Dortmund vs Bayern Munchen — preview, stats, live

Bundesliga

фев 28, 2026 at 20:30

Dortmund

2:3

Bayern Munchen

1.03

2.04

Bundesliga: Dortmund vs Bayern Munchen on 28 Feb 2026 finished 2:3.

Dortmund are in excellent form: 7-0-3 in their last 10, 1.9 scored and 0.9 conceded per game.

Bayern Munchen are in excellent form: 7-2-1 in their last 10, 3.1 scored and 1.8 conceded per game. They are winning 4 straight and scoring in 39 straight.

Over 2.5 lands in 50% of Dortmund's games and 70% of Bayern Munchen's; both teams score in 40% and 70%.

Chance quality: xG 1.0 vs 2.0.

Head-to-head (5): Dortmund 1, Bayern Munchen 2, 2 draws.

Predicted: 1:2 (8%) · also likely 1:3 (7%)

Match statistics

33%

70%

Possession

1.03

2.04

Shots on target

Shots off target

Corners

Dangerous attacks

Yellow cards

By half (1H / 2H)

	1H		2H		FT
Metric	H	A	H	A	H	A
Shots on	1	3	1	3	2	6
Corners	3	1	2	1	5	2
Dangerous	16	33	30	21	46	54
Fouls	—	—	—	—	—	—
Yellow	1	0	0	0	1	0

Detailed statistics

	Goals Threshold: 3,5			Yellow cards Threshold: 4,5			Corners Threshold: 9,5
Metric			Total			Total			Total
Matches played	12	12	—	20	20	—	20	20	—
Total less	6 50%	5 42%	—	13 65%	14 70%	—	13 65%	10 50%	—
Total more	6 50%	7 58%	—	7 35%	6 30%	—	7 35%	10 50%	—
Matches home / away	6	6	—	20	20	—	20	20	—
Total less (home / away)	3 50%	2 33%	—	17 85%	14 70%	—	11 55%	12 60%	—
Total more (home / away)	3 50%	4 67%	—	3 15%	6 30%	—	9 45%	8 40%	—
Individual total (home / away)	2,50	3,33	5,83	1,40	1,75	3,15	6,05	4,95	11,00
Individual total (overall)	2,17	3,42	5,58	1,95	1,55	3,50	4,65	5,80	10,45
Avg total	3,67	4,33	4,00	3,50	3,35	3,43	8,70	8,85	8,78
Avg total (home / away)	3,50	4,17	3,83	2,75	3,30	3,03	9,25	8,35	8,80
Avg opponents' total	1,50	0,92	2,42	1,55	1,80	3,35	4,05	3,05	7,10
Avg opponents' total (home / away)	1,00	0,83	1,83	1,35	1,55	2,90	3,20	3,40	6,60
Predicted total	—	—	3,92	—	—	3,26	—	—	9,63

Referee

Sven Jablonski

Last 2 months: 6 games · 17 YC total · 2.83 YC/game · 1 RC

Pinnacle cards line: 3.5 — referee avg below

19.02	Lille — Crvena Zvezda	1-3	4
14.02	Bayer 04 Leverkusen — St Pauli	0-1	1
07.02	Al Qadisiya Al Khubar — AL Fateh SC	0-2	2
24.01	Eintracht Frankfurt — Hoffenheim	0-4	4
20.01	Bodo-Glimt — Manchester City	0-21	21
13.01	Mainz — Heidenheim	2-2	4

Last 10 matches

Dortmund10 matches

Both teams to score40%

Clean sheets4 / 10

Scored8 / 10

scored 6 straight

Bayern Munchen10 matches

Both teams to score70%

Clean sheets3 / 10

Scored10 / 10

won 4 straightscored 39 straight

Line trends

Statistical team streaks on goals, corners and cards over recent matches — where the signal holds steadiest. How to read the codes →

