Leon vs Toluca — preview, stats, live

Clausura

окт 5, 2025 at 04:00

Leon

2:4

Toluca

1.83

2.51

Clausura: Leon vs Toluca on 05 Oct 2025 finished 2:4.

Leon are in good form: 5-0-5 in their last 10, 1.5 scored and 2.2 conceded per game.

Toluca are out of form: 3-2-5 in their last 10, 1.8 scored and 1.4 conceded per game. They are winning 6 straight.

Over 2.5 lands in 80% of Leon's games and 60% of Toluca's; both teams score in 60% and 60%.

Chance quality: xG 1.8 vs 2.5.

Head-to-head (5): Leon 0, Toluca 3, 2 draws.

Predicted: 1:2 (9%) · also likely 1:1 (8%)

Match statistics

1.83

2.51

Detailed statistics

	Goals Threshold: 3,5			Yellow cards Threshold: 4,5			Corners Threshold: 9,5
Metric	LE		Total	LE		Total	LE		Total
Matches played	9	11	—	20	20	—	20	20	—
Total less	6 67%	6 55%	—	11 55%	8 40%	—	13 65%	13 65%	—
Total more	3 33%	5 45%	—	9 45%	12 60%	—	7 35%	7 35%	—
Matches home / away	4	5	—	20	20	—	20	20	—
Total less (home / away)	2 50%	3 60%	—	8 40%	9 45%	—	11 55%	12 60%	—
Total more (home / away)	2 50%	2 40%	—	12 60%	11 55%	—	9 45%	8 40%	—
Individual total (home / away)	1,75	2,20	3,95	1,90	2,05	3,95	4,80	4,95	9,75
Individual total (overall)	0,89	2,36	3,25	2,20	2,45	4,65	4,30	4,85	9,15
Avg total	2,44	3,27	2,86	4,30	4,95	4,63	8,75	8,55	8,65
Avg total (home / away)	3,25	3,00	3,13	4,60	4,55	4,58	9,20	9,15	9,18
Avg opponents' total	1,56	0,91	2,46	2,10	2,50	4,60	4,45	3,70	8,15
Avg opponents' total (home / away)	1,50	0,80	2,30	2,70	2,50	5,20	4,40	4,20	8,60
Predicted total	—	—	2,99	—	—	4,61	—	—	9,16

Referee

Jesus Rafael Lopez Valle

Last 2 months: 2 games · 10 YC total · 5 YC/game · 1 RC

30.08	Puebla — Monterrey	2-3	5
24.08	Leon — Pachuca	41-1	51

Last 10 matches

Leon10 matches

Both teams to score60%

Clean sheets2 / 10

Scored8 / 10

Toluca10 matches

Both teams to score60%

Clean sheets2 / 10

Scored8 / 10

won 6 straightscored 6 straight

Head-to-head

Date	League	Home	Away			xG		%		On		Off		DA
09.02.25	Clausura	Leon	Toluca	3	3	1.06	1.78	37%	63%	3	4	0	0	1	0	1	5	3	2	0	0
03.11.24	Clausura	Toluca	Leon	2	2	1.80	1.15	55%	45%	8	6	11	10	45	25	4	6	5	2	1	0
04.02.24	Clausura	Toluca	Leon	4	1	1.70	0.55	61%	39%	5	2	8	7	46	36	6	3	3	0	0	0
22.10.23	Clausura	Leon	Toluca	1	0	1.44	1.39	40%	60%	7	2	10	13	37	60	8	5	1	4	0	1
29.01.23	Clausura	Toluca	Leon	0	0	—	—	65%	35%	2	0	4	2	26	8	4	1	1	3	0	1
27.07.22	Apertura	Leon	Toluca	0	1	—	—	61%	52%	2	7	6	9	30	47	2	5	3	2	0	0
02.05.22	Clausura	Leon	Toluca	4	4	—	—	59%	41%	10	5	14	7	58	30	6	6	0	2	0	0
31.10.21	Apertura	Toluca	Leon	0	0	—	—	48%	52%	0	2	0	4	18	20	2	4	1	1	0	0
10.05.21	Clausura	Leon	Toluca	2	2	—	—	60%	40%	11	4	9	4	52	36	4	1	0	0	0	0
05.04.21	Clausura	Leon	Toluca	2	1	—	—	64%	37%	10	2	10	3	51	31	6	3	2	3	0	0

Against common opponents (2 months)

Leon

Date	League	Home	Away			xG		%		On		Off		DA
27.09.25	Clausura	Juarez	Leon	2	0	2.27	0.26	56%	44%	4	1	14	5	49	36	3	6	2	1	1
24.09.25	Clausura	Leon	Mazatlan FC	2	2	4.11	1.79	58%	42%	6	8	13	8	35	53	5	5	1	6	0
12.08.25	Clausura	Leon	Monterrey	1	3	0.87	1.63	55%	45%	2	4	2	0	5	6	7	6	2	2	0

Toluca

Date	League	Home	Away			xG		%		On		Off		DA
28.09.25	Clausura	Toluca	Mazatlan FC	3	1	2.21	0.39	54%	46%	6	3	9	7	30	32	5	2	1	2	1
25.09.25	Clausura	Toluca	Monterrey	6	2	3.38	2.55	47%	53%	13	7	11	9	0	0	6	2	1	1	0
12.08.25	Clausura	Juarez	Toluca	0	2	0.19	0.67	60%	40%	0	3	6	5	50	19	9	2	4	3	0

Against similar-strength opponents

Matches with the same favourite/underdog setup by the bookmaker line.

