AC Milan vs Fiorentina — preview, stats, live

Serie A

окт 19, 2025 at 21:45

AC Milan

2:1

Fiorentina

2.56

1.07

Serie A: AC Milan vs Fiorentina on 19 Oct 2025 finished 2:1.

AC Milan are out of form: 3-1-6 in their last 10, 0.9 scored and 1.5 conceded per game. They are unbeaten in 6.

Fiorentina are in good form: 4-4-2 in their last 10, 0.8 scored and 1.0 conceded per game.

Over 2.5 lands in 50% of AC Milan's games and 30% of Fiorentina's; both teams score in 40% and 30%.

Chance quality: xG 2.6 vs 1.1.

Head-to-head (5): AC Milan 2, Fiorentina 1, 2 draws.

Predicted: 1:0 (15%) · also likely 2:0 (13%)

Match statistics

2.56

1.07

Detailed statistics

	Goals Threshold: 2,5			Yellow cards Threshold: 4,5			Corners Threshold: 9,5
Metric	AM	FI	Total	AM	FI	Total	AM	FI	Total
Matches played	7	9	—	20	20	—	20	20	—
Total less	3 43%	4 44%	—	14 70%	13 65%	—	9 45%	12 60%	—
Total more	4 57%	5 56%	—	6 30%	7 35%	—	11 55%	8 40%	—
Matches home / away	4	4	—	20	20	—	20	20	—
Total less (home / away)	1 25%	3 75%	—	12 60%	12 60%	—	7 35%	13 65%	—
Total more (home / away)	3 75%	1 25%	—	8 40%	8 40%	—	13 65%	7 35%	—
Individual total (home / away)	1,75	1,00	2,75	1,80	2,15	3,95	5,70	3,85	9,55
Individual total (overall)	1,71	1,33	3,05	1,30	2,20	3,50	4,65	5,15	9,80
Avg total	2,14	2,44	2,29	2,75	3,55	3,15	9,80	9,15	9,48
Avg total (home / away)	2,50	1,25	1,88	4,05	3,90	3,98	10,50	8,55	9,53
Avg opponents' total	0,43	1,11	1,54	1,45	1,35	2,80	5,15	4,00	9,15
Avg opponents' total (home / away)	0,75	0,25	1,00	2,25	1,75	4,00	4,80	4,70	9,50
Predicted total	—	—	2,08	—	—	3,74	—	—	9,66

Last 10 matches

AC Milan10 matches

Both teams to score40%

Clean sheets2 / 10

Scored5 / 10

unbeaten 6

Fiorentina10 matches

Both teams to score30%

Clean sheets5 / 10

Scored6 / 10

Head-to-head

Date	League	Home	Away			xG		%		On		Off		DA
05.04.25	Serie A	AC Milan	Fiorentina	2	2	2.66	2.04	52%	48%	6	8	13	7	41	33	7	4	4	3
07.10.24	Serie A	Fiorentina	AC Milan	2	1	1.52	2.81	40%	60%	3	8	9	8	25	48	0	7	2	3
30.03.24	Serie A	Fiorentina	AC Milan	1	2	1.42	2.90	45%	55%	7	10	10	4	37	28	7	5	2	3
25.11.23	Serie A	AC Milan	Fiorentina	1	0	1.68	1.86	42%	58%	6	4	3	15	31	68	3	11	1	2
04.03.23	Serie A	Fiorentina	AC Milan	2	1	—	—	48%	52%	8	6	9	2	53	24	11	5	3	3
13.11.22	Serie A	AC Milan	Fiorentina	2	1	—	—	50%	56%	4	3	9	6	34	27	5	2	1	—
01.05.22	Serie A	AC Milan	Fiorentina	1	0	—	—	53%	52%	3	1	16	4	62	17	2	1	1	0
20.11.21	Serie A	Fiorentina	AC Milan	4	3	—	—	45%	55%	5	10	4	8	30	62	5	6	1	1
21.03.21	Serie A	Fiorentina	AC Milan	2	3	—	—	39%	61%	2	3	5	9	53	46	8	8	1	3
29.11.20	Serie A	AC Milan	Fiorentina	2	0	—	—	46%	54%	3	2	10	2	54	58	3	6	2	4

Against common opponents (2 months)

AC Milan

Date	League	Home	Away			xG		%		On		Off		DA
28.09.25	Serie A	AC Milan	Napoli	2	1	0.73	2.84	36%	64%	3	7	3	12	13	75	1	7	1	0	1	0

Fiorentina

Date	League	Home	Away			%		On		Off		DA
13.09.25	Serie A	Fiorentina	Napoli	1	3	53%	47%	3	9	15	5	48	31	8	5	0	0

Against similar-strength opponents

Matches with the same favourite/underdog setup by the bookmaker line.

