Arsenal vs Brighton — preview, stats, live

EFL Cup

окт 29, 2025 at 22:45

Arsenal

2:0

Brighton

1.21

1.60

EFL Cup: Arsenal vs Brighton on 29 Oct 2025 finished 2:0.

Arsenal are in excellent form: 6-3-1 in their last 10, 1.2 scored and 0.5 conceded per game. They are winning 7 straight and scoring in 10 straight.

Brighton are in good form: 5-1-4 in their last 10, 1.4 scored and 1.1 conceded per game. They are scoring in 9 straight.

Over 2.5 lands in 30% of Arsenal's games and 60% of Brighton's; both teams score in 40% and 30%.

Chance quality: xG 1.2 vs 1.6.

Head-to-head (5): Arsenal 3, Brighton 0, 2 draws.

Predicted: 2:1 (9%) · also likely 3:1 (8%)

Match statistics

1.21

1.60

Detailed statistics

	Goals Threshold: 3,0			Yellow cards Threshold: 4,5			Corners Threshold: 9,5
Metric	AR	BR	Total	AR	BR	Total	AR	BR	Total
Matches played	11	8	—	20	20	—	20	20	—
Total less	8 73%	1 13%	—	19 95%	14 70%	—	10 50%	11 55%	—
Total more	1 9%	4 50%	—	1 5%	6 30%	—	10 50%	9 45%	—
Matches home / away	6	5	—	20	20	—	20	20	—
Total less (home / away)	4 67%	1 20%	—	18 90%	12 60%	—	13 65%	7 35%	—
Total more (home / away)	1 17%	3 60%	—	2 10%	8 40%	—	7 35%	13 65%	—
Individual total (home / away)	2,17	2,60	4,77	1,20	2,50	3,70	6,65	5,70	12,35
Individual total (overall)	1,82	2,38	4,19	1,00	2,05	3,05	7,05	5,40	12,45
Avg total	2,09	3,88	2,98	2,20	3,90	3,05	10,30	8,95	9,63
Avg total (home / away)	2,33	4,20	3,27	2,75	4,35	3,55	9,90	10,10	10,00
Avg opponents' total	0,27	1,50	1,77	1,20	1,85	3,05	3,25	3,55	6,80
Avg opponents' total (home / away)	0,17	1,60	1,77	1,55	1,85	3,40	3,25	4,40	7,65
Predicted total	—	—	3,13	—	—	3,30	—	—	11,23

Referee

Samuel Barrott

Last 2 months: 4 games · 20 YC total · 5 YC/game · 1 RC

26.10	Bournemouth — Nottingham Forest	3-1	4
29.09	Everton — West Ham	3-4	7
21.09	Sunderland — Aston Villa	21-1	31
30.08	Manchester United — Burnley	1-5	6

Last 10 matches

Arsenal10 matches

Both teams to score40%

Clean sheets6 / 10

Scored9 / 10

won 7 straightscored 10 straightclean sheets 5

Brighton10 matches

Both teams to score30%

Clean sheets4 / 10

Scored7 / 10

scored 9 straight

Head-to-head

Date	League	Home	Away			xG		%		On		Off		DA
04.01.25	Premier League	Brighton	Arsenal	1	1	1.56	0.84	45%	55%	4	3	7	6	36	44	2	5	2	3	0
31.08.24	Premier League	Arsenal	Brighton	1	1	2.01	2.01	36%	64%	7	4	4	18	39	59	3	7	4	2	1
06.04.24	Premier League	Brighton	Arsenal	0	3	0.52	3.20	54%	46%	2	7	8	13	46	60	8	7	1	2	0
17.12.23	Premier League	Arsenal	Brighton	2	0	2.25	0.69	50%	50%	9	1	17	5	84	32	10	1	1	3	0
31.12.22	Premier League	Brighton	Arsenal	2	4	—	—	68%	32%	5	7	4	7	49	36	7	4	3	3	0
09.11.22	EFL Cup	Arsenal	Brighton	1	3	—	—	0%	—	1	4	7	9	33	24	2	2	2	2	0
09.04.22	Premier League	Arsenal	Brighton	1	2	—	—	64%	36%	6	3	16	5	61	21	11	2	3	4	0
02.10.21	Premier League	Brighton	Arsenal	0	0	—	—	60%	40%	0	1	8	3	28	21	5	0	0	0	0
23.05.21	Premier League	Arsenal	Brighton	2	0	—	—	54%	46%	6	1	11	4	68	37	11	3	0	0	0

Against common opponents (2 months)

Arsenal

Date	League	Home	Away			xG		%		On		Off		DA
28.09.25	Premier League	Newcastle United	Arsenal	1	2	0.44	2.00	36%	64%	3	7	5	13	34	65	7	12	2	1
21.09.25	Premier League	Arsenal	Manchester City	1	1	0.96	0.89	67%	33%	3	3	9	2	66	46	11	1	1	2

Brighton

Date	League	Home	Away			xG		%		On		Off		DA
18.10.25	Premier League	Brighton	Newcastle United	2	1	1.03	1.46	46%	54%	5	3	8	14	73	63	8	4	0	1
31.08.25	Premier League	Brighton	Manchester City	2	1	—	—	36%	64%	7	3	5	9	42	50	3	2	2	2

Against similar-strength opponents

Matches with the same favourite/underdog setup by the bookmaker line.

