El Nacional vs Emelec — preview, stats, live

Primera Division · 📍 Olimpico Atahualpa

май 26, 2025 at 02:00

El Nacional

2:0

Emelec

1.45

0.42

Primera Division: El Nacional vs Emelec on 26 May 2025 finished 2:0.

El Nacional are out of form: 0-3-5 in their last 8, 0.5 scored and 1.8 conceded per game.

Emelec are in good form: 4-3-3 in their last 10, 0.7 scored and 0.8 conceded per game.

Over 2.5 lands in 38% of El Nacional's games and 10% of Emelec's; both teams score in 50% and 20%.

Chance quality: xG 1.5 vs 0.4.

Head-to-head (5): El Nacional 3, Emelec 2, 0 draws.

Predicted: 1:0 (14%) · also likely 1:1 (13%)

Match statistics

1.45

0.42

Detailed statistics

	Goals Threshold: 2,3			Yellow cards Threshold: 4,5			Corners Threshold: 9,5
Metric			Total			Total			Total
Matches played	8	8	—	20	20	—	20	20	—
Total less	3 38%	7 88%	—	10 50%	8 40%	—	10 50%	11 55%	—
Total more	5 63%	1 13%	—	10 50%	12 60%	—	10 50%	9 45%	—
Matches home / away	4	4	—	20	20	—	20	20	—
Total less (home / away)	1 25%	3 75%	—	11 55%	8 40%	—	11 55%	12 60%	—
Total more (home / away)	3 75%	1 25%	—	9 45%	12 60%	—	9 45%	8 40%	—
Individual total (home / away)	1,50	1,00	2,50	2,50	2,40	4,90	5,15	3,45	8,60
Individual total (overall)	1,50	0,75	2,25	2,50	2,45	4,95	5,35	4,60	9,95
Avg total	3,00	1,75	2,38	4,35	4,80	4,58	9,45	9,25	9,35
Avg total (home / away)	3,25	2,00	2,63	4,25	4,60	4,43	9,40	9,05	9,23
Avg opponents' total	1,50	1,00	2,50	1,85	2,35	4,20	4,10	4,65	8,75
Avg opponents' total (home / away)	1,75	1,00	2,75	1,75	2,20	3,95	4,25	5,60	9,85
Predicted total	—	—	2,50	—	—	4,69	—	—	9,59

Referee

Yerson Zambrano

Last 2 months: 6 games · 21 YC total · 3.5 YC/game · 1 RC

17.05	Deportivo Cuenca — Tecnico Universitario	0-31	31
10.05	Macara — LDU Quito	2-2	4
05.05	Independiente Del Valle — Emelec	0-1	1
26.04	Vinotinto Ecuador — Deportivo Cuenca	1-1	2
20.04	Univers Catolica (CHL) — Orense	2-0	2
29.03	Aucas — Independiente Del Valle	3-6	9

Last 10 matches

El Nacional8 matches

Both teams to score50%

Clean sheets2 / 8

Scored4 / 8

unbeaten 4scored 4 straight

Emelec10 matches

Both teams to score20%

Clean sheets6 / 10

Scored6 / 10

Head-to-head

Date	League	Home	Away			xG		%		On		Off		DA
19.08.24	Primera Division	Emelec	El Nacional	0	1	0.84	0.13	77%	23%	5	1	10	3	63	22	6	1	3	4	0	0
18.03.24	Primera Division	El Nacional	Emelec	0	1	0.87	1.66	43%	57%	10	3	13	6	35	33	6	2	2	5	0	0
17.09.23	Primera Division	El Nacional	Emelec	1	1	0.83	0.55	44%	56%	4	2	10	6	32	26	3	1	4	4	0	1
13.12.20	Primera Division	Emelec	El Nacional	3	0	—	—	63%	40%	7	1	2	3	75	23	9	2	4	1	0	0
03.09.20	Primera Division	El Nacional	Emelec	2	1	—	—	44%	56%	2	4	4	6	45	55	1	7	2	5	0	0
12.08.19	Primera Division	El Nacional	Emelec	1	0	—	—	45%	55%	4	1	9	11	68	51	4	4	2	1	0	0
18.03.19	Primera Division	Emelec	El Nacional	2	1	—	—	60%	40%	6	4	12	5	79	39	12	3	2	1	0	0
07.10.18	Primera Division	El Nacional	Emelec	1	1	—	—	47%	53%	7	10	7	5	50	39	10	6	4	3	0	0
17.09.18	Primera Division	Emelec	El Nacional	3	1	—	—	50%	50%	7	5	4	5	49	58	3	3	1	3	1	0

Against common opponents (2 months)

El Nacional

Date	League	Home	Away			xG		%		On		Off		DA
19.04.25	Primera Division	Barcelona Guayaquil	El Nacional	1	0	0.56	0.71	63%	37%	6	5	8	5	42	24	4	6	0	0
15.04.25	Primera Division	El Nacional	Independiente Del Valle	1	3	1.29	1.15	—	—	4	4	9	5	48	29	8	2	2	1
05.04.25	Primera Division	Libertad FC	El Nacional	1	3	1.27	1.85	60%	40%	5	7	13	5	48	28	4	1	3	2

Emelec

Date	League	Home	Away			xG		%		On		Off		DA
19.05.25	Primera Division	Barcelona Guayaquil	Emelec	2	0	0.72	1.44	53%	47%	3	4	8	7	40	37	8	7	3	2	1
05.05.25	Primera Division	Independiente Del Valle	Emelec	1	2	—	—	50%	50%	2	2	0	0	1	0	6	1	0	1	0
12.04.25	Primera Division	Emelec	Libertad FC	1	1	0.43	0.60	52%	48%	2	4	6	9	39	32	7	6	1	5	0

Against similar-strength opponents

Matches with the same favourite/underdog setup by the bookmaker line.