Leon (vs a strong favourite) odds 1.01–2.30

Record 1-2-2 (W-D-L), 0.4 scored / 1.6 conceded avg.

Date	League	Home	Away			xG		%		On		Off		DA
27.09.25	Clausura	Juarez	Leon	2	0	2.27	0.26	56%	44%	4	1	14	5	49	36	3	6	2	1	0	1
20.09.25	Clausura	Tijuana	Leon	5	0	2.35	0.35	48%	52%	8	2	11	4	33	24	4	3	0	2	0	0
14.09.25	Clausura	Tigres UANL	Leon	0	0	1.43	1.07	47%	53%	2	6	17	10	55	42	6	2	0	4	1	0
24.08.25	Clausura	Leon	Pachuca	1	1	1.58	2.21	39%	61%	4	7	5	17	41	62	2	5	4	1	1	0
16.08.25	Clausura	Necaxa	Leon	0	1	1.28	1.50	53%	47%	6	1	15	16	47	41	7	5	4	3	0	0

Toluca (as favourite) odds 1.45–2.05

Record 4-1-0 (W-D-L), 2.0 scored / 0.8 conceded avg.

Date	League	Home	Away			xG		%		On		Off		DA
30.08.25	Clausura	Atletico San Luis	Toluca	1	3	1.04	2.32	52%	48%	3	6	5	11	30	32	1	8	5	2
17.08.25	Mexico Liga MX Femenil	Toluca	Unam Pumas Women	1	1	1.65	0.78	70%	30%	4	3	17	3	66	28	5	1	2	5
12.08.25	Clausura	Juarez	Toluca	0	2	0.19	0.67	60%	40%	0	3	6	5	50	19	9	2	4	3
06.08.25	English Capital One Cup	Toluca	New York City	2	1	2.16	0.49	44%	56%	5	2	8	6	37	51	2	4	4	2
02.08.25	Leagues Cup	Toluca	Montreal	2	1	1.09	0.53	52%	48%	9	4	9	6	46	52	2	7	0	2

Last matches (2 months)

Leon LD—LDW—DWL

Date	League	Home	Away			xG		%		On		Off		DA
27.09.25	Clausura	Juarez	Leon	2	0	2.27	0.26	56%	44%	4	1	14	5	49	36	3	6	2	1	0	1
24.09.25	Clausura	Leon	Mazatlan FC	2	2	4.11	1.79	58%	42%	6	8	13	8	35	53	5	5	1	6	0	0
20.09.25	Clausura	Tijuana	Leon	5	0	2.35	0.35	48%	52%	8	2	11	4	33	24	4	3	0	2	0	0
14.09.25	Clausura	Tigres UANL	Leon	0	0	1.43	1.07	47%	53%	2	6	17	10	55	42	6	2	0	4	1	0
31.08.25	Clausura	Leon	Queretaro	3	0	1.05	0.19	69%	31%	5	4	9	3	44	25	4	7	3	3	0	2
24.08.25	Clausura	Leon	Pachuca	1	1	1.58	2.21	39%	61%	4	7	5	17	41	62	2	5	4	1	1	0
16.08.25	Clausura	Necaxa	Leon	0	1	1.28	1.50	53%	47%	6	1	15	16	47	41	7	5	4	3	0	0
12.08.25	Clausura	Leon	Monterrey	1	3	0.87	1.63	55%	45%	2	4	2	0	5	6	7	6	2	2	0	0

Toluca W—WWWWWLDD

Date	League	Home	Away			xG		%		On		Off		DA
02.10.25	Campeones Cup	LA Galaxy	Toluca	2	3	1.40	1.28	44%	56%	3	5	7	2	37	7	1	11	5	3	0	0
28.09.25	Clausura	Toluca	Mazatlan FC	3	1	2.21	0.39	54%	46%	6	3	9	7	30	32	5	2	1	2	1	0
25.09.25	Clausura	Toluca	Monterrey	6	2	3.38	2.55	47%	53%	13	7	11	9	0	0	6	2	1	1	0	0
21.09.25	Clausura	Chivas Guadalajara	Toluca	0	3	0.73	2.45	53%	47%	4	11	14	8	0	0	7	6	2	3	1	1
14.09.25	Clausura	Toluca	Puebla	3	1	1.57	1.35	63%	37%	5	2	22	6	52	18	5	5	0	1	0	0
30.08.25	Clausura	Atletico San Luis	Toluca	1	3	1.04	2.32	52%	48%	3	6	5	11	30	32	1	8	5	2	0	0
24.08.25	Clausura	Cruz Azul	Toluca	1	0	0.94	0.32	55%	45%	7	1	16	7	68	55	7	4	3	3	0	0
21.08.25	Leagues Cup	Toluca	Orlando City	0	0	0.76	0.24	51%	49%	1	1	14	3	61	34	10	5	1	3	0	0
17.08.25	Mexico Liga MX Femenil	Toluca	Unam Pumas Women	1	1	1.65	0.78	70%	30%	4	3	17	3	66	28	5	1	2	5	0	0

Bookmaker lines

1X214,50X4,1021,67

Total 3,50O2,00U1,80

AH +1,0011,8022,00

See full live table on ScanGoal →

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