Chelsea vs Nottingham Forest — preview, stats, live

Premier League

май 4, 2026 at 17:00

Chelsea

1:3

Nottingham Forest

1.92

2.07

Premier League: Chelsea vs Nottingham Forest on 04 May 2026 finished 1:3.

Chelsea are out of form: 3-1-6 in their last 10, 1.3 scored and 1.5 conceded per game.

Nottingham Forest are in good form: 5-3-2 in their last 10, 1.9 scored and 1.2 conceded per game. They are winning 4 straight and scoring in 8 straight.

Over 2.5 lands in 60% of Chelsea's games and 50% of Nottingham Forest's; both teams score in 40% and 60%.

Chance quality: xG 1.9 vs 2.1.

Head-to-head (5): Chelsea 3, Nottingham Forest 1, 1 draw.

Predicted: 2:0 (12%) · also likely 1:0 (11%)

Lineups

Chelsea

1Sanchez GKSpain

27GustoFrance

23ChalobahEngland

4AdarabioyoFulham

3CucurellaSpain

45LaviaChelsea U21

25CaicedoEcuador

10PalmerEngland

8Fernandez CArgentina

55DerryEngland U19

20Joao PedroBrazil

Bench (9)

12Jorgensen GKDenmark U21

24JamesEngland

29FofanaFrance

6ColwillChelsea U21

17Andrey SantosBrazil

9DelapEngland U21

14EssugoPortugal U21

21HatoNetherlands …

34AcheampongEngland U21

Nottingham

26Sels GKBelgium

44AbbottNottingham U21

23CunhaNottingham U21

4MoratoBenfica

25NetzB. Monchengl…

24McAteeEngland U21

16DominguezBologna

22Yates CNottingham U23

29BakwaStrasbourg

19Igor JesusBrazil

9AwoniyiNigeria

Bench (9)

27Ortega GKManchester C…

11WoodNew Zealand

31MilenkovicSerbia

10Gibbs-WhiteEngland

3WilliamsWales

17da Silva MoreiraNottingham U21

20LuccaItaly

8AndersonEngland

21HutchinsonEngland U21

Match statistics

68%

35%

Possession

1.92

2.07

Shots on target

Shots off target

Blocked shots

Corners

Dangerous attacks

Yellow cards

Goalkeeper saves

By half (1H / 2H)

	1H		2H		FT
Metric	H	A	H	A	H	A
Shots on	3	3	2	1	5	4
Corners	4	1	5	0	9	1
Dangerous	40	8	44	8	84	16
Fouls	—	—	—	—	—	—
Yellow	1	1	2	0	3	1

Detailed statistics

	Goals Threshold: 3			Yellow cards Threshold: 4,5			Corners Threshold: 10
Metric			Total			Total			Total
Matches played	11	11	—	20	20	—	20	20	—
Total less	3 27%	6 55%	—	12 60%	17 85%	—	8 40%	10 50%	—
Total more	4 36%	3 27%	—	8 40%	3 15%	—	10 50%	7 35%	—
Matches home / away	6	5	—	20	20	—	20	20	—
Total less (home / away)	3 50%	1 20%	—	11 55%	15 75%	—	5 25%	9 45%	—
Total more (home / away)	1 17%	2 40%	—	9 45%	5 25%	—	12 60%	10 50%	—
Individual total (home / away)	1,33	2,60	3,93	2,00	1,75	3,75	7,35	5,25	12,60
Individual total (overall)	1,45	1,82	3,27	1,95	1,30	3,25	6,10	5,95	12,05
Avg total	3,45	2,45	2,95	3,70	3,00	3,35	10,10	10,35	10,23
Avg total (home / away)	2,67	3,40	3,03	4,15	3,90	4,03	11,05	10,30	10,68
Avg opponents' total	2,00	0,64	2,64	1,75	1,70	3,45	4,00	4,40	8,40
Avg opponents' total (home / away)	1,33	0,80	2,13	2,15	2,15	4,30	3,70	5,05	8,75
Predicted total	—	—	2,99	—	—	3,64	—	—	11,36

Referee

Anthony Taylor

Last 2 months: 10 games · 49 YC total · 4.9 YC/game · 1 RC

Pinnacle cards line: 4 — referee avg above

30.04	Braga — Freiburg	2-3	5
25.04	Wolverhampton — Tottenham	3-4	7
19.04	Manchester City — Arsenal	2-2	4
16.04	Celta Vigo — Freiburg	4-2	6
11.04	Liverpool — Fulham	0-0	0
26.03	Poland — Albania	2-3	5

Last 10 matches

Chelsea10 matches

Both teams to score40%

Clean sheets2 / 10

Scored6 / 10

Nottingham Forest10 matches

Both teams to score60%

Clean sheets3 / 10

Scored9 / 10

won 4 straightscored 8 straight

Line trends

Statistical team streaks on goals, corners and cards over recent matches — where the signal holds steadiest. How to read the codes →

