Ajax vs NAC Breda — preview, stats, live

Eredivisie

сен 27, 2025 at 17:30

Ajax

2:1

NAC Breda

1.59

1.57

Eredivisie: Ajax vs NAC Breda on 27 Sep 2025 finished 2:1.

Ajax are in good form: 4-4-2 in their last 10, 1.6 scored and 0.7 conceded per game.

NAC Breda are out of form: 1-4-5 in their last 10, 1.0 scored and 2.2 conceded per game.

Over 2.5 lands in 50% of Ajax's games and 50% of NAC Breda's; both teams score in 40% and 40%.

Chance quality: xG 1.6 vs 1.6.

Head-to-head (5): Ajax 4, NAC Breda 1, 0 draws.

Predicted: 2:0 (16%) · also likely 3:0 (15%)

Match statistics

1.59

1.57

Detailed statistics

	Goals Threshold: 3,75			Yellow cards Threshold: 4,5			Corners Threshold: 9,5
Metric	AJ		Total	AJ		Total	AJ		Total
Matches played	9	8	—	20	20	—	20	20	—
Total less	5 56%	7 88%	—	16 80%	17 85%	—	12 60%	13 65%	—
Total more	4 44%	1 13%	—	4 20%	3 15%	—	8 40%	7 35%	—
Matches home / away	5	4	—	20	20	—	20	20	—
Total less (home / away)	3 60%	3 75%	—	16 80%	19 95%	—	11 55%	13 65%	—
Total more (home / away)	2 40%	1 25%	—	4 20%	1 5%	—	9 45%	7 35%	—
Individual total (home / away)	1,80	0,50	2,30	1,40	1,15	2,55	5,40	4,60	10,00
Individual total (overall)	1,56	0,75	2,31	1,40	1,15	2,55	5,70	5,50	11,20
Avg total	2,89	2,25	2,57	2,75	2,25	2,50	9,05	9,15	9,10
Avg total (home / away)	2,80	2,75	2,78	3,00	2,05	2,53	9,40	9,60	9,50
Avg opponents' total	1,50	1,50	3,00	1,50	1,22	2,72	3,72	4,06	7,78
Avg opponents' total (home / away)	1,00	2,25	3,25	1,88	1,06	2,94	4,71	5,88	10,59
Predicted total	—	—	2,67	—	—	2,54	—	—	10,35

Referee

Marc Nagtegaal

Last 2 months: 5 games · 14 YC total · 2.8 YC/game

20.09	Volendam — Sbv Excelsior	3-2	5
14.09	Utrecht — Groningen	0-4	4
24.08	Ajax — Heracles	0-2	2
15.08	RKC Waalwijk — Helmond Sport	—-1	1
09.08	SC Heerenveen — Volendam	1-1	2

Last 10 matches

Ajax10 matches

Both teams to score40%

Clean sheets6 / 10

Scored8 / 10

NAC Breda10 matches

Both teams to score40%

Clean sheets2 / 10

Scored5 / 10

Head-to-head

Date	League	Home	Away			xG		%		On		Off		DA
06.04.25	Eredivisie	Ajax	NAC Breda	3	1	1.98	0.65	62%	38%	4	3	6	5	51	58	9	0	1	5
18.08.24	Eredivisie	NAC Breda	Ajax	2	1	1.09	1.20	25%	75%	0	4	3	11	9	80	1	8	0	1
17.02.19	Eredivisie	Ajax	NAC Breda	5	0	—	—	65%	35%	13	2	3	4	57	18	13	2	1	2
24.11.18	Eredivisie	NAC Breda	Ajax	0	3	—	—	25%	71%	0	3	1	11	12	75	1	7	2	1
04.02.18	Eredivisie	Ajax	NAC Breda	3	1	—	—	64%	36%	9	2	13	3	64	25	14	0	1	3
18.11.17	Eredivisie	NAC Breda	Ajax	0	8	—	—	29%	71%	8	15	2	7	36	63	3	9	1	0
19.04.15	Eredivisie	Ajax	NAC Breda	0	0	—	—	—	—	7	5	11	4	46	23	13	2	0	0

Against common opponents (2 months)

Ajax

Date	League	Home	Away			xG		%		On		Off		DA
24.08.25	Eredivisie	Ajax	Heracles	2	0	2.75	0.17	66%	34%	8	0	17	4	52	23	10	1	0	2

NAC Breda

Date	League	Home	Away			xG		%		On		Off		DA
20.09.25	Eredivisie	NAC Breda	Heracles	2	1	2.22	0.84	63%	37%	3	5	10	8	78	35	10	4	1	2

Against similar-strength opponents

Matches with the same favourite/underdog setup by the bookmaker line.

