Cincinnati vs Toronto — preview, stats, live

Major League Soccer

мар 9, 2026 at 02:00

Cincinnati

0:1

Toronto

0.65

0.69

Major League Soccer: Cincinnati vs Toronto on 09 Mar 2026 finished 0:1.

Cincinnati are in mixed form: 3-5-2 in their last 10, 2.9 scored and 2.6 conceded per game.

Toronto are out of form: 1-4-5 in their last 10, 1.7 scored and 2.3 conceded per game.

Goals look likely: over 2.5 in 80% of Cincinnati's games and 80% of Toronto's.

Chance quality: xG 0.7 vs 0.7.

Head-to-head (5): Cincinnati 3, Toronto 1, 1 draw.

Predicted: 1:1 (11%) · also likely 1:0 (11%)

Match statistics

57%

49%

Possession

0.65

0.69

Shots on target

Shots off target

Corners

Dangerous attacks

Yellow cards

By half (1H / 2H)

	1H		2H		FT
Metric	H	A	H	A	H	A
Shots on	1	2	1	2	2	4
Corners	4	5	4	2	8	7
Dangerous	23	32	36	13	59	45
Fouls	—	—	—	—	—	—
Yellow	1	1	1	1	2	2

Detailed statistics

	Goals Threshold: 2,8			Yellow cards Threshold: 4,5			Corners Threshold: 9,0
Metric	CI		Total	CI		Total	CI		Total
Matches played	8	4	—	20	20	—	20	20	—
Total less	5 63%	2 50%	—	16 80%	8 40%	—	13 65%	7 35%	—
Total more	3 38%	2 50%	—	4 20%	12 60%	—	7 35%	12 60%	—
Matches home / away	4	2	—	20	20	—	20	20	—
Total less (home / away)	3 75%	0 0%	—	14 70%	11 55%	—	10 50%	10 50%	—
Total more (home / away)	1 25%	2 100%	—	6 30%	9 45%	—	8 40%	6 30%	—
Individual total (home / away)	3,25	1,00	4,25	1,90	2,05	3,95	4,90	4,15	9,05
Individual total (overall)	2,50	0,50	3,00	1,70	2,45	4,15	4,70	4,95	9,65
Avg total	3,25	2,50	2,88	3,70	4,45	4,08	9,30	9,70	9,50
Avg total (home / away)	3,50	4,00	3,75	3,95	4,30	4,13	9,35	8,65	9,00
Avg opponents' total	0,75	2,00	2,75	2,00	2,00	4,00	4,60	4,75	9,35
Avg opponents' total (home / away)	0,25	3,00	3,25	2,05	2,25	4,30	4,45	4,50	8,95
Predicted total	—	—	3,31	—	—	4,14	—	—	9,33

Referee

Alexis Da Silva

Last 2 months: 1 games · 1 YC total · 1 YC/game

Pinnacle cards line: 4 — referee avg below

22.02

San Jose Earthquakes — Kansas City

1-0

Last 10 matches

Cincinnati10 matches

Both teams to score90%

Clean sheets1 / 10

Scored10 / 10

Toronto10 matches

Both teams to score100%

Clean sheets0 / 10

Scored10 / 10

Head-to-head

Date	League	Home	Away			xG		%		On		Off		DA
15.05.25	Major League Soccer	Toronto	Cincinnati	0	1	0.22	1.12	49%	51%	0	1	0	0	—	—	2	3	1	3	0
09.03.25	Major League Soccer	Cincinnati	Toronto	2	0	1.52	0.27	56%	44%	8	1	6	6	52	27	5	4	2	1	0
26.05.24	Major League Soccer	Toronto	Cincinnati	3	4	1.50	1.35	50%	50%	1	3	7	8	45	30	4	3	4	3	0
25.02.24	Major League Soccer	Cincinnati	Toronto	0	0	0.89	0.43	50%	50%	5	4	9	6	47	50	8	3	2	3	0
01.10.23	Major League Soccer	Toronto	Cincinnati	2	3	2.02	2.60	45%	55%	5	10	5	11	33	77	2	8	2	0	0
22.06.23	Major League Soccer	Cincinnati	Toronto	3	0	2.43	0.69	36%	64%	4	5	8	6	33	46	6	1	3	2	0
05.05.22	Major League Soccer	Cincinnati	Toronto	2	0	—	—	60%	45%	7	2	11	7	41	27	2	5	3	0	1
30.04.22	Major League Soccer	Toronto	Cincinnati	1	2	—	—	66%	34%	3	2	8	4	76	33	8	5	1	1	0
30.09.21	Major League Soccer	Toronto	Cincinnati	3	2	—	—	54%	46%	5	5	11	5	50	32	4	2	3	5	0
12.09.21	Major League Soccer	Cincinnati	Toronto	2	0	—	—	53%	47%	5	4	5	9	50	45	3	3	4	1	0

Against similar-strength opponents

Matches with the same favourite/underdog setup by the bookmaker line.

Cincinnati (as favourite) odds 1.45–2.05

Record 2-0-3 (W-D-L), 1.4 scored / 1.2 conceded avg.