Dortmund

↑Goals (match) over 0.5100%

↓Cards (match) under 5.5100%

↓Goals (match) under 5.5100%

↑Goals (match) over 1.590%

Combined

↑Goals (match) over 0.5100%

↑Goals (match) over 1.595%

Bayern Munchen

↑Goals (match) over 0.5100%

↑Goals (match) over 1.5100%

↑Goals (match) over 2.5100%

↑Goals (team) over 0.5100%

↑Goals (team) over 1.5100%

↑Corners (team) over 3.5100%

OverUnder

Goals

BK line3.5

100%

0.5

19 of 19

95%

1.5

18 of 19

74%

26%

2.5

14 of 19

58%

42%

3.5

11 of 19

32%

68%

4.5

13 of 19

Corners

BK line9.5

58%

42%

7.5

11 of 19

53%

47%

8.5

10 of 19

47%

53%

9.5

10 of 19

37%

63%

10.5

12 of 19

21%

79%

11.5

15 of 19

Head-to-head

Date	League	Home	Away			xG		%		On		Off		DA
18.10.25	Bundesliga	Bayern Munchen	Dortmund	2	1	2.13	1.52	61%	39%	7	1	8	7	40	32	4	3	1	3	0
12.04.25	Bundesliga	Bayern Munchen	Dortmund	2	2	1.97	1.48	62%	38%	11	3	17	8	65	26	6	5	0	0	0
30.11.24	Bundesliga	Dortmund	Bayern Munchen	1	1	0.42	1.44	32%	68%	2	5	5	9	23	67	2	3	2	2	0
30.03.24	Bundesliga	Bayern Munchen	Dortmund	0	2	1.48	0.85	61%	39%	2	5	15	6	84	41	7	4	0	0	0
04.11.23	Bundesliga	Dortmund	Bayern Munchen	0	4	1.06	3.16	50%	50%	1	8	14	6	52	27	3	2	3	2	0
01.04.23	Bundesliga	Bayern Munchen	Dortmund	4	2	—	—	49%	51%	9	4	7	6	46	67	6	2	1	1	0
08.10.22	Bundesliga	Dortmund	Bayern Munchen	2	2	—	—	44%	56%	5	3	8	6	37	47	7	4	3	5	1
23.04.22	Bundesliga	Bayern Munchen	Dortmund	3	1	—	—	58%	42%	7	3	9	4	51	21	3	1	0	1	0
04.12.21	Bundesliga	Dortmund	Bayern Munchen	2	3	—	—	47%	53%	5	5	8	6	46	52	4	6	2	2	0
17.08.21	Super Cup	Dortmund	Bayern Munchen	1	3	—	—	50%	50%	8	5	2	8	94	101	5	6	2	3	0

Against common opponents (2 months)

Dortmund

Date	League	Home	Away			xG		%		On		Off		DA
21.02.26	Bundesliga	Leipzig	Dortmund	2	2	1.78	1.31	55%	45%	3	5	10	6	43	50	6	2	3	4
07.02.26	Bundesliga	Wolfsburg	Dortmund	1	2	1.44	1.26	35%	65%	2	4	10	17	27	45	4	8	1	1
13.01.26	Bundesliga	Dortmund	Werder Bremen	3	0	2.02	0.32	46%	54%	8	3	10	2	38	23	3	3	2	0
09.01.26	Bundesliga	Eintracht Frankfurt	Dortmund	3	3	1.82	2.17	40%	60%	6	6	6	10	24	50	2	5	3	3

Bayern Munchen

Date	League	Home	Away			xG		%		On		Off		DA
21.02.26	Bundesliga	Bayern Munchen	Eintracht Frankfurt	3	2	2.78	2.34	51%	49%	11	3	13	6	64	25	8	2	0	2
14.02.26	Bundesliga	Werder Bremen	Bayern Munchen	0	3	0.98	1.89	35%	65%	3	8	11	3	38	66	2	4	3	1
11.02.26	Germany DFB Pokal	Bayern Munchen	Leipzig	2	1	3.09	0.55	57%	53%	7	1	5	0	57	2	4	0	3	0
17.01.26	Bundesliga	Leipzig	Bayern Munchen	1	5	2.43	4.63	42%	58%	4	12	13	7	37	44	5	9	1	0
11.01.26	Bundesliga	Bayern Munchen	Wolfsburg	8	1	3.65	1.36	68%	32%	11	3	6	5	60	26	6	2	0	1

Against similar-strength opponents

Matches with the same favourite/underdog setup by the bookmaker line.

Dortmund (vs a strong favourite) odds 1.01–2.30

Record 0-2-3 (W-D-L), 1.8 scored / 3.2 conceded avg.

Date	League	Home	Away			xG		%		On		Off		DA
25.02.26	Champions League	Atalanta	Dortmund	4	1	2.48	0.93	44%	56%	8	4	6	3	42	29	5	1	1	3	1
21.02.26	Bundesliga	Leipzig	Dortmund	2	2	1.78	1.31	55%	45%	3	5	10	6	43	50	6	2	3	4	0
05.11.25	Champions League	Manchester City	Dortmund	4	1	1.93	0.94	50%	50%	11	4	7	8	51	40	4	4	2	1	0
18.10.25	Bundesliga	Bayern Munchen	Dortmund	2	1	2.13	1.52	61%	39%	7	1	8	7	40	32	4	3	1	3	0
16.09.25	Champions League	Juventus	Dortmund	4	4	1.94	1.67	52%	48%	7	5	12	5	50	33	4	2	0	1	0

Bayern Munchen (as favourite) odds 1.45–2.05

Record 4-0-0 (W-D-L), 3.8 scored / 0.8 conceded avg.

