Leipzig vs Mainz — preview, stats, live

Bundesliga

янв 31, 2026 at 17:30

Leipzig

1:2

Mainz

1.38

2.33

Bundesliga: Leipzig vs Mainz on 31 Jan 2026 finished 1:2.

Leipzig are in excellent form: 6-0-4 in their last 10, 1.9 scored and 1.6 conceded per game. They are scoring in 8 straight.

Mainz are out of form: 3-1-4 in their last 8, 1.4 scored and 1.8 conceded per game.

Over 2.5 lands in 80% of Leipzig's games and 50% of Mainz's; both teams score in 70% and 50%.

Chance quality: xG 1.4 vs 2.3.

Head-to-head (5): Leipzig 2, Mainz 2, 1 draw.

Predicted: 2:1 (10%) · also likely 1:1 (9%)

Match statistics

1.38

2.33

Detailed statistics

	Goals Threshold: 3,0			Yellow cards Threshold: 4,5			Corners Threshold: 10,0
Metric			Total			Total			Total
Matches played	8	10	—	20	20	—	20	20	—
Total less	2 25%	4 40%	—	18 90%	9 45%	—	7 35%	14 70%	—
Total more	5 63%	4 40%	—	2 10%	11 55%	—	7 35%	6 30%	—
Matches home / away	5	5	—	20	20	—	20	20	—
Total less (home / away)	1 20%	1 20%	—	17 85%	13 65%	—	5 25%	11 55%	—
Total more (home / away)	4 80%	3 60%	—	3 15%	7 35%	—	9 45%	8 40%	—
Individual total (home / away)	2,60	1,20	3,80	1,35	1,70	3,05	6,00	4,85	10,85
Individual total (overall)	2,25	1,30	3,55	1,40	2,35	3,75	5,35	4,75	10,10
Avg total	3,88	2,70	3,29	3,15	4,70	3,93	10,35	8,25	9,30
Avg total (home / away)	4,40	3,40	3,90	3,30	3,50	3,40	11,35	9,25	10,30
Avg opponents' total	1,63	1,40	3,03	1,75	2,35	4,10	5,00	3,50	8,50
Avg opponents' total (home / away)	1,80	2,20	4,00	1,95	1,80	3,75	5,35	4,40	9,75
Predicted total	—	—	3,60	—	—	3,58	—	—	10,20

Referee

Daniel Schlager

Last 2 months: 4 games · 15 YC total · 3.75 YC/game · 1 RC

17.01	Hoffenheim — Bayer 04 Leverkusen	2-1	3
09.01	Eintracht Frankfurt — Dortmund	3-3	6
12.12	Union Berlin — Leipzig	2-2	4
30.11	Freiburg — Mainz	0-21	21

Last 10 matches

Leipzig10 matches

Both teams to score70%

Clean sheets2 / 10

Scored9 / 10

scored 8 straight

Mainz8 matches

Both teams to score50%

Clean sheets2 / 8

Scored6 / 8

scored 4 straight

Head-to-head

Date	League	Home	Away			xG		%		On		Off		DA
13.09.25	Bundesliga	Mainz	Leipzig	0	1	—	—	56%	44%	2	4	11	15	77	24	3	5	1	0	0
01.03.25	Bundesliga	Leipzig	Mainz	1	2	1.43	1.13	49%	51%	4	3	9	13	37	47	7	1	1	1	0
19.10.24	Bundesliga	Mainz	Leipzig	0	2	0.46	1.97	54%	46%	2	5	14	6	59	26	5	3	0	3	0
30.03.24	Bundesliga	Leipzig	Mainz	0	0	2.89	1.06	66%	34%	10	2	11	5	72	15	12	2	2	5	0
04.11.23	Bundesliga	Mainz	Leipzig	2	0	1.11	0.49	33%	67%	3	2	7	8	23	55	2	7	3	1	0
01.04.23	Bundesliga	Leipzig	Mainz	0	3	—	—	69%	31%	3	6	11	11	51	29	3	4	3	3	0
08.10.22	Bundesliga	Mainz	Leipzig	1	1	—	—	38%	64%	3	3	5	10	32	41	2	2	0	1	0
08.01.22	Bundesliga	Leipzig	Mainz	4	1	—	—	68%	32%	7	1	6	1	75	21	6	1	0	2	1
15.08.21	Bundesliga	Mainz	Leipzig	1	0	—	—	28%	72%	3	2	4	13	30	67	5	11	1	2	0
23.01.21	Bundesliga	Mainz	Leipzig	3	2	—	—	32%	68%	4	4	5	8	31	54	3	9	2	4	0

