Bahia vs Gremio — preview, stats, live

BRAZIL SERIE A

окт 20, 2025 at 02:30

Bahia

4:0

Gremio

2.36

0.76

BRAZIL SERIE A: Bahia vs Gremio on 20 Oct 2025 finished 4:0.

Bahia are out of form: 2-3-5 in their last 10, 1.4 scored and 1.9 conceded per game.

Gremio are in good form: 5-3-2 in their last 10, 1.7 scored and 1.0 conceded per game.

Over 2.5 lands in 80% of Bahia's games and 60% of Gremio's; both teams score in 90% and 50%.

Chance quality: xG 2.4 vs 0.8.

Head-to-head (5): Bahia 3, Gremio 1, 1 draw.

Predicted: 1:1 (12%) · also likely 0:1 (12%)

Match statistics

2.36

0.76

Detailed statistics

	Goals Threshold: 2,5			Yellow cards Threshold: 4,5			Corners Threshold: 9,5
Metric			Total			Total			Total
Matches played	15	9	—	20	20	—	20	20	—
Total less	8 53%	7 78%	—	12 60%	12 60%	—	10 50%	11 55%	—
Total more	7 47%	2 22%	—	8 40%	8 40%	—	10 50%	9 45%	—
Matches home / away	7	4	—	20	20	—	20	20	—
Total less (home / away)	5 71%	3 75%	—	13 65%	10 50%	—	12 60%	11 55%	—
Total more (home / away)	2 29%	1 25%	—	7 35%	10 50%	—	8 40%	9 45%	—
Individual total (home / away)	1,71	1,25	2,96	1,95	2,40	4,35	4,85	3,75	8,60
Individual total (overall)	1,40	1,22	2,62	2,10	2,10	4,20	5,25	4,05	9,30
Avg total	2,67	2,11	2,39	4,30	4,25	4,28	8,95	9,60	9,28
Avg total (home / away)	2,00	2,50	2,25	4,50	4,60	4,55	7,95	9,35	8,65
Avg opponents' total	1,27	0,89	2,16	2,20	2,15	4,35	3,70	5,55	9,25
Avg opponents' total (home / away)	0,29	1,25	1,54	2,55	2,32	4,87	3,10	5,89	8,99
Predicted total	—	—	2,32	—	—	4,38	—	—	8,98

Referee

Raphael Claus

Last 2 months: 5 games · 20 YC total · 4 YC/game

16.10	Palmeiras — Bragantino	2-4	6
02.10	Sport Recife — Fluminense RJ	3-1	4
28.09	Gremio — Vitoria BA	1-4	5
14.09	EC Juventude — Flamengo	1-2	3
29.08	Bahia — Fluminense RJ	1-1	2

Last 10 matches

Bahia10 matches

Both teams to score90%

Clean sheets0 / 10

Scored9 / 10

scored 7 straight

Gremio10 matches

Both teams to score50%

Clean sheets4 / 10

Scored8 / 10

Head-to-head

Date	League	Home	Away			xG		%		On		Off		DA
25.05.25	BRAZIL SERIE A	Gremio	Bahia	1	0	1.22	1.13	32%	68%	2	3	7	13	26	75	4	17	4	4
17.08.24	BRAZIL SERIE A	Gremio	Bahia	0	2	1.23	1.57	40%	60%	5	5	9	7	51	46	1	5	3	1
28.04.24	BRAZIL SERIE A	Bahia	Gremio	1	0	1.10	0.09	60%	40%	4	2	10	1	49	20	4	0	2	4
05.11.23	BRAZIL SERIE A	Gremio	Bahia	1	0	0.46	0.94	41%	59%	3	5	4	14	41	39	5	4	2	4
16.10.22	Serie B	Gremio	Bahia	1	1	—	—	50%	54%	5	1	13	1	63	18	5	1	1	0
03.07.22	Serie B	Bahia	Gremio	0	0	—	—	49%	51%	0	1	5	2	10	21	2	7	1	1
27.11.21	BRAZIL SERIE A	Bahia	Gremio	3	1	—	—	37%	63%	7	2	7	8	22	77	3	9	3	3

