Germany U21 vs Italy U21 — preview, stats, live

Nations League · 📍 DAC Arena

июн 22, 2025 at 22:00

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Germany U21

3:2

Italy U21

1.95

1.15

Nations League: Germany U21 vs Italy U21 on 22 Jun 2025 finished 3:2.

Germany U21 are in excellent form: 8-0-2 in their last 10, 2.9 scored and 0.7 conceded per game. They are winning 4 straight and scoring in 11 straight.

Italy U21 are in excellent form: 8-0-2 in their last 10, 2.8 scored and 0.8 conceded per game. They are scoring in 16 straight.

Goals look likely: over 2.5 in 70% of Germany U21's games and 80% of Italy U21's.

Chance quality: xG 2.0 vs 1.2.

Head-to-head (5): Germany U21 3, Italy U21 1, 1 draw.

Predicted: 1:0 (13%) · also likely 1:1 (12%)

Match statistics

Possession

59%

41%

1.95

1.15

Shots on target

Shots off target

Corners

Dangerous attacks

Fouls

Yellow cards

Red cards

Detailed statistics

	Goals Threshold: 2,75			Yellow cards Threshold: 4,5			Corners Threshold: 8,5
Metric	GU		Total	GU		Total	GU		Total
Matches played	3	3	—	20	20	—	20	20	—
Total less	0 0%	3 100%	—	10 50%	12 60%	—	7 35%	8 40%	—
Total more	3 100%	0 0%	—	10 50%	8 40%	—	13 65%	12 60%	—
Matches home / away	1	2	—	20	20	—	20	20	—
Total less (home / away)	0 0%	2 100%	—	12 60%	10 50%	—	6 30%	11 55%	—
Total more (home / away)	1 100%	0 0%	—	8 40%	10 50%	—	14 70%	9 45%	—
Individual total (home / away)	3,00	1,00	4,00	1,20	2,35	3,55	6,40	5,05	11,45
Individual total (overall)	3,00	1,00	4,00	1,50	1,80	3,30	6,20	5,40	11,60
Avg total	4,00	1,33	2,67	3,90	4,10	4,00	9,40	9,30	9,35
Avg total (home / away)	3,00	1,50	2,25	3,60	4,65	4,13	10,05	8,75	9,40
Avg opponents' total	0,50	0,33	0,83	2,37	2,30	4,67	3,26	3,90	7,16
Avg opponents' total (home / away)	0,00	0,50	0,50	2,40	2,30	4,70	3,65	3,70	7,35
Predicted total	—	—	2,46	—	—	3,71	—	—	10,50

Referee

Manfredas Lukjancukas

Last 2 months: 3 games · 12 YC total · 4 YC/game

17.06	Romania U21 — Slovakia U21	4-3	7
11.06	Portugal U21 — France U21	2-2	4
03.05	Dziugas — Dainava Alytus	1-0	1

Last 10 matches

Germany U2110 matches

Both teams to score30%

Clean sheets7 / 10

Scored10 / 10

won 4 straightscored 11 straight

Italy U2110 matches

Both teams to score50%

Clean sheets5 / 10

Scored10 / 10

unbeaten 4scored 16 straight

Head-to-head

Date	League	Home	Away			%		On		Off		DA
19.11.22	International U20	Italy U21	Germany U21	2	4	52%	48%	7	5	2	7	75	64	9	5	3	1	2
19.11.18	Friendlies	Italy U21	Germany U21	1	2	47%	53%	3	8	4	5	59	46	3	7	0	0	0
24.06.17	U21 Championships	Italy U21	Germany U21	1	0	44%	56%	5	3	3	6	41	36	3	5	0	0	0
27.03.15	U21	Germany U21	Italy U21	2	2	—	—	5	4	11	5	28	29	9	5	0	0	0

Against similar-strength opponents

Matches with the same favourite/underdog setup by the bookmaker line.

Germany U21 (as favourite) odds 1.45–2.05

Record 3-1-0 (W-D-L), 2.3 scored / 0.8 conceded avg.

Date	League	Home	Away			xG		%		On		Off		DA
21.03.25	International U20	Slovakia U21	Germany U21	0	1	—	—	47%	53%	0	2	3	5	39	55	1	10	1	2
15.11.24	International U20	Germany U21	Denmark U21	3	0	—	—	42%	58%	4	5	5	3	41	71	4	7	0	0
15.10.24	U21 Championships	Poland U21	Germany U21	3	3	1.72	0.95	31%	69%	5	6	6	6	47	45	5	4	2	2
08.09.23	International U20	Germany U21	Ukraine U21	2	0	—	—	47%	53%	6	1	5	6	55	51	4	5	3	2

Italy U21 (vs a strong favourite) odds 1.01–2.30

Record 0-1-0 (W-D-L), 1.0 scored / 1.0 conceded avg.

Date	League	Home	Away			xG		%		On		Off		DA
17.06.25	Nations League	Spain U21	Italy U21	1	1	0.87	0.59	44%	56%	2	4	7	6	47	36	3	2	2	2

Last matches (2 months)

Germany U21 W——W

Date	League	Home	Away			xG		%		On		Off		DA
18.06.25	Nations League	England U21	Germany U21	1	2	1.62	0.65	66%	34%	5	2	15	3	83	20	7	2	1	0
15.06.25	U21 Championships	Czechia U21	Germany U21	—	4	—	2.91	—	61%	—	8	—	12	—	66	—	2	0	3
12.06.25	Nations League	Germany U21	Slovenia U21	3	0	2.30	0.98	39%	61%	8	2	7	8	44	30	5	3	1	4

Italy U21 DWW

Date	League	Home	Away			xG		%		On		Off		DA
17.06.25	Nations League	Spain U21	Italy U21	1	1	0.87	0.59	44%	56%	2	4	7	6	47	36	3	2	2	2
14.06.25	U21 Championships	Slovakia U21	Italy U21	0	1	1.12	0.87	54%	46%	2	2	11	8	67	29	4	3	2	3
11.06.25	Nations League	Italy U21	Romania U21	1	0	0.55	1.61	60%	40%	4	2	8	9	48	41	4	6	1	2

Bookmaker lines

1X211,85X3,7023,90

Total 2,75O1,98U1,83

AH -0,5011,9021,90

See full live table on ScanGoal →

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