Ajax (as favourite) odds 1.01–1.18

Record 2-0-0 (W-D-L), 2.0 scored / 0.0 conceded avg.

Date	League	Home	Away			xG		%		On		Off		DA
10.08.25	Eredivisie	Ajax	Telstar	2	0	1.71	1.05	62%	38%	8	5	8	13	68	36	8	10	0	0
11.01.25	Eredivisie	Ajax	RKC Waalwijk	2	—	2.39	—	60%	—	6	—	13	—	63	—	9	—	1	0
15.12.24	Eredivisie	Ajax	Almere	3	—	1.38	—	73%	—	8	—	6	—	52	—	7	—	1	0
24.11.24	Eredivisie	Ajax	PEC Zwolle	2	0	1.00	0.94	59%	41%	0	6	5	8	69	29	7	0	3	1

NAC Breda (vs a strong favourite) odds 1.01–2.30

Record 0-1-2 (W-D-L), 0.7 scored / 2.0 conceded avg.

Date	League	Home	Away			xG		%		On		Off		DA
13.09.25	Eredivisie	Twente	NAC Breda	2	2	—	—	60%	40%	5	4	11	5	61	28	4	3	2	1	0
31.08.25	Eredivisie	NAC Breda	AZ Alkmaar	0	1	—	—	39%	61%	5	8	4	14	35	72	1	7	0	5	1
24.08.25	Eredivisie	NEC Nijmegen	NAC Breda	3	0	4.09	0.53	52%	48%	10	2	8	4	50	26	3	1	2	4	0

Last matches (2 months)

Ajax DLW—WDWD—L

Date	League	Home	Away			xG		%		On		Off		DA
21.09.25	Eredivisie	PSV Eindhoven	Ajax	2	2	3.20	2.18	62%	38%	7	6	9	7	44	34	9	5	2	5
17.09.25	Champions League	Ajax	Inter Milan	0	2	1.32	1.21	57%	43%	2	4	5	10	34	34	3	5	1	2
13.09.25	Eredivisie	Ajax	PEC Zwolle	3	1	—	—	60%	40%	6	4	6	4	62	37	7	1	2	1
30.08.25	Eredivisie	Volendam	Ajax	—	1	—	0.95	—	69%	—	4	—	9	—	71	—	7	0	3
24.08.25	Eredivisie	Ajax	Heracles	2	0	2.75	0.17	66%	34%	8	0	17	4	52	23	10	1	0	2
17.08.25	Eredivisie	Go Ahead Eagles	Ajax	2	2	0.64	1.81	48%	52%	4	13	6	12	55	45	6	9	1	2
10.08.25	Eredivisie	Ajax	Telstar	2	0	1.71	1.05	62%	38%	8	5	8	13	68	36	8	10	0	0
03.08.25	Friendlies	Ajax	Monaco	2	2	2.04	2.42	48%	52%	4	6	6	9	39	36	5	6	0	1
27.07.25	Friendlies	Como	Ajax	3	0	2.11	0.55	46%	54%	6	2	8	2	26	19	3	2	0	2

NAC Breda —WD—LLWLL—

Date	League	Home	Away			xG		%		On		Off		DA
20.09.25	Eredivisie	NAC Breda	Heracles	2	1	2.22	0.84	63%	37%	3	5	10	8	78	35	10	4	1	2	0
13.09.25	Eredivisie	Twente	NAC Breda	2	2	—	—	60%	40%	5	4	11	5	61	28	4	3	2	1	0
31.08.25	Eredivisie	NAC Breda	AZ Alkmaar	0	1	—	—	39%	61%	5	8	4	14	35	72	1	7	0	5	1
24.08.25	Eredivisie	NEC Nijmegen	NAC Breda	3	0	4.09	0.53	52%	48%	10	2	8	4	50	26	3	1	2	4	0
17.08.25	Eredivisie	NAC Breda	Fortuna Sittard	2	1	2.00	0.72	39%	61%	7	4	9	6	35	59	4	5	2	3	0
09.08.25	Eredivisie	Feyenoord	NAC Breda	2	0	2.29	0.27	58%	42%	4	0	16	7	69	21	3	4	1	1	0
02.08.25	Friendlies	Norwich	NAC Breda	2	0	—	—	50%	50%	2	0	0	0	—	—	5	2	0	0	0

Bookmaker lines

1X211,13X8,50215,00

Total 3,75O1,90U1,90

AH -2,5012,0021,80

See full live table on ScanGoal →

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25.06Ajax in talks for Marc-André ter Stegen loan from Barcelona

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