Against common opponents (2 months)

Bahia

Date	League	Home	Away			xG		%		On		Off		DA
17.10.25	BRAZIL SERIE A	Vitoria BA	Bahia	2	1	2.10	0.73	34%	66%	5	6	4	5	43	36	4	3	6	2	1	0
06.10.25	BRAZIL SERIE A	Bahia	Flamengo	1	0	0.50	0.44	52%	48%	4	3	7	5	60	28	3	1	3	4	0	2
02.10.25	BRAZIL SERIE A	Botafogo	Bahia	2	1	1.50	0.27	51%	49%	7	2	8	8	49	36	6	4	4	3	0	1
21.09.25	BRAZIL SERIE A	Ceara	Bahia	1	1	1.61	1.19	37%	63%	5	5	10	9	31	43	3	6	3	1	0	0
01.09.25	BRAZIL SERIE A	Mirassol	Bahia	5	1	—	—	39%	61%	9	6	5	7	43	55	4	2	0	0	0	0
24.08.25	BRAZIL SERIE A	Bahia	Santos	2	0	0.58	0.26	55%	45%	4	3	8	5	52	47	3	0	1	1	0	0
21.08.25	Copa Nordeste	Bahia	Ceara	1	0	—	—	50%	50%	4	2	2	5	55	37	5	2	5	3	0	0

Gremio

Date	League	Home	Away			xG		%		On		Off		DA
02.10.25	BRAZIL SERIE A	Santos	Gremio	1	1	2.45	0.67	64%	36%	7	1	16	3	68	13	10	0	3	3
28.09.25	BRAZIL SERIE A	Gremio	Vitoria BA	3	1	1.64	1.05	50%	50%	6	4	4	2	49	51	1	5	1	4
25.09.25	BRAZIL SERIE A	Gremio	Botafogo	1	1	1.80	1.17	46%	54%	4	4	13	8	49	45	7	1	1	2
13.09.25	BRAZIL SERIE A	Gremio	Mirassol	0	1	—	—	56%	44%	5	6	10	10	68	37	6	3	2	2
31.08.25	BRAZIL SERIE A	Flamengo	Gremio	1	1	—	—	68%	32%	6	1	15	5	55	19	13	0	1	2
24.08.25	BRAZIL SERIE A	Gremio	Ceara	0	0	1.57	1.83	61%	39%	5	4	8	12	64	21	4	1	2	2

Against similar-strength opponents

Matches with the same favourite/underdog setup by the bookmaker line.

Bahia (as favourite) odds 1.45–2.05

Record 3-1-0 (W-D-L), 2.5 scored / 1.0 conceded avg.

Date	League	Home	Away			xG		%		On		Off		DA
04.09.25	Copa Nordeste	Confianca	Bahia	1	4	—	—	41%	59%	4	9	6	8	49	58	6	4	1	1	0
24.08.25	BRAZIL SERIE A	Bahia	Santos	2	0	0.58	0.26	55%	45%	4	3	8	5	52	47	3	0	1	1	0
21.08.25	Copa Nordeste	Bahia	Ceara	1	0	—	—	50%	50%	4	2	2	5	55	37	5	2	5	3	0
10.08.25	BRAZIL SERIE A	Bahia	Fluminense RJ	3	3	1.44	0.58	60%	40%	6	5	11	3	68	17	8	2	2	2	1

Gremio (vs a strong favourite) odds 1.01–2.30

Record 2-2-1 (W-D-L), 1.6 scored / 1.2 conceded avg.