Chelsea

↑Goals (match) over 0.5100%

↑Corners (team) over 3.5100%

↑Corners (match) over 7.590%

↓Cards (match) under 5.590%

↓Goals (match) under 4.588%

•Corners win88%

Combined

↑Goals (match) over 0.5100%

↑Corners (match) over 7.590%

↓Goals (match) under 4.588%

Nottingham Forest

↑Goals (match) over 0.5100%

↑Goals (match) over 1.5100%

↑Goals (team) over 0.5100%

↓Goals (match) under 5.5100%

↑Corners (match) over 7.590%

↓Cards (team) under 2.590%

↓Goals (match) under 4.588%

OverUnder

Goals

BK line3

100%

0.5

16 of 16

81%

19%

1.5

13 of 16

69%

31%

2.5

11 of 16

31%

69%

3.5

11 of 16

88%

4.5

14 of 16

Corners

BK line10

81%

19%

7.5

13 of 16

69%

31%

8.5

11 of 16

56%

44%

9.5

9 of 16

44%

56%

10.5

9 of 16

44%

56%

11.5

9 of 16

Head-to-head

Date	League	Home	Away			xG		%		On		Off		DA
18.10.25	Premier League	Nottingham Forest	Chelsea	0	3	2.12	1.65	49%	51%	2	6	9	11	55	40	5	2	2	3	1
25.05.25	Premier League	Nottingham Forest	Chelsea	0	1	1.60	1.07	52%	48%	2	2	8	4	56	34	7	4	2	2	0
06.10.24	Premier League	Chelsea	Nottingham Forest	1	1	2.09	0.71	67%	33%	7	9	14	7	81	26	11	3	6	3	1
11.05.24	Premier League	Nottingham Forest	Chelsea	2	3	1.60	1.81	32%	68%	4	5	16	7	47	48	5	6	2	3	0
02.09.23	Premier League	Chelsea	Nottingham Forest	0	1	2.07	0.70	76%	24%	2	3	19	4	97	19	7	0	3	4	0
01.01.23	Premier League	Nottingham Forest	Chelsea	1	1	—	—	28%	80%	5	2	7	4	41	23	1	2	2	0	0
05.01.20	FA Cup	Chelsea	Nottingham Forest	2	0	—	—	—	—	4	2	11	1	95	47	7	1	1	1	0
05.01.19	FA Cup	Chelsea	Nottingham Forest	2	0	—	—	61%	31%	8	0	13	2	109	22	10	3	1	0	0
20.09.17	EFL Cup	Chelsea	Nottingham Forest	5	1	—	—	54%	46%	5	3	5	7	52	34	8	3	0	1	0

Against common opponents (2 months)

Chelsea

Date	League	Home	Away			xG		%		On		Off		DA
12.04.26	Premier League	Chelsea	Manchester City	0	3	1.14	1.89	36%	64%	3	8	4	4	35	83	4	12	2	1
04.03.26	Premier League	Aston Villa	Chelsea	1	4	0.87	3.92	42%	58%	4	8	5	7	36	37	3	8	3	2

Nottingham Forest

Date	League	Home	Away			xG		%		On		Off		DA
30.04.26	Europa League	Nottingham Forest	Aston Villa	1	0	1.45	0.76	50%	50%	5	3	3	3	48	53	5	7	0	1
12.04.26	Premier League	Nottingham Forest	Aston Villa	1	1	1.19	0.98	41%	59%	4	5	11	7	48	43	7	3	2	2
04.03.26	Premier League	Manchester City	Nottingham Forest	2	2	1.83	0.97	70%	30%	5	4	13	5	96	17	6	1	0	4

Against similar-strength opponents

Matches with the same favourite/underdog setup by the bookmaker line.

Chelsea (as favourite) odds 1.12–1.55

Record 3-2-0 (W-D-L), 2.4 scored / 1.2 conceded avg.

Date	League	Home	Away			xG		%		On		Off		DA
07.03.26	FA Cup	Wrexham	Chelsea	3	4	1.93	1.61	30%	68%	4	7	14	14	45	84	9	4	1	3	1
21.02.26	Premier League	Chelsea	Burnley	1	1	1.81	0.58	67%	33%	2	4	9	6	59	28	9	5	3	2	1
13.02.26	FA Cup	Hull	Chelsea	0	4	0.82	1.67	23%	77%	3	8	6	5	44	46	7	4	2	2	0
10.02.26	Premier League	Chelsea	Leeds	2	2	3.65	1.34	65%	35%	4	2	15	2	54	31	4	1	3	3	0
21.01.26	Champions League	Chelsea	Pafos FC	1	0	1.68	0.14	71%	29%	7	2	14	2	110	14	15	2	2	3	0

Nottingham Forest (vs a strong favourite) odds 1.01–2.30

Record 0-2-3 (W-D-L), 1.0 scored / 1.8 conceded avg.