AC Milan (as favourite) odds 1.12–1.55

Record 2-0-1 (W-D-L), 4.0 scored / 0.7 conceded avg.

Date	League	Home	Away			xG		%		On		Off		DA
23.08.25	Serie A	AC Milan	Cremonese	1	2	1.45	0.30	64%	36%	6	3	18	1	76	29	9	2	1	4
31.07.25	Elite Club Friendlies	Perth Glory	AC Milan	0	9	—	—	—	—	—	—	0	0	—	—	—	—	—	—
24.05.25	Serie A	AC Milan	Monza	2	0	1.42	0.33	55%	45%	6	2	15	4	45	30	4	6	0	1

Fiorentina (vs a strong favourite) odds 1.01–2.30

Record 0-3-2 (W-D-L), 1.0 scored / 1.6 conceded avg.

Date	League	Home	Away			xG		%		On		Off		DA
13.09.25	Serie A	Fiorentina	Napoli	1	3	—	—	53%	47%	3	9	15	5	48	31	8	5	0	0
09.08.25	Friendlies	Manchester United	Fiorentina	1	1	1.90	0.79	61%	39%	6	2	8	9	44	17	6	1	0	1
05.08.25	Elite Club Friendlies	Nottingham Forest	Fiorentina	0	0	—	—	50%	50%	4	3	5	5	36	27	4	2	0	1
01.05.25	UEFA Conference League	Real Betis	Fiorentina	2	1	2.00	1.04	45%	55%	5	2	9	5	50	42	6	2	2	4
05.04.25	Serie A	AC Milan	Fiorentina	2	2	2.66	2.04	52%	48%	6	8	13	7	41	33	7	4	4	3

Last matches (2 months)

AC Milan DWW—WWWL

Date	League	Home	Away			xG		%		On		Off		DA
05.10.25	Serie A	Juventus	AC Milan	0	0	0.68	1.73	51%	49%	3	4	9	9	56	26	6	0	2	2	0	0
28.09.25	Serie A	AC Milan	Napoli	2	1	0.73	2.84	36%	64%	3	7	3	12	13	75	1	7	1	0	1	0
23.09.25	Coppa Italia	AC Milan	Lecce	3	0	4.32	0.16	77%	23%	10	1	14	1	69	11	12	2	2	1	0	1
20.09.25	Serie A	Udinese	AC Milan	0	3	0.35	1.25	40%	60%	4	6	6	7	47	42	1	4	2	0	0	0
14.09.25	Serie A	AC Milan	Bologna	1	0	0.80	0.16	39%	61%	3	0	11	5	31	32	7	4	3	2	0	0
29.08.25	Serie A	Lecce	AC Milan	0	2	0.40	1.56	45%	55%	2	6	5	8	38	46	4	5	1	0	0	0
23.08.25	Serie A	AC Milan	Cremonese	1	2	1.45	0.30	64%	36%	6	3	18	1	76	29	9	2	1	4	0	0

Fiorentina LWDLLDWDW

Date	League	Home	Away			xG		%		On		Off		DA
05.10.25	Serie A	Fiorentina	Roma	1	2	0.83	1.34	45%	55%	3	3	8	5	31	31	3	4	2	3	0
02.10.25	UEFA Conference League	Fiorentina	Sigma Olomouc	2	0	1.52	0.19	54%	46%	4	4	11	2	46	34	8	0	3	1	0
28.09.25	Serie A	Pisa	Fiorentina	0	0	0.75	0.95	39%	61%	2	2	10	12	41	31	4	6	0	1	0
21.09.25	Serie A	Fiorentina	Como	1	2	0.48	1.47	39%	61%	1	7	7	12	27	48	2	6	4	3	0
13.09.25	Serie A	Fiorentina	Napoli	1	3	—	—	53%	47%	3	9	15	5	48	31	8	5	0	0	0
31.08.25	Serie A	Torino	Fiorentina	0	0	—	—	45%	55%	4	4	3	12	38	30	7	3	2	2	0
28.08.25	UEFA Conference League	Fiorentina	Polissya Zhytomyr	3	2	2.13	0.19	62%	38%	6	4	8	0	49	27	6	1	0	2	0
24.08.25	Serie A	Cagliari	Fiorentina	1	1	0.93	1.04	45%	55%	6	1	8	3	36	31	3	2	4	2	0
21.08.25	UEFA Conference League	Polissya Zhytomyr	Fiorentina	0	3	1.24	1.80	64%	36%	3	4	17	10	62	30	5	3	1	1	1

Bookmaker lines

1X211,53X4,4826,29

Total 2,50O1,88U2,00

AH -1,0011,8922,02

See full live table on ScanGoal →

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