20%	1 11%	—	11 55%	8 40%	—	10 50%	10 50%	—
Total more	7 70%	6 67%	—	9 45%	12 60%	—	10 50%	10 50%	—
Matches home / away	4	4	—	20	20	—	20	20	—
Total less (home / away)	1 25%	0 0%	—	12 60%	14 70%	—	14 70%	9 45%	—
Total more (home / away)	3 75%	3 75%	—	8 40%	6 30%	—	6 30%	11 55%	—
Individual total (home / away)	2,00	2,50	4,50	1,85	1,65	3,50	4,90	5,30	10,20
Individual total (overall)	2,10	2,56	4,66	2,25	1,90	4,15	5,50	6,30	11,80
Avg total	3,80	3,89	3,84	4,45	4,75	4,60	9,85	10,40	10,13
Avg total (home / away)	3,75	4,00	3,88	4,40	4,05	4,23	8,60	9,75	9,18
Avg opponents' total	1,70	1,33	3,03	2,20	2,85	5,05	4,35	4,10	8,45
Avg opponents' total (home / away)	1,75	1,50	3,25	2,55	2,40	4,95	3,70	4,45	8,15
Predicted total	—	—	3,86	—	—	4,19	—	—	10,49

Last 10 matches

Llantwit Major10 matches

Both teams to score80%

Clean sheets1 / 10

Scored9 / 10

scored 5 straight

Caerau Ely7 matches

Both teams to score14%

Clean sheets6 / 7

Scored4 / 7

unbeaten 5

Line trends

Statistical team streaks on goals, corners and cards over recent matches — where the signal holds steadiest. How to read the codes →

Llantwit Major

↓Goals (match) under 5.5100%

↑Cards (match) over 3.5100%

↑Goals (team) over 0.590%

↑Cards (team) over 1.590%

Combined

↓Goals (match) under 5.595%

Caerau Ely

↑Goals (match) over 0.5100%

↑Goals (match) over 1.5100%

↓Cards (match) under 5.5100%

↓Cards (team) under 2.5100%

↓Goals (match) under 5.589%

OverUnder

Goals

BK line3

91%

0.5

10 of 11

82%

18%

1.5

9 of 11

73%

27%

2.5

8 of 11

64%

36%

3.5

7 of 11

36%

64%

4.5

7 of 11

Corners

64%

36%

7.5

7 of 11

55%

45%

8.5

6 of 11

45%

55%

9.5

6 of 11

45%

55%

10.5

6 of 11

36%

64%

11.5

7 of 11

Head-to-head

Date	League	Home	Away			%		On		Off		DA
12.09.25	Championship	Caerau Ely	Llantwit Major	0	0	66%	34%	2	1	7	5	36	29	1	4	1	2
05.04.25	Championship	Llantwit Major	Caerau Ely	1	0	—	—	3	3	5	1	30	33	5	4	3	1
07.02.25	Championship	Caerau Ely	Llantwit Major	2	4	—	—	5	5	7	1	64	46	8	4	2	0
02.02.24	Championship	Caerau Ely	Llantwit Major	3	2	—	—	9	3	3	5	56	44	3	2	1	1
30.09.23	Championship	Llantwit Major	Caerau Ely	1	4	—	—	—	—	0	0	—	—	—	—	0	0
12.10.19	Championship	Caerau Ely	Llantwit Major	2	2	—	—	—	—	0	0	—	—	—	—	0	0

Against common opponents (2 months)

Llantwit Major

Date	League	Home	Away			%		On		Off		DA
20.03.26	Championship	Afan Lido	Llantwit Major	4	1	56%	44%	9	2	7	5	62	34	3	3	4	3	1
14.03.26	Championship	Llantwit Major	Ammanford AFC	2	3	56%	44%	4	5	4	4	45	49	4	1	4	2	0
10.03.26	Championship	Cwmbran Celtic	Llantwit Major	1	3	55%	45%	4	6	7	6	42	31	6	3	3	1	0
03.03.26	Championship	Llantwit Major	Treowen Stars	3	2	50%	50%	8	6	1	2	39	34	9	3	3	4	0
14.02.26	Championship	Llantwit Major	Cwmbran Celtic	3	1	48%	52%	9	2	4	2	53	43	5	3	2	3	0
30.01.26	Championship	Carmarthen Town	Llantwit Major	1	1	50%	50%	4	5	6	8	36	48	3	10	3	3	0

Caerau Ely

Date	League	Home	Away			%		On		Off		DA
21.03.26	Championship	Caerau Ely	Cwmbran Celtic	0	0	69%	31%	3	0	11	2	73	21	13	3	0	1	0
10.03.26	Championship	Caerau Ely	Treowen Stars	3	0	61%	39%	8	2	7	5	60	31	4	1	1	5	0
07.03.26	Championship	Caerau Ely	Afan Lido	4	1	61%	39%	4	1	0	0	0	0	12	3	1	1	1
21.02.26	Championship	Caerau Ely	Carmarthen Town	3	4	61%	39%	7	10	7	1	43	27	7	8	0	5	0
07.02.26	Championship	Caerau Ely	Ammanford AFC	3	1	57%	43%	10	5	4	5	57	55	8	7	5	2	0

Against similar-strength opponents

Matches with the same favourite/underdog setup by the bookmaker line.