Date	League	Home	Away			xG		%		On		Off		DA
09.04.26	Europa League	Porto	Nottingham Forest	1	1	2.16	0.45	52%	48%	8	2	5	1	46	37	5	2	1	0
04.03.26	Premier League	Manchester City	Nottingham Forest	2	2	1.83	0.97	70%	30%	5	4	13	5	96	17	6	1	0	4
01.03.26	Premier League	Brighton	Nottingham Forest	2	1	1.31	0.89	54%	46%	7	4	7	8	38	40	4	4	3	1
22.02.26	Premier League	Nottingham Forest	Liverpool	0	1	1.25	1.76	47%	53%	2	3	16	6	65	46	7	2	2	0
06.02.26	Premier League	Leeds	Nottingham Forest	3	1	2.50	1.25	56%	44%	5	6	9	11	42	57	5	10	1	1

Last matches (2 months)

Chelsea WLLLWLLLLW

Date	League	Home	Away			xG		BC		%		On		Off		DA
26.04.26	FA Cup	Chelsea	Leeds	1	0	0.33	0.89			55%	45%	2	3	2	5	29	25	6	4	3	4	0
21.04.26	Premier League	Brighton	Chelsea	3	0	2.17	0.37			54%	46%	9	0	4	2	54	29	6	5	1	1	0
18.04.26	Premier League	Chelsea	Manchester United	0	1	1.55	0.29			60%	40%	3	1	5	1	67	28	7	1	1	2	0
12.04.26	Premier League	Chelsea	Manchester City	0	3	1.14	1.89			36%	64%	3	8	4	4	35	83	4	12	2	1	0
04.04.26	FA Cup	Chelsea	Port Vale	7	0	4.92	0.12			69%	31%	11	0	5	3	53	15	8	2	0	1	0
21.03.26	Premier League	Everton	Chelsea	3	0	1.04	1.11			36%	64%	9	4	0	4	23	64	3	9	0	2	0
17.03.26	Champions League	Chelsea	Paris Saint Germain	0	3	0.99	1.08			46%	54%	9	5	9	3	60	25	9	3	0	0	0
14.03.26	Premier League	Chelsea	Newcastle United	0	1	1.37	1.42	2	1	67%	33%	3	5	9	1	—	—	8	1	2	2	0
11.03.26	Champions League	Paris Saint Germain	Chelsea	5	2	0.87	1.52			58%	42%	8	4	1	5	57	27	2	3	1	0	0
07.03.26	FA Cup	Wrexham	Chelsea	3	4	1.93	1.61			30%	68%	4	7	14	14	45	84	9	4	1	3	1

Nottingham Forest WWWWDDWWDL

Date	League	Home	Away			xG		BC		%		On		Off		DA
30.04.26	Europa League	Nottingham Forest	Aston Villa	1	0	1.45	0.76			50%	50%	5	3	3	3	48	53	5	7	0	1	0
24.04.26	Premier League	Sunderland	Nottingham Forest	1	5	0.67	1.29			61%	38%	3	6	4	2	53	26	1	6	1	5	0
19.04.26	Premier League	Nottingham Forest	Burnley	4	1	1.17	0.35			52%	48%	3	3	6	1	40	30	4	4	0	2	0
16.04.26	Europa League	Nottingham Forest	Porto	1	0	1.82	1.06			61%	39%	5	1	9	6	70	32	8	1	1	3	1
12.04.26	Premier League	Nottingham Forest	Aston Villa	1	1	1.19	0.98			41%	59%	4	5	11	7	48	43	7	3	2	2	0
09.04.26	Europa League	Porto	Nottingham Forest	1	1	2.16	0.45			52%	48%	8	2	5	1	46	37	5	2	1	0	0
22.03.26	Premier League	Tottenham	Nottingham Forest	0	3	1.13	1.47			58%	42%	3	7	5	0	64	32	13	3	1	2	0
19.03.26	Europa League	Midtjylland	Nottingham Forest	1	2	0.66	2.03			52%	48%	3	8	9	12	44	58	4	11	4	2	0
15.03.26	Premier League	Nottingham Forest	Fulham	0	0	0.62	0.67	2	1	47%	53%	2	1	4	3	—	—	4	4	2	3	0
12.03.26	Europa League	Nottingham Forest	Midtjylland	0	1	1.76	0.68			57%	43%	6	2	16	4	76	36	7	2	1	0	0

Bookmaker lines

1X211,43X4,9527,75

Total 3,00O2,01U1,89

AH -1,2511,9122,01

All Pinnacle markets

Goals

Goals total
Line	O	U
2	1.26	3.91
2.25	1.43	2.85
2.5	1.61	2.38
2.75	1.76	2.14
3	2.01	1.89
3.25	2.27	1.68
3.5	2.52	1.55
3.75	2.95	1.40
4	3.81	1.27

Team goals
Team	Line	O	U
Chelsea	2.5	2.41	1.58
Nottingham Forest	0.5	1.63	2.30

Corners

Corners total
Line	O	U
9.5	1.57	2.37
10	1.72	2.12
10.5	1.96	1.88
11	2.21	1.67
11.5	2.45	1.54

Team corners
Team	Line	O	U
Chelsea	6.5	1.88	1.90
Nottingham Forest	3.5	1.85	1.93

Cards

Cards total
Line	O	U
3	1.29	3.54
3.5	1.53	2.48
4	1.79	2.04
4.5	2.18	1.67
5	2.87	1.41

Team cards
Team	Line	O	U
Chelsea	1.5	1.58	2.28
Nottingham Forest	2.5	2.33	1.56

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