Ajax vs NEC Nijmegen — preview, stats, live

Eredivisie

фев 21, 2026 at 23:00

Ajax

1:1

NEC Nijmegen

1.47

1.16

Eredivisie: Ajax vs NEC Nijmegen on 21 Feb 2026 finished 1:1.

Ajax are in good form: 4-4-2 in their last 10, 1.6 scored and 0.7 conceded per game.

NEC Nijmegen are in good form: 4-4-2 in their last 10, 1.7 scored and 1.5 conceded per game.

Over 2.5 lands in 50% of Ajax's games and 60% of NEC Nijmegen's; both teams score in 40% and 80%.

Chance quality: xG 1.5 vs 1.2.

Head-to-head (5): Ajax 1, NEC Nijmegen 1, 3 draws.

Predicted: 1:1 (10%) · also likely 2:1 (10%)

Match statistics

1.47

1.16

Detailed statistics

	Goals Threshold: 3,3			Yellow cards Threshold: 4,5			Corners Threshold: 9,5
Metric	AJ		Total	AJ		Total	AJ		Total
Matches played	20	20	—	20	20	—	20	20	—
Total less	11 55%	8 40%	—	16 80%	12 60%	—	12 60%	10 50%	—
Total more	9 45%	12 60%	—	4 20%	8 40%	—	8 40%	10 50%	—
Matches home / away	20	20	—	20	20	—	20	20	—
Total less (home / away)	14 70%	11 55%	—	17 85%	14 70%	—	12 60%	9 45%	—
Total more (home / away)	6 30%	9 45%	—	3 15%	6 30%	—	8 40%	11 55%	—
Individual total (home / away)	1,75	1,95	3,70	1,30	2,25	3,55	4,95	4,70	9,65
Individual total (overall)	2,00	2,15	4,15	1,25	1,90	3,15	4,70	4,90	9,60
Avg total	3,70	3,60	3,65	2,75	3,75	3,25	8,85	9,60	9,23
Avg total (home / away)	3,05	3,35	3,20	2,60	3,35	2,98	9,25	9,65	9,45
Avg opponents' total	1,70	1,45	3,15	1,50	1,85	3,35	4,15	4,70	8,85
Avg opponents' total (home / away)	1,30	1,47	2,77	1,30	1,16	2,46	4,30	5,21	9,51
Predicted total	—	—	3,68	—	—	3,06	—	—	9,53

Last 10 matches

Ajax10 matches

Both teams to score40%

Clean sheets6 / 10

Scored8 / 10

scored 7 straight

NEC Nijmegen10 matches

Both teams to score80%

Clean sheets2 / 10

Scored10 / 10

Head-to-head

Date	League	Home	Away			xG		%		On		Off		DA
20.12.25	Netherlands Eredivisie SRL	NEC Nijmegen	Ajax	2	2	2.04	2.01	39%	61%	6	8	9	11	54	62	1	7	3	3	1
11.05.25	Eredivisie	Ajax	NEC Nijmegen	0	3	2.44	0.74	65%	35%	6	6	17	3	67	21	8	1	3	4	0
01.12.24	Eredivisie	NEC Nijmegen	Ajax	1	2	2.84	0.89	52%	48%	8	3	13	3	53	32	7	1	1	5	0
18.02.24	Eredivisie	Ajax	NEC Nijmegen	2	2	1.35	2.21	53%	47%	4	8	4	9	53	38	2	5	2	0	0
03.12.23	Eredivisie	NEC Nijmegen	Ajax	1	2	0.66	3.03	43%	57%	2	7	5	14	49	57	2	6	0	0	0
05.03.23	Eredivisie	Ajax	NEC Nijmegen	1	0	—	—	67%	33%	5	1	15	4	77	28	10	2	1	3	0
08.01.23	Eredivisie	NEC Nijmegen	Ajax	1	1	—	—	31%	66%	1	4	5	4	26	38	1	8	1	0	0
23.04.22	Eredivisie	NEC Nijmegen	Ajax	0	1	—	—	33%	67%	3	4	7	15	31	70	4	8	2	1	0
14.08.21	Eredivisie	Ajax	NEC Nijmegen	5	0	—	—	73%	29%	11	0	18	6	106	13	10	0	0	0	0
08.04.17	Eredivisie	NEC Nijmegen	Ajax	1	5	—	—	43%	57%	4	10	9	9	37	63	5	5	0	1	0