Llantwit Major (vs a strong favourite) odds 1.01–2.30

Record 1-2-2 (W-D-L), 1.6 scored / 1.2 conceded avg.

Date	League	Home	Away			%		On		Off		DA
06.03.26	Championship	Pontypridd Town	Llantwit Major	0	4	52%	48%	3	8	7	4	56	49	5	3	2	2	0
28.02.26	Championship	Llantwit Major	Trefelin BGC	0	1	0%	0%	0	5	7	8	47	59	2	3	3	1	0
20.02.26	Championship	Newport City FC	Llantwit Major	2	1	59%	41%	5	4	13	7	59	36	7	4	2	4	0
30.01.26	Championship	Carmarthen Town	Llantwit Major	1	1	50%	50%	4	5	6	8	36	48	3	10	3	3	0
08.11.25	Championship	Llantwit Major	Newport City FC	2	2	61%	39%	2	4	0	0	68	47	11	4	1	2	1

Caerau Ely (as favourite) odds 1.45–2.05

Record 2-0-2 (W-D-L), 2.5 scored / 2.0 conceded avg.

Date	League	Home	Away			%		On		Off		DA
10.03.26	Championship	Caerau Ely	Treowen Stars	3	0	61%	39%	8	2	7	5	60	31	4	1	1	5
21.02.26	Championship	Caerau Ely	Carmarthen Town	3	4	61%	39%	7	10	7	1	43	27	7	8	0	5
07.02.26	Championship	Caerau Ely	Ammanford AFC	3	1	57%	43%	10	5	4	5	57	55	8	7	5	2
31.01.26	Wales Cup	Bangor 1876 FC	Caerau Ely	3	1	47%	53%	9	5	6	2	44	33	3	6	1	2

Last matches (2 months)

Llantwit Major LLWWWLWLW—

Date	League	Home	Away			%		On		Off		DA
20.03.26	Championship	Afan Lido	Llantwit Major	4	1	56%	44%	9	2	7	5	62	34	3	3	4	3	1
14.03.26	Championship	Llantwit Major	Ammanford AFC	2	3	56%	44%	4	5	4	4	45	49	4	1	4	2	0
10.03.26	Championship	Cwmbran Celtic	Llantwit Major	1	3	55%	45%	4	6	7	6	42	31	6	3	3	1	0
06.03.26	Championship	Pontypridd Town	Llantwit Major	0	4	52%	48%	3	8	7	4	56	49	5	3	2	2	0
03.03.26	Championship	Llantwit Major	Treowen Stars	3	2	50%	50%	8	6	1	2	39	34	9	3	3	4	0
28.02.26	Championship	Llantwit Major	Trefelin BGC	0	1	0%	0%	0	5	7	8	47	59	2	3	3	1	0
24.02.26	Championship	Ynyshir Albions	Llantwit Major	2	3	38%	62%	7	6	6	12	32	57	6	8	3	3	0
20.02.26	Championship	Newport City FC	Llantwit Major	2	1	59%	41%	5	4	13	7	59	36	7	4	2	4	0
14.02.26	Championship	Llantwit Major	Cwmbran Celtic	3	1	48%	52%	9	2	4	2	53	43	5	3	2	3	0

Caerau Ely D—WWWWLLWL

Date	League	Home	Away			%		On		Off		DA
21.03.26	Championship	Caerau Ely	Cwmbran Celtic	0	0	69%	31%	3	0	11	2	73	21	13	3	0	1	0	0
14.03.26	Championship	Baglan Dragons	Caerau Ely	0	5	50%	50%	2	9	2	3	28	41	2	2	3	2	1	0
10.03.26	Championship	Caerau Ely	Treowen Stars	3	0	61%	39%	8	2	7	5	60	31	4	1	1	5	0	0
07.03.26	Championship	Caerau Ely	Afan Lido	4	1	61%	39%	4	1	0	0	0	0	12	3	1	1	0	1
01.03.26	Championship	Aberystwyth	Caerau Ely	0	4	57%	43%	0	6	2	12	37	52	8	9	0	2	0	0
21.02.26	Championship	Caerau Ely	Carmarthen Town	3	4	61%	39%	7	10	7	1	43	27	7	8	0	5	0	0
13.02.26	Championship	Cambrian United	Caerau Ely	3	0	44%	56%	6	1	7	8	65	59	5	1	2	1	1	0
07.02.26	Championship	Caerau Ely	Ammanford AFC	3	1	57%	43%	10	5	4	5	57	55	8	7	5	2	0	0
31.01.26	Wales Cup	Bangor 1876 FC	Caerau Ely	3	1	47%	53%	9	5	6	2	44	33	3	6	1	2	0	0

Bookmaker lines

1X214,33X3,8021,60

Total 3,00O1,88U1,93

AH +1,0011,8022,00

All Pinnacle markets

Goals

Goals total
Line	O	U
2.25	1.36	2.86
2.5	1.51	2.38
2.75	1.64	2.15
3	1.86	1.93
3.25	2.09	1.68
3.5	2.31	1.54
3.75	2.67	1.41

Team goals
Team	Line	O	U
Llantwit Major	0.5	1.41	2.81
Caerau Ely	1.5	1.54	2.37

See full live table on ScanGoal →

Other matches that day

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