El Nacional (as favourite) odds 1.80–2.30

Record 1-0-4 (W-D-L), 0.6 scored / 1.8 conceded avg.

Date	League	Home	Away			xG		%		On		Off		DA
31.03.25	Primera Division	El Nacional	Orense	0	1	0.40	1.09	62%	38%	2	2	5	5	51	14	5	3	4	1	1	1
26.01.25	Friendlies	El Nacional	Vinotinto Ecuador	1	0	—	—	54%	46%	4	0	7	8	35	28	3	5	3	1	0	1
10.11.24	Primera Division	El Nacional	Libertad FC	1	4	0.89	1.24	55%	45%	4	6	12	10	32	39	10	3	3	0	0	0
27.10.24	Primera Division	El Nacional	Orense	0	1	0.78	1.76	64%	36%	2	2	10	11	74	23	9	3	0	1	0	0
11.08.24	Primera Division	El Nacional	Macara	1	3	1.07	1.19	52%	48%	2	4	7	4	27	24	1	3	1	1	1	0

Emelec (vs a strong favourite) odds 1.01–2.50

Record 2-1-2 (W-D-L), 0.8 scored / 1.0 conceded avg.

Date	League	Home	Away			xG		%		On		Off		DA
19.05.25	Primera Division	Barcelona Guayaquil	Emelec	2	0	0.72	1.44	53%	47%	3	4	8	7	40	37	8	7	3	2	1
20.04.25	Primera Division	Deportivo Cuenca	Emelec	0	1	1.51	0.75	65%	35%	7	4	12	2	54	25	9	3	1	3	2
30.03.25	Primera Division	Mushuc Runa	Emelec	1	1	0.68	0.33	58%	42%	5	6	13	5	56	24	9	2	4	4	1
17.03.25	Primera Division	Emelec	LDU Quito	1	0	1.06	0.48	36%	64%	5	1	7	6	61	70	8	5	3	0	0
10.03.25	Primera Division	Vinotinto Ecuador	Emelec	2	1	1.36	0.39	42%	58%	8	2	4	6	34	54	4	5	1	1	0

Last matches (2 months)

El Nacional DWDWLLWL

Date	League	Home	Away			xG		%		On		Off		DA
18.05.25	Primera Division	Macara	El Nacional	1	1	1.00	0.93	52%	48%	2	5	14	7	48	36	8	5	1	4	0	0
13.05.25	Primera Division	El Nacional	Vinotinto Ecuador	2	1	0.74	1.38	48%	52%	4	3	9	12	33	44	3	5	1	1	1	0
03.05.25	Primera Division	LDU Quito	El Nacional	2	2	1.07	1.89	66%	34%	2	5	18	8	54	28	14	1	2	2	0	0
26.04.25	Primera Division	El Nacional	Delfin	3	2	0.54	2.47	54%	46%	5	5	6	7	24	33	5	6	3	2	0	0
19.04.25	Primera Division	Barcelona Guayaquil	El Nacional	1	0	0.56	0.71	63%	37%	6	5	8	5	42	24	4	6	0	0	0	0
15.04.25	Primera Division	El Nacional	Independiente Del Valle	1	3	1.29	1.15	—	—	4	4	9	5	48	29	8	2	2	1	0	0
05.04.25	Primera Division	Libertad FC	El Nacional	1	3	1.27	1.85	60%	40%	5	7	13	5	48	28	4	1	3	2	0	0
31.03.25	Primera Division	El Nacional	Orense	0	1	0.40	1.09	62%	38%	2	2	5	5	51	14	5	3	4	1	1	1

Emelec LLW—LWDDD

Date	League	Home	Away			xG		%		On		Off		DA
19.05.25	Primera Division	Barcelona Guayaquil	Emelec	2	0	0.72	1.44	53%	47%	3	4	8	7	40	37	8	7	3	2	1
12.05.25	Primera Division	Emelec	Aucas	0	1	0.37	1.09	58%	42%	4	5	6	7	36	33	2	2	1	1	0
05.05.25	Primera Division	Independiente Del Valle	Emelec	1	2	—	—	50%	50%	2	2	0	0	1	0	6	1	0	1	0
28.04.25	Primera Division	Emelec	Tecnico Universitario	0	1	0.36	0.46	65%	35%	1	2	9	5	57	19	6	2	1	6	0
20.04.25	Primera Division	Deportivo Cuenca	Emelec	0	1	1.51	0.75	65%	35%	7	4	12	2	54	25	9	3	1	3	2
12.04.25	Primera Division	Emelec	Libertad FC	1	1	0.43	0.60	52%	48%	2	4	6	9	39	32	7	6	1	5	0
07.04.25	Primera Division	Emelec	Manta	1	1	0.59	0.50	61%	39%	5	1	8	7	54	12	3	4	2	3	0
30.03.25	Primera Division	Mushuc Runa	Emelec	1	1	0.68	0.33	58%	42%	5	6	13	5	56	24	9	2	4	4	1

Bookmaker lines

1X212,05X3,2023,60

Total 2,25O1,98U1,83

AH -0,2511,7722,03

See full live table on ScanGoal →

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