Against common opponents (2 months)

Ajax

Date	League	Home	Away			xG		%		On		Off		DA
08.02.26	Eredivisie	AZ Alkmaar	Ajax	1	1	1.68	0.96	38%	62%	6	3	8	10	30	71	2	4	1	0	0
24.01.26	Eredivisie	Ajax	Volendam	2	0	3.00	0.31	65%	35%	13	2	14	1	63	18	10	0	1	3	0
14.01.26	Cup	AZ Alkmaar	Ajax	6	0	—	—	39%	61%	14	2	6	4	54	43	4	3	1	1	1

NEC Nijmegen

Date	League	Home	Away			xG		%		On		Off		DA
04.02.26	Cup	NEC Nijmegen	Volendam	1	0	2.04	0.79	50%	50%	4	3	15	7	73	44	5	6	0	2
31.01.26	Eredivisie	AZ Alkmaar	NEC Nijmegen	1	3	1.38	1.36	48%	52%	2	10	9	10	31	55	3	3	1	2

Against similar-strength opponents

Matches with the same favourite/underdog setup by the bookmaker line.

Ajax (as favourite) odds 1.45–2.05

Record 3-2-0 (W-D-L), 2.4 scored / 1.4 conceded avg.

Date	League	Home	Away			xG		%		On		Off		DA
01.02.26	Eredivisie	Sbv Excelsior	Ajax	2	2	0.79	0.62	48%	52%	4	3	6	7	43	28	4	1	1	0	0	0
17.01.26	Eredivisie	Ajax	Go Ahead Eagles	2	2	3.47	0.86	51%	49%	8	6	12	4	36	39	1	5	2	4	0	0
11.01.26	Eredivisie	Telstar	Ajax	2	3	0.76	1.73	35%	65%	5	10	4	5	39	45	8	3	1	1	1	0
06.12.25	Eredivisie	Fortuna Sittard	Ajax	1	3	2.17	1.00	35%	65%	6	6	14	9	49	48	4	4	3	3	1	1
30.11.25	Eredivisie	Ajax	Groningen	2	0	—	—	54%	46%	5	7	8	8	51	46	3	5	1	0	0	0

NEC Nijmegen (vs a strong favourite) odds 1.01–2.30

Record 3-0-2 (W-D-L), 2.4 scored / 2.0 conceded avg.

Date	League	Home	Away			xG		%		On		Off		DA
31.01.26	Eredivisie	AZ Alkmaar	NEC Nijmegen	1	3	1.38	1.36	48%	52%	2	10	9	10	31	55	3	3	1	2	0
23.11.25	Eredivisie	Feyenoord	NEC Nijmegen	2	4	2.56	2.25	55%	45%	6	14	10	8	52	27	7	6	1	1	0
02.11.25	Eredivisie	Utrecht	NEC Nijmegen	1	0	1.16	1.90	39%	61%	3	6	7	11	26	49	2	2	1	2	0
28.09.25	Eredivisie	NEC Nijmegen	AZ Alkmaar	2	1	1.29	—	44%	56%	6	3	9	4	45	21	5	4	1	5	1
13.09.25	Eredivisie	NEC Nijmegen	PSV Eindhoven	3	5	—	—	57%	43%	8	11	12	7	62	37	8	4	2	4	0

Last matches (2 months)