Against common opponents (2 months)

Leipzig

Date	League	Home	Away			xG		%		On		Off		DA
27.01.26	Bundesliga	St Pauli	Leipzig	1	1	1.45	1.09	46%	54%	2	5	5	7	37	56	4	3	0	1
24.01.26	Bundesliga	Heidenheim	Leipzig	0	3	1.25	1.69	26%	74%	2	7	5	4	57	62	4	0	1	0
17.01.26	Bundesliga	Leipzig	Bayern Munchen	1	5	2.43	4.63	42%	58%	4	12	13	7	37	44	5	9	1	0
14.01.26	Bundesliga	Leipzig	Freiburg	2	0	2.26	0.17	63%	37%	7	1	14	2	53	32	7	2	0	4
12.12.25	Bundesliga	Union Berlin	Leipzig	3	1	1.45	0.58	37%	63%	6	3	6	6	0	0	4	6	2	2

Mainz

Date	League	Home	Away			xG		%		On		Off		DA
13.01.26	Bundesliga	Mainz	Heidenheim	2	1	1.41	1.41	41%	59%	6	4	7	11	45	42	4	1	2	2	0
10.01.26	Bundesliga	Union Berlin	Mainz	2	2	2.65	1.09	56%	44%	5	6	11	3	45	26	2	1	2	0	0
21.12.25	Bundesliga	Mainz	St Pauli	0	0	1.02	0.26	53%	47%	1	1	12	4	51	28	9	5	1	1	0
14.12.25	Bundesliga	Bayern Munchen	Mainz	2	2	4.23	0.60	85%	15%	11	2	13	3	96	10	7	0	2	2	0
30.11.25	Bundesliga	Freiburg	Mainz	4	0	3.32	0.11	75%	25%	10	1	13	0	55	7	6	2	0	2	1

Against similar-strength opponents

Matches with the same favourite/underdog setup by the bookmaker line.

Leipzig (as favourite) odds 1.12–1.55

Record 5-0-0 (W-D-L), 2.6 scored / 0.6 conceded avg.

Date	League	Home	Away			xG		%		On		Off		DA
02.12.25	Germany DFB Pokal	Leipzig	Magdeburg	3	1	1.64	1.45	50%	50%	9	4	7	9	52	52	2	8	1	3
23.11.25	Bundesliga	Leipzig	Werder Bremen	2	0	2.02	0.73	52%	48%	13	6	9	10	55	42	13	7	1	2
28.10.25	Germany DFB Pokal	Energie Cottbus	Leipzig	1	4	0.69	1.75	38%	62%	9	8	7	9	39	48	6	6	1	3
18.10.25	Bundesliga	Leipzig	Hamburg	2	1	1.06	0.97	47%	53%	4	3	6	13	9	16	3	5	3	1
30.08.25	Bundesliga	Leipzig	Heidenheim	2	0	2.18	0.77	66%	34%	5	3	13	2	62	23	4	3	2	5

Mainz (vs a strong favourite) odds 1.01–2.30

Record 0-2-3 (W-D-L), 1.0 scored / 2.2 conceded avg.