Date	League	Home	Away			xG		%		On		Off		DA
28.01.26	Champions League	PSV Eindhoven	Bayern Munchen	1	2	0.69	1.79	42%	58%	7	8	6	9	46	53	5	6	4	2	1
17.01.26	Bundesliga	Leipzig	Bayern Munchen	1	5	2.43	4.63	42%	58%	4	12	13	7	37	44	5	9	1	0	0
06.12.25	Bundesliga	Stuttgart	Bayern Munchen	0	5	0.88	3.51	41%	59%	1	11	12	9	26	59	3	4	2	4	1
17.09.25	Champions League	Bayern Munchen	Chelsea	3	1	2.07	0.51	56%	44%	5	3	11	6	49	39	6	2	3	1	0

Last matches (2 months)

Dortmund LDWWWWLWLW

Date	League	Home	Away			xG		%		On		Off		DA
25.02.26	Champions League	Atalanta	Dortmund	4	1	2.48	0.93	44%	56%	8	4	6	3	42	29	5	1	1	3	1
21.02.26	Bundesliga	Leipzig	Dortmund	2	2	1.78	1.31	55%	45%	3	5	10	6	43	50	6	2	3	4	0
17.02.26	Champions League	Dortmund	Atalanta	2	0	2.08	0.46	46%	54%	2	3	7	4	38	48	3	2	2	3	0
13.02.26	Bundesliga	Dortmund	Mainz	4	0	1.86	1.42	54%	46%	8	4	7	5	60	30	7	2	3	2	0
07.02.26	Bundesliga	Wolfsburg	Dortmund	1	2	1.44	1.26	35%	65%	2	4	10	17	27	45	4	8	1	1	0
01.02.26	Bundesliga	Dortmund	Heidenheim	3	2	3.32	2.25	65%	35%	5	3	14	9	34	18	12	3	2	2	0
28.01.26	Champions League	Dortmund	Inter Milan	0	2	0.93	0.93	45%	55%	1	5	8	7	52	49	5	3	1	2	0
24.01.26	Bundesliga	Union Berlin	Dortmund	0	3	1.23	1.89	56%	44%	3	5	7	10	58	47	7	2	0	1	0
20.01.26	Champions League	Tottenham	Dortmund	2	0	2.22	0.37	56%	44%	5	1	11	5	59	47	4	2	1	1	1
17.01.26	Bundesliga	Dortmund	St Pauli	3	2	2.33	0.50	63%	37%	6	5	2	2	50	35	1	5	2	1	0

Bayern Munchen WWWWDWLWWW

Date	League	Home	Away			xG		%		On		Off		DA
21.02.26	Bundesliga	Bayern Munchen	Eintracht Frankfurt	3	2	2.78	2.34	51%	49%	11	3	13	6	64	25	8	2	0	2	0	0
14.02.26	Bundesliga	Werder Bremen	Bayern Munchen	0	3	0.98	1.89	35%	65%	3	8	11	3	38	66	2	4	3	1	0	0
11.02.26	Germany DFB Pokal	Bayern Munchen	Leipzig	2	1	3.09	0.55	57%	53%	7	1	5	0	57	2	4	0	3	0	0	0
08.02.26	Bundesliga	Bayern Munchen	Hoffenheim	5	1	5.42	2.02	54%	46%	14	4	13	5	81	34	8	3	2	2	0	1
31.01.26	Bundesliga	Hamburg	Bayern Munchen	2	2	2.26	2.37	28%	72%	4	7	10	6	24	84	3	8	6	4	0	0
28.01.26	Champions League	PSV Eindhoven	Bayern Munchen	1	2	0.69	1.79	42%	58%	7	8	6	9	46	53	5	6	4	2	1	0
24.01.26	Bundesliga	Bayern Munchen	Augsburg	1	2	1.44	0.94	70%	30%	6	6	9	10	65	31	9	3	1	0	0	0
21.01.26	Champions League	Bayern Munchen	Union St Gilloise	2	0	3.14	0.87	74%	26%	4	1	10	4	99	20	4	1	2	1	1	0
17.01.26	Bundesliga	Leipzig	Bayern Munchen	1	5	2.43	4.63	42%	58%	4	12	13	7	37	44	5	9	1	0	0	0
14.01.26	Bundesliga	Cologne	Bayern Munchen	1	3	0.65	1.30	28%	72%	3	8	4	11	41	63	4	6	0	0	0	0

Bookmaker lines

1X214,20X4,5021,67

Total 3,50O1,88U1,98

AH +0,7512,0321,83

All Pinnacle markets

Goals

Goals total
Line	O	U
2.5	1.35	3.31
2.75	1.41	3.00
3	1.50	2.70
3.25	1.69	2.27
3.5	1.89	2.02
3.75	2.08	1.81
4	2.40	1.61
4.25	2.67	1.50
4.5	2.94	1.42

Team goals
Team	Line	O	U
Dortmund	1.5	2.34	1.64
Bayern Munchen	2.5	2.30	1.66

Corners

Corners total
Line	O	U
7.5	1.40	2.94
8	1.54	2.47
8.5	1.85	1.97
9	2.23	1.66
9.5	2.63	1.48
10	2.19	1.67
10.5	2.42	1.54

Team corners
Team	Line	O	U
Dortmund	3.5	1.67	2.14
Dortmund	4.5	1.67	2.18
Bayern Munchen	3.5	1.83	1.98
Bayern Munchen	5.5	2.01	1.77

Cards

Cards total
Line	O	U
3.5	1.70	2.18

See full live table on ScanGoal →

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