Date	League	Home	Away			xG		%		On		Off		DA
19.10.25	Major League Soccer	Cincinnati	Montreal	3	0	1.45	1.04	46%	54%	3	0	0	0	0	0	5	12	2	2	0
11.08.25	Major League Soccer	Cincinnati	Charlotte FC	0	1	1.45	0.47	50%	50%	7	3	8	5	58	48	5	2	4	2	1
08.08.25	Leagues Cup	Cincinnati	Chivas Guadalajara	1	2	0.60	1.75	57%	43%	4	6	9	4	63	42	6	2	1	2	0
06.07.25	Major League Soccer	Cincinnati	Chicago	2	1	0.93	0.67	47%	53%	3	3	7	8	38	66	1	10	2	2	0
01.06.25	Major League Soccer	Cincinnati	DC United	1	2	0.54	0.90	61%	39%	3	5	5	7	29	65	5	5	1	5	0

Toronto (vs a strong favourite) odds 1.01–2.30

Record 1-1-3 (W-D-L), 1.6 scored / 2.4 conceded avg.

Date	League	Home	Away			xG		%		On		Off		DA
01.03.26	Major League Soccer	Vancouver	Toronto	3	0	2.61	0.26	60%	40%	6	4	6	2	38	26	5	1	1	0
22.02.26	Major League Soccer	Dallas	Toronto	3	2	1.61	0.99	46%	54%	4	3	11	8	38	47	3	7	1	2
19.10.25	Major League Soccer	Toronto	Orlando City	4	2	1.62	2.42	39%	61%	4	3	0	0	0	0	2	8	4	2
09.10.25	Major League Soccer	Los Angeles	Toronto	2	0	2.91	0.61	45%	55%	2	0	0	0	0	0	3	6	1	1
05.10.25	Major League Soccer	Chicago	Toronto	2	2	0.63	1.21	50%	50%	2	2	0	0	0	0	8	9	2	2

Last matches (2 months)

Cincinnati LWWWLWDD

Date	League	Home	Away			xG		%		On		Off		DA
01.03.26	Major League Soccer	Minnesota United	Cincinnati	1	0	1.91	0.77	46%	54%	5	6	11	7	37	61	5	12	2	0	0
26.02.26	CONCACAF Champions Cup	Cincinnati	Universidad O&M	9	0	5.39	0.21	57%	43%	14	1	11	5	65	19	5	2	0	1	1
22.02.26	Major League Soccer	Cincinnati	Atlanta United	2	0	2.24	0.30	54%	46%	2	4	8	7	44	26	5	2	1	2	0
19.02.26	CONCACAF Champions Cup	Universidad O&M	Cincinnati	0	4	—	—	31%	69%	1	10	8	8	33	71	2	5	2	2	0
11.02.26	America Friendlies	Orlando City	Cincinnati	3	2	—	—	—	—	—	—	0	0	—	—	—	—	0	0	0
07.02.26	America Friendlies	Cincinnati	Detroit City	1	0	—	—	—	—	—	—	0	0	—	—	—	—	0	0	0
28.01.26	Friendlies	Houston Dynamo	Cincinnati	1	1	—	—	—	—	—	—	0	0	—	—	—	—	0	0	0
23.01.26	Friendlies	Cincinnati	New England	1	1	—	—	—	—	—	—	0	0	—	—	—	—	0	0	0

Toronto LLLL—

Date	League	Home	Away			xG		%		On		Off		DA
01.03.26	Major League Soccer	Vancouver	Toronto	3	0	2.61	0.26	60%	40%	6	4	6	2	38	26	5	1	1	0
22.02.26	Major League Soccer	Dallas	Toronto	3	2	1.61	0.99	46%	54%	4	3	11	8	38	47	3	7	1	2
11.02.26	America Friendlies	Toronto	Fredrikstad	0	1	—	—	—	—	2	4	5	8	43	55	7	3	4	1
11.02.26	Friendlies	Toronto	Fredrikstad	0	1	—	—	0%	0%	2	4	5	8	43	55	7	3	4	1

Bookmaker lines

1X211,75X3,8024,33

Total 2,75O1,95U1,85

AH -0,7512,0021,80

All Pinnacle markets

Goals

Goals total
Line	O	U
1.5	1.21	4.63
2.25	1.49	2.72
2.5	1.68	2.26
2.75	1.85	2.04
3	2.10	1.78
3.25	2.39	1.61
3.5	2.65	1.50
4.5	4.85	1.19

Team goals
Team	Line	O	U
Cincinnati	1.5	1.70	2.21
Toronto	0.5	1.44	2.88

Corners

Corners total
Line	O	U
8.5	1.54	2.39
9	1.69	2.13
9.5	1.93	1.88
10	2.17	1.67
10.5	2.40	1.53
13	1.32	3.32
13.5	1.59	2.37
14	1.83	2.00
14.5	2.17	1.69
15	2.80	1.43

Team corners
Team	Line	O	U
Cincinnati	5.5	1.93	1.85
Cincinnati	7	2.06	1.76
Toronto	3.5	1.79	1.99
Toronto	7	1.85	1.96

Cards

Cards total
Line	O	U
4	2.00	1.80

See full live table on ScanGoal →

Other matches that day

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