Date	League	Home	Away			xG		%		On		Off		DA
17.01.26	Bundesliga	Cologne	Mainz	2	1	2.51	1.22	62%	38%	6	7	14	2	80	38	9	5	4	4	0
10.01.26	Bundesliga	Union Berlin	Mainz	2	2	2.65	1.09	56%	44%	5	6	11	3	45	26	2	1	2	0	0
14.12.25	Bundesliga	Bayern Munchen	Mainz	2	2	4.23	0.60	85%	15%	11	2	13	3	96	10	7	0	2	2	0
30.11.25	Bundesliga	Freiburg	Mainz	4	0	3.32	0.11	75%	25%	10	1	13	0	55	7	6	2	0	2	1
09.11.25	Bundesliga	Eintracht Frankfurt	Mainz	1	0	0.74	0.15	55%	45%	4	0	10	3	48	48	4	3	0	4	0

Last matches (2 months)

Leipzig DWLW—LLWW

Date	League	Home	Away			xG		%		On		Off		DA
27.01.26	Bundesliga	St Pauli	Leipzig	1	1	1.45	1.09	46%	54%	2	5	5	7	37	56	4	3	0	1
24.01.26	Bundesliga	Heidenheim	Leipzig	0	3	1.25	1.69	26%	74%	2	7	5	4	57	62	4	0	1	0
17.01.26	Bundesliga	Leipzig	Bayern Munchen	1	5	2.43	4.63	42%	58%	4	12	13	7	37	44	5	9	1	0
14.01.26	Bundesliga	Leipzig	Freiburg	2	0	2.26	0.17	63%	37%	7	1	14	2	53	32	7	2	0	4
20.12.25	Bundesliga	Leipzig	Bayer 04 Leverkusen	1	3	1.80	3.17	44%	56%	7	8	12	7	60	40	2	8	1	2
12.12.25	Bundesliga	Union Berlin	Leipzig	3	1	1.45	0.58	37%	63%	6	3	6	6	0	0	4	6	2	2
06.12.25	Bundesliga	Leipzig	Eintracht Frankfurt	6	0	3.71	0.45	52%	48%	7	2	9	6	44	37	4	0	1	2
02.12.25	Germany DFB Pokal	Leipzig	Magdeburg	3	1	1.64	1.45	50%	50%	9	4	7	9	52	52	2	8	1	3

Mainz WLWDDWDDLL

Date	League	Home	Away			xG		%		On		Off		DA
24.01.26	Bundesliga	Mainz	Wolfsburg	3	1	4.03	0.65	60%	40%	9	2	11	5	77	29	15	1	3	2	0
17.01.26	Bundesliga	Cologne	Mainz	2	1	2.51	1.22	62%	38%	6	7	14	2	80	38	9	5	4	4	0
13.01.26	Bundesliga	Mainz	Heidenheim	2	1	1.41	1.41	41%	59%	6	4	7	11	45	42	4	1	2	2	0
10.01.26	Bundesliga	Union Berlin	Mainz	2	2	2.65	1.09	56%	44%	5	6	11	3	45	26	2	1	2	0	0
21.12.25	Bundesliga	Mainz	St Pauli	0	0	1.02	0.26	53%	47%	1	1	12	4	51	28	9	5	1	1	0
18.12.25	UEFA Conference League	Mainz	Samsunspor	2	0	1.70	0.72	46%	54%	4	2	10	6	55	23	5	3	0	3	0
14.12.25	Bundesliga	Bayern Munchen	Mainz	2	2	4.23	0.60	85%	15%	11	2	13	3	96	10	7	0	2	2	0
11.12.25	UEFA Conference League	Lech Poznan	Mainz	1	1	2.59	1.22	68%	32%	5	5	7	5	43	26	2	5	2	3	1
05.12.25	Bundesliga	Mainz	Borussia Monchengladbach	0	1	0.93	1.77	55%	45%	2	5	6	9	60	32	8	6	2	1	0
30.11.25	Bundesliga	Freiburg	Mainz	4	0	3.32	0.11	75%	25%	10	1	13	0	55	7	6	2	0	2	1

Bookmaker lines

1X211,55X4,3325,75

Total 3,00O1,95U1,90

AH -1,0012,0321,83

See full live table on ScanGoal →

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