Bosnia vs Italy — preview, stats, live

Nations League

мар 31, 2026 at 21:45

Bosnia

1:1

Italy

1.71

0.85

Nations League: Bosnia vs Italy on 31 Mar 2026 finished 1:1.

Bosnia are in mixed form: 3-6-1 in their last 10, 1.6 scored and 1.2 conceded per game. They are unbeaten in 5 and scoring in 12 straight.

Italy are in excellent form: 8-1-1 in their last 10, 2.4 scored and 1.0 conceded per game. They are scoring in 8 straight.

Over 2.5 lands in 40% of Bosnia's games and 50% of Italy's; both teams score in 90% and 40%.

Chance quality: xG 1.7 vs 0.9.

Head-to-head (5): Bosnia 0, Italy 3, 2 draws.

Predicted: 0:1 (19%) · also likely 0:2 (16%)

Lineups

Bosnia & Herzegovina

1Vasilj GKSt. Pauli

4MuharemovicSassuolo

5KolasinacAtalanta

7DedicBenfica

10DemirovicStuttgart

11Dzeko CFiorentina

13BasicFC Astana

14SunjicPafos

15MemicPlzen

18KaticSchalke

20BajraktarevicPSV

Bench (12)

12Hadzikic GKSlaven Belupo

22Zlomislic GKRijeka

2MujakicEyupspor

3CelikBosnia & Her…

6TahirovicBrondby

8GigovicYoung Boys

9BazdarZaragoza

16HadziahmetovicHull

17BurnicKarlsruher SC

19AlajbegovicSalzburg

21RadeljicRijeka

23TabakovicB. Monchengl…

Italy

1Donnarumma C GKManchester C…

3DimarcoInter

5LocatelliJuventus

7PolitanoNapoli

8TonaliNewcastle

9ReteguiAl Qadsiah

11KeanFiorentina

13CalafioriArsenal

18BarellaInter

21BastoniInter

23ManciniAS Roma

Bench (12)

12Carnesecchi GKAtalanta

22Meret GKNapoli

2PalestraItaly U21

4SpinazzolaNapoli

6BuongiornoNapoli

10RaspadoriAtl. Madrid

14PisilliItaly U21

15EspositoInter

16CristanteAS Roma

17FrattesiInter

19GattiJuventus

20CambiasoJuventus

Match events

41'

— — red

Match statistics

65%

55%

Possession

1.71

0.85

Shots on target

Shots off target

Blocked shots

Corners

100

Dangerous attacks

Yellow cards

Red cards

Goalkeeper saves

By half (1H / 2H)

	1H		2H		FT
Metric	H	A	H	A	H	A
Shots on	4	2	7	1	11	3
Corners	3	1	7	3	10	4
Dangerous	24	14	76	18	100	32
Fouls	—	—	—	—	—	—
Yellow	0	0	3	2	3	2

Detailed statistics

	Goals Threshold: 2,5			Yellow cards Threshold: 4,5			Corners Threshold: 9,5
Metric			Total			Total			Total
Matches played	1	1	—	20	20	—	20	20	—
Total less	1 100%	1 100%	—	14 70%	15 75%	—	14 70%	10 50%	—
Total more	0 0%	0 0%	—	6 30%	5 25%	—	6 30%	10 50%	—
Matches home / away	0	0	—	20	20	—	20	20	—
Total less (home / away)	0 0%	0 0%	—	12 60%	13 65%	—	13 65%	11 55%	—
Total more (home / away)	0 0%	0 0%	—	8 40%	7 35%	—	7 35%	9 45%	—
Individual total (home / away)	0,00	0,00	0,00	2,35	1,85	4,20	5,20	5,45	10,65
Individual total (overall)	1,00	2,00	3,00	2,50	1,60	4,10	3,20	5,95	9,15
Avg total	2,00	2,00	2,00	4,00	3,45	3,73	8,25	10,05	9,15
Avg total (home / away)	0,00	0,00	0,00	4,20	3,85	4,03	8,55	9,75	9,15
Avg opponents' total	1,00	0,00	1,00	1,50	1,85	3,35	5,05	4,10	9,15
Avg opponents' total (home / away)	0,00	0,00	0,00	1,85	2,00	3,85	3,35	4,30	7,65
Predicted total	—	—	1,00	—	—	4,06	—	—	9,15

Referee

Clement Turpin

Last 2 months: 5 games · 16 YC total · 3.2 YC/game · 2 RC

Pinnacle cards line: 4.5 — referee avg below

22.03	Paris F.C. — Le Havre	01-1	11
17.03	Manchester City — Real Madrid	11-2	31
27.02	Strasbourg — Lens	2-2	4
24.02	Atletico de Madrid — Club Brugge	1-2	3
08.02	Angers — Toulouse	3-2	5