Arsenal (as favourite) odds 1.12–1.55

Record 5-0-0 (W-D-L), 2.6 scored / 0.0 conceded avg.

Date	League	Home	Away		xG		%		On		Off		DA
26.10.25	Premier League	Arsenal	Crystal Palace	1	1.08	0.47	60%	40%	3	1	7	6	51	41	4	3	0	0
04.10.25	Premier League	Arsenal	West Ham	2	2.72	0.49	68%	32%	5	0	16	4	72	24	8	3	0	2
01.10.25	Champions League	Arsenal	Olympiacos	2	2.72	0.51	61%	39%	5	3	11	7	51	49	3	5	3	1
13.09.25	Premier League	Arsenal	Nottingham Forest	3	—	—	54%	46%	5	1	11	4	73	36	8	3	1	1
23.08.25	Premier League	Arsenal	Leeds	5	2.81	0.16	68%	32%	5	1	13	2	58	6	2	2	0	2

Brighton (vs a strong favourite) odds 1.01–2.30

Record 3-1-1 (W-D-L), 2.2 scored / 1.8 conceded avg.

Date	League	Home	Away			xG		%		On		Off		DA
25.10.25	Premier League	Manchester United	Brighton	4	2	1.12	1.07	43%	57%	9	5	4	12	47	47	1	6	2	2	0	0
27.09.25	Premier League	Chelsea	Brighton	1	3	1.55	2.00	59%	41%	3	3	10	9	40	53	5	7	4	5	1	0
31.08.25	Premier League	Brighton	Manchester City	2	1	—	—	36%	64%	7	3	5	9	42	50	3	2	2	2	0	0
15.03.25	Premier League	Manchester City	Brighton	2	2	1.76	2.16	60%	40%	4	3	8	12	56	34	4	5	2	5	0	0
02.03.25	FA Cup	Newcastle United	Brighton	1	2	1.73	1.98	48%	52%	5	5	10	16	80	82	6	5	1	4	1	1

Last matches (2 months)

Arsenal WWWWWWWDWW

Date	League	Home	Away			xG		%		On		Off		DA
26.10.25	Premier League	Arsenal	Crystal Palace	1	0	1.08	0.47	60%	40%	3	1	7	6	51	41	4	3	0	0
21.10.25	Champions League	Arsenal	Atletico de Madrid	4	0	2.16	0.66	52%	48%	8	1	11	10	54	31	3	4	1	2
18.10.25	Premier League	Fulham	Arsenal	0	1	0.44	1.87	39%	61%	0	5	9	11	35	77	6	10	0	0
04.10.25	Premier League	Arsenal	West Ham	2	0	2.72	0.49	68%	32%	5	0	16	4	72	24	8	3	0	2
01.10.25	Champions League	Arsenal	Olympiacos	2	0	2.72	0.51	61%	39%	5	3	11	7	51	49	3	5	3	1
28.09.25	Premier League	Newcastle United	Arsenal	1	2	0.44	2.00	36%	64%	3	7	5	13	34	65	7	12	2	1
24.09.25	EFL Cup	Port Vale	Arsenal	0	2	0.08	0.93	20%	80%	0	4	3	7	42	70	1	6	0	0
21.09.25	Premier League	Arsenal	Manchester City	1	1	0.96	0.89	67%	33%	3	3	9	2	66	46	11	1	1	2
16.09.25	Champions League	Athletic Bilbao	Arsenal	0	2	0.41	1.09	39%	61%	2	6	9	5	36	50	2	2	1	3
13.09.25	Premier League	Arsenal	Nottingham Forest	3	0	—	—	54%	46%	5	1	11	4	73	36	8	3	1	1

Brighton LWDWWDLW

Date	League	Home	Away			xG		%		On		Off		DA
25.10.25	Premier League	Manchester United	Brighton	4	2	1.12	1.07	43%	57%	9	5	4	12	47	47	1	6	2	2	0
18.10.25	Premier League	Brighton	Newcastle United	2	1	1.03	1.46	46%	54%	5	3	8	14	73	63	8	4	0	1	0
05.10.25	Premier League	Wolverhampton	Brighton	1	1	0.61	1.35	42%	58%	3	6	3	11	27	63	2	8	2	4	0
27.09.25	Premier League	Chelsea	Brighton	1	3	1.55	2.00	59%	41%	3	3	10	9	40	53	5	7	4	5	1
23.09.25	EFL Cup	Barnsley	Brighton	0	6	0.35	1.74	40%	60%	0	12	6	4	51	67	2	6	0	3	0
20.09.25	Premier League	Brighton	Tottenham	2	2	1.27	1.22	36%	64%	4	3	8	8	30	88	2	10	1	2	0
13.09.25	Premier League	Bournemouth	Brighton	2	1	—	—	52%	48%	5	2	8	4	46	47	4	4	4	4	0
31.08.25	Premier League	Brighton	Manchester City	2	1	—	—	36%	64%	7	3	5	9	42	50	3	2	2	2	0

Bookmaker lines

1X211,43X4,7226,94

Total 3,00O1,95U1,88

AH -1,2511,9321,93

See full live table on ScanGoal →

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