Date	League	Home	Away			xG		%		On		Off		DA
05.10.25	BRAZIL SERIE A	Bragantino	Gremio	1	0	3.05	0.24	66%	34%	7	1	21	4	90	20	6	2	1	3	0	1
02.10.25	BRAZIL SERIE A	Santos	Gremio	1	1	2.45	0.67	64%	36%	7	1	16	3	68	13	10	0	3	3	0	0
21.09.25	BRAZIL SERIE A	Internacional	Gremio	2	3	4.24	0.65	57%	43%	6	3	13	3	60	26	8	1	3	2	1	1
31.08.25	BRAZIL SERIE A	Flamengo	Gremio	1	1	—	—	68%	32%	6	1	15	5	55	19	13	0	1	2	0	0
17.08.25	BRAZIL SERIE A	Atletico Mineiro	Gremio	1	3	0.22	1.05	63%	37%	3	4	7	4	67	22	4	4	2	2	2	2

Last matches (2 months)

Bahia LWLWLDLL——

Date	League	Home	Away			xG		%		On		Off		DA
17.10.25	BRAZIL SERIE A	Vitoria BA	Bahia	2	1	2.10	0.73	34%	66%	5	6	4	5	43	36	4	3	6	2	1	0
06.10.25	BRAZIL SERIE A	Bahia	Flamengo	1	0	0.50	0.44	52%	48%	4	3	7	5	60	28	3	1	3	4	0	2
02.10.25	BRAZIL SERIE A	Botafogo	Bahia	2	1	1.50	0.27	51%	49%	7	2	8	8	49	36	6	4	4	3	0	1
28.09.25	BRAZIL SERIE A	Bahia	Palmeiras	1	0	0.54	0.57	53%	47%	5	4	7	7	41	62	1	4	5	2	0	0
25.09.25	BRAZIL SERIE A	Vasco da Gama (Bra)	Bahia	3	1	1.81	0.75	66%	34%	6	3	13	6	54	16	6	2	0	2	0	1
21.09.25	BRAZIL SERIE A	Ceara	Bahia	1	1	1.61	1.19	37%	63%	5	5	10	9	31	43	3	6	3	1	0	0
16.09.25	BRAZIL SERIE A	Bahia	Cruzeiro	1	2	0.53	0.77	62%	38%	5	3	8	7	78	32	6	5	0	3	0	0
11.09.25	Copa do Brasil	Fluminense RJ	Bahia	2	0	1.30	0.08	61%	39%	5	1	6	1	80	24	2	3	2	5	0	0

Gremio WLDWDWLDD

Date	League	Home	Away			xG		%		On		Off		DA
17.10.25	BRAZIL SERIE A	Gremio	Sao Paulo	2	0	2.68	0.66	36%	64%	7	1	11	12	31	53	5	3	1	3	0	0
05.10.25	BRAZIL SERIE A	Bragantino	Gremio	1	0	3.05	0.24	66%	34%	7	1	21	4	90	20	6	2	1	3	0	1
02.10.25	BRAZIL SERIE A	Santos	Gremio	1	1	2.45	0.67	64%	36%	7	1	16	3	68	13	10	0	3	3	0	0
28.09.25	BRAZIL SERIE A	Gremio	Vitoria BA	3	1	1.64	1.05	50%	50%	6	4	4	2	49	51	1	5	1	4	0	0
25.09.25	BRAZIL SERIE A	Gremio	Botafogo	1	1	1.80	1.17	46%	54%	4	4	13	8	49	45	7	1	1	2	0	0
21.09.25	BRAZIL SERIE A	Internacional	Gremio	2	3	4.24	0.65	57%	43%	6	3	13	3	60	26	8	1	3	2	1	1
13.09.25	BRAZIL SERIE A	Gremio	Mirassol	0	1	—	—	56%	44%	5	6	10	10	68	37	6	3	2	2	0	0
31.08.25	BRAZIL SERIE A	Flamengo	Gremio	1	1	—	—	68%	32%	6	1	15	5	55	19	13	0	1	2	0	0
24.08.25	BRAZIL SERIE A	Gremio	Ceara	0	0	1.57	1.83	61%	39%	5	4	8	12	64	21	4	1	2	2	0	0

Bookmaker lines

1X211,70X3,7525,12

Total 2,50O2,05U1,80

AH -0,7511,9221,93

See full live table on ScanGoal →

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