Ajax WDDLWWDLW

Date	League	Home	Away			xG		%		On		Off		DA
14.02.26	Eredivisie	Ajax	Fortuna Sittard	4	1	1.10	0.83	56%	44%	9	2	10	6	51	24	4	0	0	0	0	0
08.02.26	Eredivisie	AZ Alkmaar	Ajax	1	1	1.68	0.96	38%	62%	6	3	8	10	30	71	2	4	1	0	0	0
01.02.26	Eredivisie	Sbv Excelsior	Ajax	2	2	0.79	0.62	48%	52%	4	3	6	7	43	28	4	1	1	0	0	0
28.01.26	Champions League	Ajax	Olympiacos	1	2	1.83	0.54	63%	37%	4	3	7	8	46	43	5	4	0	2	0	0
24.01.26	Eredivisie	Ajax	Volendam	2	0	3.00	0.31	65%	35%	13	2	14	1	63	18	10	0	1	3	0	0
20.01.26	Champions League	Villarreal	Ajax	1	2	1.35	0.91	38%	62%	8	5	11	10	34	51	7	5	3	2	0	0
17.01.26	Eredivisie	Ajax	Go Ahead Eagles	2	2	3.47	0.86	51%	49%	8	6	12	4	36	39	1	5	2	4	0	0
14.01.26	Cup	AZ Alkmaar	Ajax	6	0	—	—	39%	61%	14	2	6	4	54	43	4	3	1	1	0	1
11.01.26	Eredivisie	Telstar	Ajax	2	3	0.76	1.73	35%	65%	5	10	4	5	39	45	8	3	1	1	1	0

NEC Nijmegen DDLWWWWWW—

Date	League	Home	Away			xG		%		On		Off		DA
17.02.26	Eredivisie	Sparta Rotterdam	NEC Nijmegen	1	1	—	—	41%	59%	5	5	6	8	38	56	8	5	3	3
15.02.26	Eredivisie	Sparta Rotterdam	NEC Nijmegen	0	0	—	—	—	—	—	—	0	0	—	—	—	—	—	—
11.02.26	Eredivisie	NEC Nijmegen	Utrecht	1	3	1.99	1.69	76%	24%	7	4	16	6	94	11	5	0	3	2
07.02.26	Eredivisie	NEC Nijmegen	Heracles	4	1	2.55	1.15	68%	32%	6	2	10	8	56	18	3	6	0	2
04.02.26	Cup	NEC Nijmegen	Volendam	1	0	2.04	0.79	50%	50%	4	3	15	7	73	44	5	6	0	2
31.01.26	Eredivisie	AZ Alkmaar	NEC Nijmegen	1	3	1.38	1.36	48%	52%	2	10	9	10	31	55	3	3	1	2
24.01.26	Eredivisie	NEC Nijmegen	PEC Zwolle	2	1	1.49	0.70	45%	55%	1	6	10	5	45	48	10	6	1	2
20.01.26	Netherlands Cup	De Treffers	NEC Nijmegen	1	2	1.83	1.15	35%	65%	6	2	6	7	49	87	4	6	0	1
17.01.26	Eredivisie	NAC Breda	NEC Nijmegen	3	4	0.81	1.06	44%	56%	8	7	8	3	37	23	2	3	2	1

Bookmaker lines

1X211,80X4,2023,90

Total 3,25O1,93U1,88

AH -0,7512,0021,80

All Pinnacle markets

Goals

Goals total
Line	O	U
1.5	1.15	5.98
2.5	1.47	2.77
2.75	1.57	2.50
3	1.72	2.21
3.25	1.96	1.93
3.5	2.18	1.74
3.75	2.50	1.57
4.5	3.68	1.30
5.5	7.01	1.12

Team goals
Team	Line	O	U
Ajax	1.5	1.58	2.45
NEC Nijmegen	1.5	2.45	1.59

Corners

Corners total
Line	O	U
8.5	1.52	2.43
9	1.67	2.17
9.5	1.45	2.73
10	1.58	2.37
10.5	1.85	1.98
11	2.15	1.70
11.5	2.48	1.54

Team corners
Team	Line	O	U
Ajax	5.5	1.93	1.84
Ajax	6	1.74	2.09
NEC Nijmegen	3.5	1.72	2.07
NEC Nijmegen	4	1.74	2.08

See full live table on ScanGoal →

Other matches that day

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