Last 10 matches

Bosnia10 matches

Both teams to score90%

Clean sheets1 / 10

Scored9 / 10

unbeaten 5scored 12 straight

Italy10 matches

Both teams to score40%

Clean sheets6 / 10

Scored10 / 10

scored 8 straight

Head-to-head

Date	League	Home	Away			xG		%		On		Off		DA
09.06.24	International Match	Italy	Bosnia	1	0	1.62	0.79	64%	36%	6	3	12	5	65	17	10	3	0	1
18.11.20	Nations League	Bosnia	Italy	0	2	—	—	45%	59%	1	4	4	13	12	52	2	8	0	1
04.09.20	Nations League	Italy	Bosnia	1	1	—	—	62%	38%	5	4	15	5	58	20	7	2	3	1
15.11.19	Euro 2020 Qualifying	Bosnia	Italy	0	3	—	—	44%	56%	5	9	10	6	64	40	7	5	1	2
11.06.19	Euro 2020 Qualifying	Italy	Bosnia	2	1	—	—	61%	39%	8	3	9	11	56	24	5	4	1	4

Against similar-strength opponents

Matches with the same favourite/underdog setup by the bookmaker line.

Bosnia (vs a strong favourite) odds 1.01–2.30

Record 1-3-1 (W-D-L), 1.0 scored / 1.0 conceded avg.

Date	League	Home	Away			xG		%		On		Off		DA
26.03.26	Nations League	Wales	Bosnia	1	1	1.19	1.01	57%	43%	3	4	7	3	50	43	5	3	1	3	0
18.11.25	Nations League	Austria	Bosnia	1	1	1.28	0.85	70%	30%	3	1	7	7	87	22	4	2	1	1	0
09.09.25	Nations League	Bosnia	Austria	1	2	1.67	1.43	41%	59%	2	5	13	4	27	30	3	2	2	3	1
21.03.25	Europe - World Cup Qualifying	Romania	Bosnia	0	1	1.65	0.89	66%	34%	3	1	12	4	72	19	5	1	5	3	0
19.11.24	Nations League	Bosnia	Netherlands	1	1	0.53	1.27	36%	64%	5	3	3	10	19	53	3	5	1	0	0

Italy (as favourite) odds 1.12–1.55

Record 5-0-0 (W-D-L), 3.2 scored / 1.2 conceded avg.

Date	League	Home	Away			xG		%		On		Off		DA
26.03.26	Nations League	Italy	Northern Ireland	2	0	1.39	0.21	63%	37%	8	1	6	4	56	36	12	3	1	0
14.10.25	Nations League	Italy	Israel	3	0	2.24	0.73	52%	48%	6	2	10	6	46	32	4	3	2	1
08.09.25	Nations League	Israel	Italy	4	5	1.40	1.80	46%	54%	7	7	4	10	28	53	4	4	0	0
14.10.24	Nations League	Italy	Israel	4	1	2.38	0.71	68%	32%	8	2	9	4	72	8	11	2	1	0
09.09.24	Nations League	Israel	Italy	1	2	0.58	1.55	51%	49%	3	6	3	5	36	47	3	2	2	1

Last matches (2 months)

Bosnia D

Date	League	Home	Away			xG		%		On		Off		DA
26.03.26	Nations League	Wales	Bosnia	1	1	1.19	1.01	57%	43%	3	4	7	3	50	43	5	3	1	3

Italy W

Date	League	Home	Away			xG		%		On		Off		DA
26.03.26	Nations League	Italy	Northern Ireland	2	0	1.39	0.21	63%	37%	8	1	6	4	56	36	12	3	1	0

Bookmaker lines

1X217,50X4,3321,45

Total 2,50O1,90U1,90

AH +1,2511,8022,00

All Pinnacle markets

Goals

Goals total
Line	O	U
1.5	1.30	3.65
2	1.46	2.82
2.25	1.69	2.23
2.5	1.94	1.94
2.75	2.19	1.72
3	2.65	1.51
3.5	3.33	1.35
4.5	6.76	1.12

Team goals
Team	Line	O	U
Bosnia	0.5	1.85	1.97
Italy	1.5	1.65	2.26

Corners

Corners total
Line	O	U
9	1.53	2.48
9.5	1.71	2.14
10	1.90	1.92
10.5	2.12	1.72
11	2.45	1.54

Team corners
Team	Line	O	U
Bosnia	3.5	1.95	1.84
Italy	6.5	2.10	1.72

Cards

Cards total
Line	O	U
4.5	1.79	2.01

See full live table on ScanGoal →

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